Wireless Broadband Technology Trends Report Q1 2008

West Technology Research Solutions, January 2008, Pages: 69

This market report analyzes and forecasts the market for “Wireless Broadband” technologies.

The report includes a thorough evaluation of emerging technologies including WiMAX, both fixed and mobile, WiBro, BPL (broadband over Powerline), and advanced optical fiber. Analysis includes an assessment of the market, regulatory, and governmental drivers on a global scale.

Included is analysis of the WiMAX Forum, IPv6, and the emergence of ENUM. The report includes global & regional market trends & forecasts, regulatory issues, standards development, economic effects, and strategic developments.

Who needs this report?

- WiMAX Semiconductor Companies
- Cellular Service Providers
- WiMAX Service Providers
- Cable Service Providers
- WiMAX Equipment Companies
- Wireless Broadband Access Companies

Executive Summary 6
Industry & Market Overview 6
Broadband Opportunities are Expanding at a Tremendous Rate 6
Declining margins & increased competition facing today’s Telcos 8
Entertainment and Information Services Market is a Huge Opportunity 8
Network Management & Service Differentiation for Operators 9
Broadband Wireless WiMAX Market Development 10
WiMAX Review 11
Relative Positioning of Fixed versus Mobile WiMAX 12
WiMAX Market Opportunities for Component Manufacturers 13
Market Drivers 14
Effects of Tax Credits 14
The EDA’s Broadband Investment Program 14
The Federal Broadband Rights-of-Way Program 14
Increased Radio Spectrum Available for Broadband Use 15
Dramatic Regulatory Rule Changes in the FCC 15
Foreign Influences over US Regulatory Actions 16
Deregulation in Europe – a multi-decade effort 17
Norway’s Government will Deploy Broadband 17
High-speed Internet services driving broadband operator margins lower 18
The development of WiMAX Mobile Internet Services 19
Japan’s FTTH Deployments Lead the Way for WiMAX 20
The Regulatory Economics of Fixed WiMAX Drive it Overseas 21
Global Spectrum Availability of WiMAX 22
Business Case 24
Existing Competition: DSL 24
Existing Competition: Cable 25
Existing Competition: Optical Fiber 27
Emerging Competion: Broadband over Powerline (BPL) 29
Analysis of Cellular Displacement by WiMAX 31
Applications 32
Total Addressable Market Analysis for WiMAX in Africa 32
Analysis of WiMAX in Pakistan 34
Alliance Activity 35
Standards Bodies that Define WiMAX 35
WiMAX Component Alliances & Markets 36
IP & Technical Analysis 39
Analysis of WiMAX Technology Development 39
Mobile WiMAX Developments 42
Mobile WiMAX Semiconductor Developments 43
Smart Antenna Requirements for WiMAX 44
Fixed Wireless Technology Comparison 45
Analysis of WiMAX Market Potential (Fixed vs. Mobile) 46
Market Forecasts 48

Tables & Figures
Broadband Penetration Forecast in G7 Countries 9
Historic WiMAX Events 11
Fixed vs Mobile WiMAX Chipset Shipment Trends (2005-2016) 12
Broadband Adoption by Geography (2005 - 2012) 16
WiMAX Properties 19
WiMAX New Technology Adoption Cycle: State of Today 20
Portable (802.16e) WiMAX Applications 20
Broadband Wireless WiMAX Applications 21
WiMAX Spectrum Allocation & Availability 22
DSL Deployment Costs 23
DSL Benefits 23
Cable (Hybrid Fiber Coax) Deployment Costs 24
Cable Benefits 25
FTTx Standards 26
FTTx Deployment Costs 27
Telecom Technology Displacement Forecast (2005-2011) 31
African WiMAX Activities 32
Growth of Fixed WiMAX in African Nations 33
Growth of Mobile WiMAX in African Nations 33
WiMAX Forum 35
Mobile WiMAX Radio Component Availability 40
Mobile WiMAX Baseband Component Availability 41
Infrastructure Deployment Revenue (WiMAX vs HSPA) 42
IEEE 802.16e WiMAX Shipments in Presence of End User Applications (2007-2012) 43
IEEE 802.16 Working Group Definitions & Status 44
WiMAX Opportunity Summary 45
Fixed WiMAX Technologies 46
Wireless Broadband Chipset Sales Forecast (2005-2012) 48
Wireless Broadband Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 49
Wireless Broadband Chipset Average Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 50
Wireless Broadband by Technology Chipset Sales Forecast (2005-2012) 51
Wireless Broadband by Technology Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 52
Wireless Broadband by Technology Chipset Ave. Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 53
HSPA/WCMDA Chipset Sales Forecast (2005-2012) 54
HSPA/WCMDA Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 55
HSPA/WCMDA Chipset Ave. Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 56
IEEE 802.16e Chipset Sales Forecast (2005-2012) 57
IEEE 802.16e Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 58
IEEE 802.16e Chipset Ave. Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 59
IEEE 802.16d Chipset Sales Forecast (2005-2012) 60
IEEE 802.16d Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 61
IEEE 802.16d Chipset Ave. Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 62
GSM Chipset Sales Forecast (2005-2012) 63
GSM Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 64
GSM Chipset Ave. Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 65
LTE Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 66
IEEE 802.16m Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 67
IEEE 802.16m Chipset Ave. Selling Price Forecast (2005-2012) 68
IEEE 802.16m Chipset Shipment Forecast (2005-2012) 69

President Bush said we’ll all be connected by 2007, Speaker of the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi said Democrats will ensure that will happen within 5 years. Certainly broadband coverage is growing rapidly, but the role of Government seems irrelevant to that “surge.” Many technologies, explained and defined in this report, contribute. How they do so, and how quickly we get to “universal” broadband will be driven by usefulness, technological improvement, and (not least) market savvy companies.

Broadband access in the typical US household is on a steady growth trend. Fuelled both by consumer demand for entertainment and communication as well as governmental regulatory and economic incentives, companies at all levels of the broadband services and infrastructure value chain are developing new technologies and enabling new services that will continue to push the US broadband market forward over the next 4-6 years.

The development of wired broadband network infrastructures in fact enable the deployment of wireless technologies. As an example, the development of fiber optic infrastructure offers a market driver for the development of WiMAX in developed countries.

Contrary to current opinion, there is substantial competition to WiMAX. Traditional, or wired, broadband technologies offer direct competition to fixed WiMAX and are being fuelled by governmental encouragement on a global scale. The deployment of IPv6 on a global scale will mark a new era for humanity, at least those connected to technology. In order for various countries to participate in the increased security afforded as a byproduct of IPv6, the internet infrastructure technologies must be in place. These are marketed as broadband services to the consumer and the development of triple- and quadruple-play offerings which combine television broadcast, interactive content delivery, internet services, and voice communications capabilities. In this respect wired technologies such as optical fiber are in fact in competition with mobile WiMAX, in spite of the drastic difference in features each technology enables.

- Airspan
- Altair Semiconductor
- Alvarion
- ArrayCom
- Beceem
- Cllearwire
- Comsys
- Core Sonic
- DesignArt
- Freescale
- Fujitsu
- GCT Semiconductor
- Intel
- NextWave Broadband
- NXP
- Picochip
- RedDot Wireless
- Redpine Signals
- Runcom Technologies
- Sequans
- Sprint
- ST Micro
- TI
- ZTE

Products Mentioned

- EEE 802.16.d
- Fixed WiMAX
- FTTx
- GSM
- HSPA/WCDMA
- IEEE 802.16.e
- LTE
- Mobile WiMAX

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