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The Biofuels Market Outlook: Market Drivers, Growth Opportunities and Regulatory Change
Description:
Over 80 per cent of the world’s primary energy supply is currently derived from fossil fuels. Concerns around energy security, climate change and rising oil prices are driving the search for cheaper and more environmentally friendly alternatives. However, it is only recently that technological advances and reduced production costs have meant biofuels can fulfil this need.
‘The Biofuels Market Outlook: Market drivers, growth opportunities and regulatory change’ is a new report that provides forecasts for the biodiesel and ethanol markets, analyses the predicted growth of the biofuel economy, and how it is likely to influence fuel and biofuel prices. It details the strategies, incentives and legislation intended to boost the production and consumption of biofuels. It also contains the results of our proprietary industry survey detailing attitudes and perceptions towards biofuels. Quantify the size of the biofuels market and understand the key drivers, inhibitors, policies and regulations that will shape its future growth with this new report
Key Issues Examined In This Report...
-Advanced biofuels. Lignocellulosic fuels made from non-food feedstocks (waste from agriculture and forestry) offer more efficient, cleaner cost-effective biofuels in the longer term.
-Incentives. Future biofuels production and consumption expansion will depend heavily on incentives frameworks in order to stimulate the market. However, these will clearly affect the global fuel market.
-Biomass: Food or fuel? Increased biomass production may lead to deforestation and rising food crop prices, a particular concern in countries where leading biomass crops are consumed as food.
-Production costs. Feedstock prices, the process energy used, and the prices received for by-products from the production process drive production costs and vary widely across processes and geographical regions.
-Biofuel cost effectiveness. Ethanol and biodiesel will lead the market in the medium term because of the high distribution costs of methanol and hydrogen and production, storage and consumption issues.
This New Report Will Enable You To...
-Quantify the size of the ethanol and biodiesel market by region with this report’s production and demand data across Europe, Brazil, India and the US with forecasts to 2012.
-Assess the comparative performance of fossil fuels and biofuels with this report’s analysis of biofuel cost by feedstock at the filling station with existing and future technology.
-Examine the market dynamics of biofuels industry using this report's strategic analysis of key market drivers and inhibitors.
-Understand the impact governmental strategies and initiatives on the biofuel market using this report’s examination of of policies and regulations in major markets and key developing nations.
-Benchmark leading executives’ opinions on the future of biofuels using this report’s analysis of our proprietary global survey detailing the key issues affecting the biofuels market.
Key Findings From This Report...
-Biomass and biofuels accounted for nearly 21% of the world’s total renewable energy production in 2005. In addition, Energy industry executives believe that biofuels will ac count for 5-10% of total global fuel production by 2017.
-The cost of ethanol from starch crops will fall by nearly 20% between 2004 and 2010, while biodiesel produced from used oil and fat is likely to be the cheapest biofuel 2010.
-Biofuels will account for 5-10% of total global fuel production by 2017 in the opinion of 47% of industry energy executives responding to our proprietary survey.
-Ethanol production from beet and wheat will become a €20bn market in Europe by 2010. Advanced biofuels (second-generation) will account for Q10bn sales by that time.
-Biodiesel is expected to grow to represent 6% of total EU diesel consumption by 2010 from 2% in 2005. The EU accounted for 85% of global biodiesel production in 2005.
Your questions answered...
-Why is Brazil’s biofuel economy the most advanced in the world?
-How much biodiesel does the US produce every year?
-To what extent are India and China developing biofuels?
-How do fossil fuels and biofuels compare in terms of their cost-performance?
-When will biofuels account for 50% of the world’s primary energy
demand?
-Which governments around the world are doing the most to promote the biofuel economy?
-Why is lignocellulosic ethanol more desirable than bioethanol?
-Which countries produce and consume the most biodiesel?
‘The Biofuels Market Outlook: Market drivers, growth opportunities and regulatory change’ is a new report that provides forecasts for the biodiesel and ethanol markets, analyses the predicted growth of the biofuel economy, and how it is likely to influence fuel and biofuel prices. It details the strategies, incentives and legislation intended to boost the production and consumption of biofuels. It also contains the results of our proprietary industry survey detailing attitudes and perceptions towards biofuels. Quantify the size of the biofuels market and understand the key drivers, inhibitors, policies and regulations that will shape its future growth with this new report
Key Issues Examined In This Report...
-Advanced biofuels. Lignocellulosic fuels made from non-food feedstocks (waste from agriculture and forestry) offer more efficient, cleaner cost-effective biofuels in the longer term.
-Incentives. Future biofuels production and consumption expansion will depend heavily on incentives frameworks in order to stimulate the market. However, these will clearly affect the global fuel market.
-Biomass: Food or fuel? Increased biomass production may lead to deforestation and rising food crop prices, a particular concern in countries where leading biomass crops are consumed as food.
-Production costs. Feedstock prices, the process energy used, and the prices received for by-products from the production process drive production costs and vary widely across processes and geographical regions.
-Biofuel cost effectiveness. Ethanol and biodiesel will lead the market in the medium term because of the high distribution costs of methanol and hydrogen and production, storage and consumption issues.
This New Report Will Enable You To...
-Quantify the size of the ethanol and biodiesel market by region with this report’s production and demand data across Europe, Brazil, India and the US with forecasts to 2012.
-Assess the comparative performance of fossil fuels and biofuels with this report’s analysis of biofuel cost by feedstock at the filling station with existing and future technology.
-Examine the market dynamics of biofuels industry using this report's strategic analysis of key market drivers and inhibitors.
-Understand the impact governmental strategies and initiatives on the biofuel market using this report’s examination of of policies and regulations in major markets and key developing nations.
-Benchmark leading executives’ opinions on the future of biofuels using this report’s analysis of our proprietary global survey detailing the key issues affecting the biofuels market.
Key Findings From This Report...
-Biomass and biofuels accounted for nearly 21% of the world’s total renewable energy production in 2005. In addition, Energy industry executives believe that biofuels will ac count for 5-10% of total global fuel production by 2017.
-The cost of ethanol from starch crops will fall by nearly 20% between 2004 and 2010, while biodiesel produced from used oil and fat is likely to be the cheapest biofuel 2010.
-Biofuels will account for 5-10% of total global fuel production by 2017 in the opinion of 47% of industry energy executives responding to our proprietary survey.
-Ethanol production from beet and wheat will become a €20bn market in Europe by 2010. Advanced biofuels (second-generation) will account for Q10bn sales by that time.
-Biodiesel is expected to grow to represent 6% of total EU diesel consumption by 2010 from 2% in 2005. The EU accounted for 85% of global biodiesel production in 2005.
Your questions answered...
-Why is Brazil’s biofuel economy the most advanced in the world?
-How much biodiesel does the US produce every year?
-To what extent are India and China developing biofuels?
-How do fossil fuels and biofuels compare in terms of their cost-performance?
-When will biofuels account for 50% of the world’s primary energy
demand?
-Which governments around the world are doing the most to promote the biofuel economy?
-Why is lignocellulosic ethanol more desirable than bioethanol?
-Which countries produce and consume the most biodiesel?
Contents:
The Biofuels Market Outlook
Executive Summary
What is biofuel?
Industry forecasts for biofuels
Biofuels market drivers and inhibitors
The biofuel economy
Biofuels market size and forecast
Regulations and policies
Chapter 1 Introduction
Audience
How to read this report
Chapter 2 What is biofuel?
Summary
World energy demand
Climate change
Renewable energy
Biomass
What is biomass?
Population, energy consumption and biomass
What is biofuel?
Solid biofuels
Liquid biofuels
Gas biofuels
Biofuels in current use
Ethanol
Distribution, storage and blending
End-use
Biodiesel
Distribution, storage, blending
End-use
Advanced biofuels
Chapter 3 Industry forecasts for biofuels
Summary
Introduction
Economic competitiveness of biofuels and biomass
Biofuel technology development
Biofuel drivers and inhibitors
Conclusions
Chapter 4 Biofuel drivers and inhibitors
Summary
Market background
Drivers of the biofuels market
Greenhouse gases and environmental concerns
Regulatory incentives/pressure
Concern about energy security
Rising cost of existing fuel supplies
Consumer pressure
Inhibitors of the biofuels market
The biofuel economy
Sustainability concerns and the rising price of food crops
Limited biofuels infrastructure
Biomass and land availability
Chapter 5 The biofuel economy
Summary
Introduction
The biofuel economy
Production costs
Cost of distribution
Cost at filling station
Car costs and fuel efficiency
Conclusions
Chapter 6 Biofuels market size and
forecasts
Summary
Worldwide energy demand
Biofuels market sizing
Worldwide
Ethanol
Biodiesel
Europe
Ethanol
Biodiesel
The US
Ethanol production
Biodiesel
Brazil
Ethanol
India
Ethanol
Biodiesel
China
Chapter 7 Biofuels policies and regulations
Summary
Introduction
Policy frameworks
Renewable energy targets
Kyoto Protocol
European Union
The United States
Developing nations
Biofuels targets
Biofuels policy overview by region
The European Union
Biofuels Directive
Directive 2003/96/EC
Incentives for biofuels
Tax incentives
The United States
US Energy Policy Act 2005
Brazil
Proalcool Program
India
National Biodiesel Mission
China
National Biomass Ethanol Gasoline Project
The Renewable Energy Law of the People’s Republic of China
Conclusions
References
Index
List of Figures
Figure 3.1: Relative competitiveness of alternative energies in five years
Figure 3.2: Relative economic competitiveness of biofuels now and in the next five years
Figure 3.3: What proportion of world fuel/demand will biofuels and biomass account for by 2017?
Figure 3.4: Within how long will biofuels account for 50% of global fuel/energy production?
Figure 3.5: Which regions will lead the development of biofuels over the next five years?
Figure 3.6: How important will the following factors be in driving the biofuels market over the next five years?
Figure 3.7: How important will the following factors be in inhibiting the biofuels market over the next five years?
Figure 3.8: What impact will biofuels production have on the global price of food crops?
Figure 4.9: Projected worldwide oil consumption
Figure 4.10: Opting for green energy is one behavioural aspect of rising environmental attitudes
Figure 4.11: The potential biomass availability of EU15, AC10 and/or Europe according to five studies (left part of the figure)
Figure 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facility to a filling station (€/GJ)
Figure 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)
Figure 5.14: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and engine system
Figure 6.15: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005
Figure 7.16: Mechanisms to incentivize renewable energy generation
Figure 7.17: Renewable electricity production in Germany and UK, 1995-2005
Figure 7.18: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012
vii
List of Tables
Table 2.1: World Renewable Energy 2005
Table 2.2: Population, energy consumption and biomass contribution in selected regions
Table 2.3: Typical oil extraction from 100kg of oil seeds
Table 2.4: Comparison of first-generation versus ‘advanced’ biofuels
Table 4.5: Projected world energy demand to 2030
Table 4.6: Growth in energy demand by region (2000-2030)
Table 4.7: Projected worldwide oil consumption (million barrels / day), 2005-2025
Table 4.8: CO2 equivalent emissions savings from biofuels
Table 4.9: Average annual oil price (US$ per barrel)
Table 4.10: Key barriers for biofuels
Table 5.11: Production costs of biofuels from various crops
Table 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facility to a filling station (€/GJ)
Table 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)
Table 5.14: Cost comparison of biofuels with petroleum fossil fuels
Table 5.15: Cost estimates of various biofuels at the filling station using future technology, post- 2010
Table 5.16: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and engine system
Table 6.17: Comparison of worldwide fuel production from hydrocarbon sources versus biomass sources, 2005
Table 6.18: Amounts of raw materials to meet worldwide fuel demand, 2005
Table 6.19: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005
Table 6.20: Worldwide ethanol supply and demand, 2005 and 2010 (m3) for selected countries
Table 6.21: Top European ethanol producers 2005 (millions of gallons)
Table 6.22: EU market share of biodiesel production in 2005
Table 6.23: Projected US ethanol production, 2006-2012
Table 6.24: US ethanol market revenue forecast, 2006-2012
Table 6.25: Ethanol profile comparison of the US and Brazil (2006)
Table 6.26: Projected demand and supply of ethanol in India for 5% blend with gasoline
Table 6.27: Projected demand for gasoline and diesel in India to 2012
Table 6.28: Diesel and biodiesel demand in India using Jatropha
Table 7.29: Biofuels infrastructure profiles Q107
Table 7.30: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012
Table 7.31: Biofuels energy targets
Table 7.32: Biofuel policy overview of selected countries
Executive Summary
What is biofuel?
Industry forecasts for biofuels
Biofuels market drivers and inhibitors
The biofuel economy
Biofuels market size and forecast
Regulations and policies
Chapter 1 Introduction
Audience
How to read this report
Chapter 2 What is biofuel?
Summary
World energy demand
Climate change
Renewable energy
Biomass
What is biomass?
Population, energy consumption and biomass
What is biofuel?
Solid biofuels
Liquid biofuels
Gas biofuels
Biofuels in current use
Ethanol
Distribution, storage and blending
End-use
Biodiesel
Distribution, storage, blending
End-use
Advanced biofuels
Chapter 3 Industry forecasts for biofuels
Summary
Introduction
Economic competitiveness of biofuels and biomass
Biofuel technology development
Biofuel drivers and inhibitors
Conclusions
Chapter 4 Biofuel drivers and inhibitors
Summary
Market background
Drivers of the biofuels market
Greenhouse gases and environmental concerns
Regulatory incentives/pressure
Concern about energy security
Rising cost of existing fuel supplies
Consumer pressure
Inhibitors of the biofuels market
The biofuel economy
Sustainability concerns and the rising price of food crops
Limited biofuels infrastructure
Biomass and land availability
Chapter 5 The biofuel economy
Summary
Introduction
The biofuel economy
Production costs
Cost of distribution
Cost at filling station
Car costs and fuel efficiency
Conclusions
Chapter 6 Biofuels market size and
forecasts
Summary
Worldwide energy demand
Biofuels market sizing
Worldwide
Ethanol
Biodiesel
Europe
Ethanol
Biodiesel
The US
Ethanol production
Biodiesel
Brazil
Ethanol
India
Ethanol
Biodiesel
China
Chapter 7 Biofuels policies and regulations
Summary
Introduction
Policy frameworks
Renewable energy targets
Kyoto Protocol
European Union
The United States
Developing nations
Biofuels targets
Biofuels policy overview by region
The European Union
Biofuels Directive
Directive 2003/96/EC
Incentives for biofuels
Tax incentives
The United States
US Energy Policy Act 2005
Brazil
Proalcool Program
India
National Biodiesel Mission
China
National Biomass Ethanol Gasoline Project
The Renewable Energy Law of the People’s Republic of China
Conclusions
References
Index
List of Figures
Figure 3.1: Relative competitiveness of alternative energies in five years
Figure 3.2: Relative economic competitiveness of biofuels now and in the next five years
Figure 3.3: What proportion of world fuel/demand will biofuels and biomass account for by 2017?
Figure 3.4: Within how long will biofuels account for 50% of global fuel/energy production?
Figure 3.5: Which regions will lead the development of biofuels over the next five years?
Figure 3.6: How important will the following factors be in driving the biofuels market over the next five years?
Figure 3.7: How important will the following factors be in inhibiting the biofuels market over the next five years?
Figure 3.8: What impact will biofuels production have on the global price of food crops?
Figure 4.9: Projected worldwide oil consumption
Figure 4.10: Opting for green energy is one behavioural aspect of rising environmental attitudes
Figure 4.11: The potential biomass availability of EU15, AC10 and/or Europe according to five studies (left part of the figure)
Figure 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facility to a filling station (€/GJ)
Figure 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)
Figure 5.14: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and engine system
Figure 6.15: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005
Figure 7.16: Mechanisms to incentivize renewable energy generation
Figure 7.17: Renewable electricity production in Germany and UK, 1995-2005
Figure 7.18: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012
vii
List of Tables
Table 2.1: World Renewable Energy 2005
Table 2.2: Population, energy consumption and biomass contribution in selected regions
Table 2.3: Typical oil extraction from 100kg of oil seeds
Table 2.4: Comparison of first-generation versus ‘advanced’ biofuels
Table 4.5: Projected world energy demand to 2030
Table 4.6: Growth in energy demand by region (2000-2030)
Table 4.7: Projected worldwide oil consumption (million barrels / day), 2005-2025
Table 4.8: CO2 equivalent emissions savings from biofuels
Table 4.9: Average annual oil price (US$ per barrel)
Table 4.10: Key barriers for biofuels
Table 5.11: Production costs of biofuels from various crops
Table 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facility to a filling station (€/GJ)
Table 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)
Table 5.14: Cost comparison of biofuels with petroleum fossil fuels
Table 5.15: Cost estimates of various biofuels at the filling station using future technology, post- 2010
Table 5.16: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and engine system
Table 6.17: Comparison of worldwide fuel production from hydrocarbon sources versus biomass sources, 2005
Table 6.18: Amounts of raw materials to meet worldwide fuel demand, 2005
Table 6.19: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005
Table 6.20: Worldwide ethanol supply and demand, 2005 and 2010 (m3) for selected countries
Table 6.21: Top European ethanol producers 2005 (millions of gallons)
Table 6.22: EU market share of biodiesel production in 2005
Table 6.23: Projected US ethanol production, 2006-2012
Table 6.24: US ethanol market revenue forecast, 2006-2012
Table 6.25: Ethanol profile comparison of the US and Brazil (2006)
Table 6.26: Projected demand and supply of ethanol in India for 5% blend with gasoline
Table 6.27: Projected demand for gasoline and diesel in India to 2012
Table 6.28: Diesel and biodiesel demand in India using Jatropha
Table 7.29: Biofuels infrastructure profiles Q107
Table 7.30: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012
Table 7.31: Biofuels energy targets
Table 7.32: Biofuel policy overview of selected countries
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