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Global Market Perspective / Vol. 7, Issue 1, August Edition

Pyramid Research, Inc, Aug 2007


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By year-end 2007, we expect there to be 19 more mobile operators than there were at year-end 2006. Much of this growth is set to occur in Africa and the Middle East, where we anticipate a net addition of 10 operators during 2007 and a 28.7% increase in mobile subscriptions. The emergence of new market players may come as a surprise to some, since recent mega-mergers and the development of multinational, pan-regional players has helped foster a widespread sentiment of global consolidation in the industry. However, our research shows that despite trends toward consolidation at the regional and global levels, the mobile telephony industry has actually become more competitive and has experienced a slight dilution in the market shares of its major players. Because the establishment of new operators has accelerated, and as developing nations, particularly in Africa and the Middle East, deregulate, we see this trend continuing globally.

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

-Despite the large number of mergers and acquisitions in the mobile industry, by the end of 2007 a net addition of 43 operators globally since 2001 will have pushed the average number of operators per country from 3.6 to 4.0.

-Despite the entry of so many new carriers, the top two carriers in each market have seen only a 4% decline in their combined market share in the six years to 2007.

-Despite increased competition in individual markets, globally we are seeing additional concentration, with the top 17 providers increasing their share of the global pie from 54% to 60% over the past six years.



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