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China Refined Oil Market Report, 2007-2008

Research In China, October 2007, Pages: 120

The crude oil output was 1. 84 billion tons in 2006, increasing 17% y-o-y, which was 22% lower than y-o-y increase in 2005. In addition, crude oil possessed was 3.07 billion tons, rising 63% y-o-y.

The apparent consumption of refined oil was 1. 80 billion in China in 2006, increasing 72% y-o-y; hereinto the apparent consumption of gasoline, kerosene and diesel oil was 524. 75 million tons, 11. 51 million tons and 1. 16 billion tons, ascending 87%, 97% and 63% y-o-y respectively.

The export volume of refined oil was 79. 93 million tons in China in 2006, down 184% y-o-y, while the import volume of refined oil was 63.94 million tons in China, up 699% y-o-y; Such decrease in export and increase in import a shows that the foreign trade dependence of the refined oil industry in China rose dramatically, it was -089% in 2006, up 266% y-o-y.

The international crude oil price reached the climax in 2006, USD 78/barrel in August, and then it began to drop in Sep, which also lowered down the cost of domestic refineries. Then on Jan 14, 2007, National Development and Reform Commission announced to reduce the price of refined oil in China.

1 Characteristics of Oil Refinery Industry Development in China, 2006
1.1 Output
1.1.1 Increase of Crude Oil Processing Amount Slowed Down
1.1.2 Oil Price Inversion Leads to Slack Increase of Refined Oil Output
1.2 Apparent Consumption Amount of China Oil Refinery Industry Increased
1.3 Foreign Trade Dependence of Oil Refinery Industry Improved
1.4 Change of Refined Oil Price

2 Change of Policy Environment of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2007-2010
2.1 Middle and Long-term Plan
2.2 Refined Oil Price Adjustment
2.3 Environment Protection, Energy-saving and Consumption Reduction
2.4 Tariff and Trade Policy
2.5 State Strengthens the Management on Petroleum-substitution Resource

3 Demand and Forecast of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2007
3.1 Overall Demand of Refined Oil
3.2 Gasoline Consumption
3.3 Kerosene Consumption
3.4 Diesel Oil Consumption
3.5 Fuel Oil Consumption
3.6 Lubricating Oil Consumption
3.7 Price Change of Main Oil Products
3.8 Factors Influencing Demand and Price Change of Main Oil Product Market in China
3.9 Forecast of Petroleum Market in China

4 Forecast of Supply and Balance between Supply and Demand of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2007
4.1 Supply of Oil Refinery
4.2 Crude Oil Processing Amount
4.3 Gasoline Output
4.4 Kerosene Output
4.5 Diesel Oil Output
4.6 Lubricating Oil Output
4.7 Fuel Oil Output
4.8 Forecast of Balance between Supply and Demand of Oil Refinery Industry

5 Analysis and Forecast of Refined Oil Import and Export in China, 2007-2008
5.1 Import
5.1.1 Import Scale
5.1.2 Analysis by Country
5.1.3 Refined Oil Import Means
5.1.4 Refined Oil Import Enterprises
5.1.5 Analysis by Variety
5.1.6 Main Factors Influencing Refined Oil Import in China in the Future
5.2 Export
5.2.1 Export Scale
5.2.2 Analysis by Country
5.2.3 Refined Oil Export Means
5.2.4 Refined Oil Export Enterprises
5.2.5 Analysis by Variety
5.2.6 Main Factors Influencing Refined Oil Export in China in the Future
5.3 Forecast of Import and Export of Refined Oil in China during the 11th Five-year Period

6 Investment and Operation Performance of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2007
6.1 Investment
6.2 Main Oil Refinery Projects in China
6.3 Operation Performance
6.4 Operation of Oil Refinery Industry Improved Gradually

7 Forecast of Key Regions of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2007
7.1 Regional Characteristics
7.2 Liaoning
7.2.1 Overall Introduction
7.2.2 Loss for Four Successive Quarters
7.2.3 Development Conditions
7.3 Shandong
7.3.1 Overall Introduction
7.3.2 Whole Industry Gained Profits in 2006
7.3.3 Development Conditions
7.4 Guangdong
7.4.1 Overall Introduction
7.4.2 Industry Performance Dropped Continuously
7.4.3 Development Conditions
7.5 Shanghai
7.5.1 Overall Introduction
7.5.2 Whole Industry Made the Loss
7.5.3 Development Conditions

8 Key Enterprises
8.1 Zhenhai Refinery & Chemical Co., Ltd
8.1.1 Production
8.1.2 Output
8.1.3 Development in 2006
8.2 Maoming Petrochemical Co., Ltd
8.2.1 Production
8.2.2 Output
8.2.3 Development in 2006

9 Risk of China Oil Refinery Industry, 2007
9.1 Main Risks
9.1.1 Changeable Crude Oil Price
9.1.2 Change of Price Fixing System of Refined Oil
9.1.3 Change of Government Policies
9.1.4 International Environment
9.2 Risk of Oil Refinery Industry in China

Selected Charts

Refined Oil Output Change in China, 1998-2006
In-phase Change of Crude Oil Price and Gasoline Price in China, 1998-2006
Apparent Consumption Change of Refined Oil in China in Recent Years
Apparent Consumption Change of Gasoline in China in Recent Years
Gasoline Consumption Structure in China
Monthly Sales Amount of Passenger Vehicles in Recent Years
Automobile Output Change in China by Month, 2006
Apparent Consumption Change of Kerosene Industry in China in Recent Years
Kerosene Consumption Structure in China
Apparent Consumption Change of Diesel Oil in China in Recent Years
Diesel Oil Consumption Structure in China
Apparent Consumption Change of Fuel Oil in China in Recent Years
Fuel Oil Consumption Structure in China
Apparent Consumption Change of Lubricating Oil in China in Recent Years
Benchmark Price of Crude Oil in China, 2004-2006
Change of 93# Lead-free Gasoline Price (Wholesale Price) in China in Recent Years
Change of 0# Diesel Oil Price in China in Recent Years
Change of Lubricating Oil (CD30 Diesel Oil) in China, 2006-2007
Output Capability and Output Capability Utilization Rate and Forecast of Oil Refinery Factories in China, 1994-2008
Change of Crude Oil Processing Amount in China, 2001-2006
Change of Crude Oil Processing Amount in China by Month, 2001
Gasoline Output Change in China, 1998-2006
Gasoline Output Change by Month, 2006
Kerosene Output Change in China, 1998-2006
Kerosene Output Change by Month, 2006
Diesel Oil Output Change in China, 1998-2006
Diesel Oil Output Change by Month, 2006
Lubricating Oil Output Change in China, 1998-2006
Lubricating Oil Output Change by Month, 2006
Fuel Oil Output Change in China, 1998-2006
Fuel Oil Output Change by Month, 2006
Ratio Forecast of Refined Oil Output in China, 2007
Ratio of Gasoline and Diesel Oil Production to Consumption, 2001-2007
Change of Refined Oil Import in China in Recent Years
Change of Refined Oil Import Amount by Month, 2006
Refined Oil Import Means in China, 2006 (by Amount)
Refined Oil Import Enterprises Property in China, 2006 (by Amount)
Kerosene Import Amount Change in China in Recent Years
Import Amount Change of Diesel Oil in China in Recent Years
Fuel Oil Import Amount Change in China in Recent Years
Refined Oil Export Amount Change in China in Recent Years
Refined Oil Export Amount Chang in China in Recent Years by Month
Refined Oil Export Means in China, 2006 (by Amount)
Refined Oil Export Enterprises Property in China, 2006 (by Amount)
Gasoline Export Amount Change in China in Recent Years
Kerosene Export Amount Change in China in Recent Years
Diesel Oil Export Amount Change in China in Recent Years
Fixed Assets Investment Change in China in Recent Three Years
Fixed Assets Investment Change of Oil Refinery and Chemical Equipment Industry in China in Recent Three Years
Distribution of Fixed Assets Planned Investment Amount of Oil Refinery Industry in China by Capital Source, 2006
Distribution of Fixed Assets Planned Investment Amount of Oil Refinery Industry in China by Capital Source, 2006
Main Economy Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in China in Recent Years
Sales Revenue Change Trend of Oil Refinery Industry in China in Recent Years
Quarterly Sales Revenue Change of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2006
Quarterly Development Capability Change of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2006
Change of Oil Refinery Industry Profit in China in Recent Years
Quarterly Change Trend of Profit and Loss Ratio of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2006
Profitability Change Trend of Oil Refinery Industry in China
Quarterly Change of Taxation of Oil Refinery Industry in China, 2006
Change of Ratio of Assets to Liabilities of Oil Refinery Industry in China in Recent Years
Assets and Liabilities Change Trend of Oil Refinery Industry in China by Quarter, 2006
Change of Ratio of Assets to Liabilities of Oil Refinery Industry by Region, 2006
Quarterly Operation Capability Change of Oil Refinery Industry by Region, 2006

Refined Oil Output of Two Largest Petroleum Companies, 2006
Basic Indices Comparison of Oil Refinery Industry between China and Foreign Countries
Entry System of Oil Refinery Industry
Gasoline Price Comparison before and after Price Adjustment (2007 Statistics)
Refined Oil Adjustment Price Track in China since 2005
Three Times of Refined Oil Price Reforms in China
Apparent Consumption Amount Forecast of Petroleum and Processing Products in China, 2007
Output Capability Utilization of Main Oil Refinery Enterprises in China up to Mar, 2007
Crude Oil Processing Amount Distribution in China by Province, 2006
CR4 and CR8 Concentration of Oil Refinery Industry Comparison between 2005 and 2006
Gasoline Output Distribution in China by Province, 2006
CR4 and CR8 Concentration of Gasoline Industry Comparison between 2005 and 2006
Kerosene Output Distribution in China by Province, 2006
CR4 and CR8 Concentration of Kerosene Industry Comparison between 2005 and 2006
Diesel Oil Output Distribution in China by Province, 2006
CR4 and CR8 Concentration of Diesel Oil Industry Comparison between 2005 and 2006
Lubricating Oil Output Distribution in China by Province, 2006
CR4 and CR8 Concentration of Lubricating Oil Industry Comparison between 2005 and 2006
Fuel Oil Output Distribution in China by Province, 2006
CR4 and CR8 Concentration of Fuel Oil Industry Comparison between 2005 and 2006
Forecast of Petroleum Processing Products Output, Import and Export, and Apparent Consumption Amount in China, 2007
Refined Oil Import Countries (Regions), 2006
Top Ten Refined Oil Import Units, 2006 (by Amount)
Refined Oil Export Countries (Regions), 2006
Top Ten Refined Oil Export Units, 2006 (by Amount)
Forecast of Petroleum and its Processing Product Import and Export in China, 2007
Main Oil Refinery Projects in China, 2006
Main Refined Oil Pipeline Projects in China, 2006
Output Value at Current Price of Main Provinces, 2006
Main Economy Indices of Petroleum and Chemical Industry in China, 2006
Main Business Revenue of Key Provinces, 2006
Profit Distribution of Oil Refinery Industry by Region, 2006
Top Ten Provinces by Taxation Imposed in China, 2006
Economy Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in China by Region, 2006
Main Finance Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in China by Region, 2006
Relevant Sub-industries with Key Support of Petrochemical Industry in China by Region during the 11th Five-year Period
Output of Main Oil Products in Liaoning, 2004-2006
Crude Oil Processing Capability of 7 Key Oil Refinery Factories in Liaoning, 2007
Main Economy Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Liaoning, 2006
Main Finance Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Liaoning, 2006
Output of Main Oil Products in Shandong, 2004-2006
Crude Oil Processing Amount of Key Oil Refinery Enterprises in Shandong, 2006
Main Economy Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Shandong, 2006
Main Finance Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Shandong, 2006
Output of Main Oil Products in Guangdong, 2004-2006
Crude Oil Processing Amount of Key Oil Refinery Enterprises in Guangdong, 2006
Main Economy Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Guangdong, 2006
Main Finance Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Guangdong, 2006
Three Five Plans of Guangdong Petrochemical Industry during the 11th Five-year Period
Output of Main Oil Products in Shanghai, 2004-2006
Output of Key Manufacturers of Shanghai Oil Refinery Industry, 2006
Main Economy Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Shanghai, 2006
Main Finance Indices Completion of Oil Refinery Industry in Shanghai, 2006
Crude Oil Processing Amount of Zhenhai Refinery & Chemical Co., Ltd in Recent Years
Output of Zhenhai Refinery & Chemical Co., Ltd, 2006
Output of Main Products of Maoming Petrochemical Co., Ltd, 2006

-Zhenhai Refinery & Chemical Co., Ltd
-Maoming Petrochemical Co., Ltd

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