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European Gas Industry Market Assessment 2007

Key Note Publications Ltd, August 2007, Pages: 108

In this Market Assessment report, the report analyses the EU downstream natural gas industry in terms of its basic activities — gas transportation, transmission, distribution and supply — and gives an account of the main companies active in the field, issues that have to be addressed and future challenges for the EU gas market.

The EU internal gas market is developing a response to EU legislation that has to be transposed into the legislation of each member state. Development of the market is a two-stage process; large users should have had a choice of supplier by July 2004 and all users, including households, were to have had a choice of supplier by July 2007. Progress towards this aim has been uneven, partly due to the EU being expanded by ten new members in 2004 and two in 2007, bringing the total number to 27 member states.

Despite some headway, considerable work has yet to be done in order to achieve a completely open market. Some companies have not yet fully separated their transmission, distribution and supply activities in order for a level playing field to exist for competitors. Further progress must also be made to enable access to national transmission networks and have national market regulators operate to the same standards. One issue in providing fair competition is the large influence exercised by a few major players in the EU gas industry; their dominant position effectively inhibits new entrants to some national markets.

The EU's gas-production industry is relatively small in relation to gas demand. Production is decreasing but demand is increasing — a fact that is focusing attention on how future demand will be met. Russia is the main supplier to the EU and will probably continue to be so for the foreseeable future, although gas will also be obtained from a range of countries in Africa and the Middle East. Major investments are being made to upgrade the EU's internal gas infrastructure and to provide more facilities for importing gas, including liquefied natural gas (LNG) by sea. The latter involves the construction of LNG terminals and regasification facilities. In the power-generation sector, the increasing use of renewable energy (mainly wind energy) and possibly nuclear power will decrease the potential demand for gas in electricity generation.

Terrorism is a widespread problem and terrorists are well aware of the strategic importance of energy supplies. It is possible that EU gas supplies could be seriously disrupted by attacks inside the EU or on gas-transport facilities, for example on pipelines or LNG tankers transporting gas to the EU.

Climate change is now a global problem and the EU is taking action to reduce `greenhouse gas' emissions. Gas is the preferred fossil fuel because it emits fewer carbon emissions than coal or oil for the same amount of energy produced. (This is a major feature of gas.) However, it remains a carbon-emitting source and efforts will be made to curb its use and to use carbon-neutral energy where possible. One EU initiative is the Emission Trading Scheme (ETS), in which companies have allocated carbon allowances. As a supplier of carbon-emitting fuel, it is important for the gas industry to follow trends in carbon trading.

1. Introduction

OVERVIEW

DEFINITION

LEGISLATION

THE EU POPULATION

Table 1: The EU Population by Country (000), 2007

2. Strategic Overview

MARKET DYNAMICS

Development of an Open Market

Table 2: Extent of Open Competition in the EU Gas Market (% and bn m3), as at September 2005

Consumption of Natural Gas

Table 3: Gross Inland Consumption of Gas in the EU by Country (mtoe), 2005

Production of Natural Gas

Table 4: Consumption and Production of Natural Gas in the EU by Country (mtoe and %), 2005

3. Current Issues

COMPLETION OF THE EU INTERNAL GAS MARKET

Further Unbundling of Key Activities
Gas Network Access
Regulation
Significance of Major Companies in the EU Natural Gas Industry

Table 5: Significance of Gas Producers/Importers in the EU Countries (number), 2005

Growing Demand for Gas
Climate Change

CORPORATE ACTIVITY

4. Austria

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 6: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Austria (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

OMV Aktiengesellschaft
EconGas

5. Belgium

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 7: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Belgium (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Distrigas SA

Other Companies

6. Bulgaria

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

MAJOR COMPANIES

Bulgargaz EAD

7. Cyprus

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

MAJOR COMPANIES

Electricity Authority of Cyprus

8. The Czech Republic

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 8: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in the Czech Republic (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

RWE Transgas

9. Denmark

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 9: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Denmark (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

DONG Energy

Energinet.dk

10. Estonia

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 10: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Estonia (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

AS Eesti Gaas Group

11. Finland

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 11: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Finland (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Gasum Oy

12. France

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 12: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in France (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR PLAYERS

Gaz de France

Other Companies

13. Germany

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 13: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Germany (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

E.ON Ruhrgas

RWE AG

Wingas GmbH

Verbundnetz Gas AG

14. Greece

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 14: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Greece (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Public Gas Corporation SA

15. Hungary

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 15: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Hungary (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Magyar Olaj-es-Gazipari

Other Companies

16. Italy

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 16: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Italy (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Eni SpA

17. Latvia

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 17: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Latvia (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Latvijas Gaze

18. Lithuania

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 18: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Lithuania (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Latvijas Gaze

19. Luxembourg

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 19: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Luxembourg (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

SOTEG SA

20. Malta

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

MAJOR COMPANIES

Enemalta Corporation

21. The Netherlands

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 20: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in the Netherlands (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

NV Nederlandse Gasunie

22. Poland

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 21: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Poland (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Polskie Gornicturo Naftowe Gazownictwo

23. Portugal

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 22: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Portugal (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Gás de Portugal

24. The Republic of Ireland

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 23: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in the Republic of Ireland (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Bord Gáis

25. Romania

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

MAJOR COMPANIES

Romgaz SA

Other Companies

26. The Slovak Republic

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 24: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in the Slovak Republic (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Slovensk Plynárensk Priemysel

27. Slovenia

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 25: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Slovenia (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Geoplin Group

28. Spain

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 26: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Spain (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Gas Natural
Enegas
Endesa

29. Sweden

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 27: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in Sweden (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

E.ON Sverige

30. The UK

MARKET STRUCTURE

Natural Gas Production and Consumption

Table 28: Primary Production and Gross Inland Consumption of Natural Gas in the UK (mtoe), 2002-2005

MAJOR COMPANIES

Centrica PLC
National Grid

Other Companies

31. PEST Analysis

POLITICAL FACTORS

Security of Gas Supplies
Fair Competition in the EU Gas Market
Climate-Change Politics
Terrorist Activities

ECONOMIC FACTORS

Gas Infrastructure Investment
Environmental Economics
Gas Prices in the EU

Table 29: EU Gas Prices for Households and Industrial Consumers (in national currency per gigajoule), January 2006 and 2007

SOCIAL FACTORS

Household Gas Prices
Energy Conservation
Marketing of Energy

TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS

Climate Change
Gas-Powered Vehicles
Biogas

32. The Future

COMPLETION OF THE EU INTERNAL GAS MARKET
SECURITY OF FUTURE GAS SUPPLIES
EU GAS INFRASTRUCTURE

Northern Europe
South East Europe
European/Mediterranean

NUCLEAR POWER
RENEWABLE ENERGY
CLIMATE CHANGE
FORECASTS FOR GAS DEMAND

Table 30: Forecast EU-25 Consumption of Natural Gas (mtoe), 2010, 2020 and 2030

Table 31: Historic and Forecast EU Share of Energy Sources in Total Energy Consumption (%), 1990, 2000, 2010, 2020 and 2030

33. Consumer Confidence

METHODOLOGY
KEY FINDINGS THIS QUARTER
THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW

Confidence Improves

Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), February 2006-2007

Willingness to Borrow Slips Slightly

Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), February 2006-2007

SPENDING FROM SAVINGS

Slight Increase in Spending from Savings

Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), February 2006-2007

Saving Grows in Relative Importance

Table D: The Average Amounts Adults Are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), February 2006-2007

34. Further Sources

Associations
Other Sources
Bisnode Sources

- OMV Aktiengesellschaft
- EconGas
- Distrigas SA
- Bulgargaz EAD
- Electricity Authority of Cyprus
- RWE Transgas
- DONG Energy
- AS Eesti Gaas Group
- Energinet.dk
- Gasum Oy
- Gaz de France
- E.ON Ruhrgas
- RWE AG
- Wingas GmbH
- Verbundnetz Gas AG
- Public Gas Corporation SA
- Magyar Olaj-es-Gazipari
- Eni SpA
- Latvijas Gaze
- SOTEG SA
- Enemalta Corporation
- NV Nederlandse Gasunie
- Polskie Gornicturo Naftowe Gazownictwo
- Gás de Portugal
- Bord Gáis
- Romgaz SA
- Slovensk Plynárensk Priemysel
- Geoplin Group
- Gas Natural
- Enegas
- Endesa
- E.ON Sverige
- Centrica PLC
- National Grid

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