Dairy Products and Alternatives in South Africa

Report
71 Pages
September 2023
Region: South Africa
Euromonitor International
ID: 5576775

2023 has been a tough financial year for consumers, with double-digit food inflation, rising interest rates, and rolling blackouts. Several categories within dairy products and alternatives are set to record double-digit retail current value growth due to inflation, but inflation will also contribute to declining volume sales in most categories. Consumers have been prioritising housing and transport, leaving their food budget as the area where cuts have been made to make ends meet.

The Dairy Products and Alternatives in South Africa report offers in-depth knowledge of the market at a national level, providing local insight and understanding unavailable elsewhere. In addition to the latest retail sales data 2018-2022, it identifies the leading companies, brands and retail outlets, and assesses the key trends and demographic shifts behind consumer demand and sales growth. How key trends such as health and wellness, sustainability and recovery from the pandemic are shaping the market in 2023 directly informs the forecasts to 2027, clearly indicating how the market is expected to change.

Product coverage: Baby Food, Dairy, Plant-based Dairy.

Data coverage: market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Dairy Products and Alternatives market
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop

The analyst has over 40 years' experience of publishing market research reports, business reference books and online information systems. With offices in London, Chicago, Singapore, Shanghai, Vilnius, Dubai, Cape Town, Santiago, Sydney, Tokyo and Bangalore and a network of over 800 analysts worldwide, The analyst has a unique capability to develop reliable information resources to help drive informed strategic planning.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Dairy products and alternatives in 2023: The big picture
Key trends in 2023
Competitive landscape
Channel developments
What next for dairy products and alternatives?

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2019-2023
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2020-2023
Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2018-2023
Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 1 Research Sources

BABY FOOD IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Volume sales of milk formula decline as prices rise
Some consumers are able to pay for the convenience of prepared baby food
Strong competition between baby specialist stores for share of customers’ wallet

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Milk formula set to continue to experience challenges from restrictions on promotion
Consumers will look for discounts in categories other than milk formula
Rise of baby specialist stores unlikely to impact the dominance of supermarkets

CATEGORY DATA

Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2018-2023
Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2019-2023
Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2020-2023
Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

BUTTER AND SPREADS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Retail volume declines across categories as prices rise
Siqalo Foods continues to lead margarine, but the competition is strong in butter
Potential for new labelling regulations to affect butter and spreads

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Continued growth expected for private label as disposable incomes are constrained
Continued volume declines will lead players to diversify
Supermarkets expected to remain the dominant distribution channel

CATEGORY DATA

Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2019-2023
Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2020-2023
Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

CHEESE IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Volume growth is maintained for the cheapest type of cheese as prices rise
Private label maintains growth due to promotions at a time of rising prices
Developments in the lactose free space

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Private label players innovate with speciality cheeses, which will contribute to growth
Potential for new labelling regulation to impact cheese
Further price rises could result from changing weather patterns and loadshedding

CATEGORY DATA

Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2019-2023
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2020-2023
Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DRINKING MILK PRODUCTS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Price increases and rolling blackouts drive strong volume decline for fresh milk
Private label performs well, as consumers look for the lowest prices
Non-essential categories fail to achieve volume growth as disposable income falls

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Production and costs set to be impacted by weather conditions and rolling blackouts
Further switch from fresh to shelf stable milk, and away from non-essential products
Private label expected to maintain its lead as consumers look to save

CATEGORY DATA

Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

YOGHURT AND SOUR MILK PRODUCTS IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Continued volume growth for sour milk products due to lower price than yoghurt
Power disruption and higher prices contribute to decline for yoghurt
Meeting consumers’ different needs helps Lancewood see growth

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

An end to the volume growth of sour milk products expected
Continued launch of indulgent yoghurt products unlikely to halt volume decline
Lactose free developments set to continue

CATEGORY DATA

Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2018-2023
Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

OTHER DAIRY IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Retail volume declines across the board as non-essential spending is cut
Different players lead various other dairy categories

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Meeting consumers’ needs in terms of products and pricing will be important
Home cooking and baking expected to limit decline for other dairy
Health and wellness concerns expected to drive innovation in other dairy

CATEGORY DATA

Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2019-2023
Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2020-2023
Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

PLANT-BASED DAIRY IN SOUTH AFRICAKEY DATA FINDINGS

2023 DEVELOPMENTS

Plant-based milk accounts for most sales, but other categories are emerging
Companies are careful with labelling to avoid further scrutiny
Not only vegans are interested in plant-based dairy products

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Government invests to develop animal-free dairy products
High prices likely to limit uptake, but competition set to increase
Demand for plant-based cheese expected to rise over the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 83 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2020-2023
Table 84 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2019-2023
Table 85 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2020-2023
Table 86 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 87 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 88 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

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