Catering Market - Market Review 2008

Key Note Publications Ltd, March 2008, Pages: 220

The UK catering market grew by an estimated 4.3% in 2007 to £32.44bn at current retail selling prices (rsp). The industry as covered includes the following markets: restaurants; fast food and takeaways; contract catering and foodservice management; hotels; public houses; licensed clubs; and holiday camps/villages and caravan/camping sites. In 2007, the fastest-growing market was public houses. However, all markets demonstrated some growth during the year.

Companies involved in catering faced a challenging marketplace in 2007, with pubs and high-street dining chains being affected by the smoking ban (which was introduced progressively throughout the UK in 2006/2007), consumer concerns about high interest rates and the need to reduce debt, and tighter consumer-credit lending restrictions by banks. Profit warnings were issued by a number of restaurant chains in the second half of the year, and the low-cost finance deals that fuelled much of the takeover and merger activity witnessed in recent years has become less common.

The introduction of the smoking ban across the UK has presented the catering industry — and pubs, licensed clubs and restaurants, in particular —with one of its greatest challenges. For example, operators of bingo clubs, which attract a high proportion of smokers, have been badly affected by the ban, and public houses that cater mainly for drinkers, have no outside drinking area and offer a minimal food service are also under pressure. Some restaurants that attracted large numbers of smokers before the ban might also be affected by the potential loss of this customer group. By contrast, the many public houses and pub-restaurant groups that place a strong emphasis on food are already reporting increasing sales from their establishments.

In 2007, the volume of beer sold through pubs was at its lowest level since the 1930s. In the face of this, food sales have gained even greater importance for the leading pub chains, and many have introduced initiatives aimed at stimulating the market, such as: investment in upgrading pubs; the development of menus, with greater emphasis on local sourcing and healthy eating; and promotional activity targeted at families and more mature customers. The development of catering formats that are appropriate for different markets is also being pursued, e.g. pubs that specialise in particular types of food, such as seafood, meat or pizza/pasta.

We forecast that the UK catering market will produce further steady growth over the period from 2008 to 2012, although, in the short term, the possibility of lower consumer spending could affect sales in some sectors. Over the longer term, the UK economy is expected to remain favourable, and a strong incoming tourist market should continue to boost sales. The expansion and refurbishment plans of many of the leading operators, combined with the greater emphasis on food by many of the leading pub chains, should also encourage sales growth. Although the medium-term impact of the smoking ban remains uncertain, most of the leading pub and restaurant chains are confident that a smoke-free atmosphere will benefit sales in the long term.

Executive Summary

1. Industry Overview
REPORT COVERAGE
REPORT BACKGROUND
ECONOMIC TRENDS
Gross Domestic Product
Table 1.1: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2002-2006
Inflation
Table 1.2: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2002-2006
Unemployment
Table 1.3: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2002-2006
Population
Table 1.4: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2002-2006
Household Disposable Income
Table 1.5: UK Household Disposable Income Per Capita (£), 2002-2006
MARKET SIZE
Table 1.6: The Total UK Catering Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Table 1.7: The Total UK Catering Market by Individual Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
Market Shares
Table 1.8: The Total UK Catering Market by Individual Market by Value at Current Prices (%), 2003-2007
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Number of UK Businesses
Table 1.9: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Catering and Allied Trades by Sector of Activity (number and %), 2006 and 2007
Table 1.10: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Catering and Allied Trades by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2006 and 2007
Employment
Table 1.11: Number of Employees in Catering and Allied Trades Sectors in Great Britain (000), 2002-2006
MARKET POSITION
Table 1.12: UK Household Consumption Expenditure in Selected Areas at Current Prices (£m), 2002-2006
KEY TRENDS
Restaurants
Fast Food and Takeaways
Contract Catering and Foodservice Management
Hotels
Public Houses
Other Catering Markets
LEGISLATION
Food Safety Act
Smoking Ban
Fire Safety Regulations
European F-Gas Regulation
Immigration, Asylum and Nationality Act 2006
Employment Bill 2007/2008
Labour-Related Legislation
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
British Beer & Pub Association
British Hospitality Association
HOTREC

2. PEST Analysis
POLITICAL FACTORS
ECONOMIC FACTORS
SOCIAL FACTORS
TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS

3. Key Note Primary Research
INTRODUCTION
Table 3.1: Popular Occasions for Eating Out (% of respondents), 2004-2007
OCCASIONS FOR EATING OUT
During Special Occasions and While Away on Holiday
Table 3.2: Adults Who Eat Out During Special Occasions and Get-Togethers, or While Away on Holiday, by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of respondents), 2007
While Shopping and For Snacks Between Meals
Table 3.3: Adults Who Eat Out While Shopping or For Snacks Between Meals by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of respondents), 2007
Before or After Going to the Cinema/Theatre or the Pub
Table 3.4: Adults Who Eat Out Before or After Going to the Cinema/Theatre, or Before or After Going to the Pub in the Evening, by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of respondents), 2007
At Airports, Motorway Service Areas and Railway Stations
Table 3.5: Adults Who Eat Out at Airports, Motorway Service Areas and Railway Stations by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of respondents), 2007
At Sunday Lunchtimes and For Weekday Breakfasts
Table 3.6: Adults Who Eat Out at Sunday Lunchtimes or For Weekday Breakfasts by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of respondents), 2007

4. Competitive Structure
THE MARKETPLACE
Restaurants
Fast Foods and Takeaways
Contract Catering
Hotels
Public Houses
Other Catering Markets
MARKET LEADERS
Table 4.1: Selected Leading Catering Companies by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m), 2006/2007
Compass Group PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.2: Compass Group PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 30th September 2005-2007
Mitchells & Butlers PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.3: Mitchells & Butlers PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 1st October 2005, 30th September 2006 and 29th September 2007
Whitbread PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.4: Whitbread PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 3rd March 2005, 2nd March 2006 and 1st March 2007
Punch Taverns PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.5: Punch Taverns PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 20th August 2005, 19th August 2006 and 18th August 2007
McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.6: McDonald's Restaurants Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
Enterprise Inns PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.7: Enterprise Inns PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 30th September 2005-2007
Greene King PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.8: Greene King PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 1st May 2005, 30th April 2006 and 29th April 2007
JD Wetherspoon PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.9: JD Wetherspoon PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 24th July 2005, 30th July 2006 and 29th July 2007
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.10: InterContinental Hotels Group PLC — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006
Gondola Holdings Ltd
Company Structure
Financial Results
Table 4.11: Gondola Holdings Ltd — Financial Performance (£m and %), Years Ending 26th June 2005 and 2nd July 2006
Other Companies
BurgerKing Ltd
Financial Results
Guoman Hotels Ltd
Financial Results
Marston's PLC
Financial Results
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
Financial Results
The Rank Group PLC
Financial Results
The Restaurant Group PLC
Financial Results
Sodexo Ltd
Financial Results
Yum! Brands Inc
Financial Results
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Table 4.12: Main Media Advertising Expenditure in the UK Catering Market (£000), Years Ending September 2006 and 2007

5. Restaurants
DEFINITION
KEY TRENDS
MARKET SIZE
Table 5.1: The UK Restaurants Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Pub Restaurants
Table 5.2: The UK Pub-Restaurants Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Roadside Restaurants
Table 5.3: The UK Roadside Restaurants Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Other Restaurants
Table 5.4: The UK `Other Restaurants' Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Number of UK Businesses
Table 5.5: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Restaurants, Cafés and Takeaways, 2003-2007
By Turnover
Table 5.6: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Restaurants, Cafés and Takeaways by Turnover Sizeband (number), 2003-2007
Table 5.7: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Restaurants, Cafés and Takeaways by Turnover Sizeband (%), 2003-2007
Employment
Table 5.8: Number of Employees in the Restaurant Industry in Great Britain (000), 2002-2006
Table 5.9: Analysis of UK Local Units Engaged as Restaurants, Cafés and Takeaways by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007
MAJOR PLAYERS
The Clapham House Group PLC
Gondola Holdings Ltd
Greene King PLC
The Laurel Pub Company Ltd
Little Chef
Mitchells & Butlers PLC
Nando's Chicken Ltd
Prezzo PLC
The Restaurant Group PLC
Spirit (SGL) Ltd
Tragus Group Ltd
Whitbread PLC
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Table 5.10: Selected Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Restaurants by Brand (£000), Year Ending September 2007
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
Table 5.11: Adults Who Have Been Out for a Meal in a Restaurant in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (%), 2007
Table 5.12: Frequency of Restaurant Visits in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), 2007
Table 5.13: Users of Restaurants in the Last 3 Months by Type of Restaurant (% of adults), 2007
FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012
Table 5.14: The Forecast UK Restaurants Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012

6. Fast Food and Takeaways
DEFINITION
KEY TRENDS
MARKET SIZE
Table 6.1: The UK Fast-Food and Takeaways Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Sandwiches
Table 6.2: The UK Sandwich Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Burgers
Table 6.3: The UK Burgers Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Pizza
Table 6.4: The UK Pizza Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Fish and Chips
Table 6.5: The UK Fish-and-Chips Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Chicken
Table 6.6: The UK Chicken Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Other Fast Food and Takeaways
Table 6.7: The UK `Other Fast-Food and Takeaways' Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Number of UK Businesses
Employment
MAJOR PLAYERS
Table 6.8: The UK's Leading Fast-Food and Takeaway Chains by Sector and Number of Outlets, 2007
Sandwiches
Greggs PLC
Lyndale Foods Ltd
O'Briens Irish Sandwich Bars (UK) Ltd
Pret A Manger (Europe) Ltd
Subway
Burgers
BurgerKing Ltd
McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
Wimpy Ltd
Pizza
Domino's Pizza UK & Ireland PLC
Perfect Pizza Ltd
Pizza Hut
Fish and Chips
Harry Ramsden's Ltd
Chicken
Kentucky Fried Chicken (Great Britain) Ltd
Other Fast Food and Takeaways
Coffee Shops
Table 6.9: The UK's Leading Coffee Shop Brands by Number of Outlets, 2004-2007
OTHERS
SSP
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Table 6.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Selected Fast-Food Brands (£000), Year Ending September 2007
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
Fast Food (Eat In)
Table 6.11: Adults Who Have Eaten Fast Foods (Eat In) in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Presence of Children in Household (%), 2007
Table 6.12: Frequency of Eating Fast Foods (Eat In) in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Presence of Children in Household (% of adults), 2007
Coffee Shops and Sandwich Bars
Table 6.13: Adults Who Have Visited Coffee Shops and/or Sandwich Bars in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (%), 2007
Table 6.14: Frequency of Coffee Shop Visits in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007
Table 6.15: Frequency of Sandwich Bar Visits in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of adults), 2007
FORECASTS 2007 TO 2012
Table 6.16: The Forecast UK Fast-Food and Takeaways Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012

7. Contract Catering and Foodservice Management
DEFINITION
KEY TRENDS
MARKET SIZE
By Value
Table 7.1: The UK Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Business and Industry
Table 7.2: The UK Business and Industry Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Education
Table 7.3: The UK Education Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Healthcare
Table 7.4: The UK Healthcare Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Catering for the Public
Table 7.5: The UK Public Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Other Contract Catering and Foodservice Management
Table 7.6: The UK Other Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Number of UK Businesses
Table 7.7: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Catering, 2003-2007
By Turnover
Table 7.8: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Catering by Turnover Sizeband (number), 2003-2007
Table 7.9: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Catering by Turnover Sizeband (%), 2003-2007
Employment
Table 7.10: Number of Employees in the Canteen and Catering Industries in Great Britain (000), 2002-2006
Table 7.11: Analysis of UK Local Units Engaged in Catering by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007
MAJOR PLAYERS
Aramark Ltd
Compass Group PLC
Elior UK Ltd
Initial Catering Services Ltd
Sodexo Ltd
WSH Group Ltd
OTHER COMPANIES
Charlton House Catering Services Ltd
Lindley Catering Ltd
Massarella Catering Ltd
OCS Group Ltd
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
Table 7.12: Average Weekly Expenditure by UK Households on Contract Catering, Workplace Meals and School Meals (£), 2001/2002-2005/2006
By Income
Table 7.13: UK Average Weekly Household Expenditure on Contract Catering (Food) and Canteens by Income Decile Group (£), 2005/2006
By Age
Table 7.14: UK Average Weekly Household Expenditure on Contract Catering (Food) and Canteens by Age of Household Reference Person (£), 2005/2006
By Region
Table 7.15: UK Average Weekly Household Expenditure on Contract Catering (Food) and Canteens by Government Office Region (£), 2005/2006
Business and Industry
Education
Healthcare
Ministry of Defence
FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012
Table 7.16: The Forecast UK Contract Catering and Foodservice Management Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012

8. Hotels
DEFINITION
KEY TRENDS
MARKET SIZE
Total Sales
Table 8.1: The UK Hotels Market — Total Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Corporate Sector
Table 8.2: The UK Hotels Market — Corporate Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Consumer Sector
Table 8.3: The UK Hotels Market — Consumer Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
Catering Sales
Table 8.4: The UK Hotels Market — Catering Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Number of UK Businesses
Table 8.5: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Hotels and Motels, 2003-2007
By Turnover
Table 8.6: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Hotels and Motels by Turnover Sizeband (number), 2003-2007
Table 8.7: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Hotels and Motels by Turnover Sizeband (%), 2003-2007
Employment
Table 8.8: Number of Employees in the Hotel Industry in Great Britain (000), 2002-2006
Table 8.9: Analysis of UK Local Units Engaged as Hotels and Motels by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007
MAJOR PLAYERS
Accor UK Ltd
The Alternative Hotel Group Ltd
Best Western
Britannia Hotels Ltd
Choice Hotels Europe
Guoman Hotels Ltd
Hilton Hotels Corporation
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Jarvis Hotels Ltd
Macdonald Hotels Ltd
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
Premier Inn Hotels Ltd
Travelodge Hotels Ltd
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Table 8.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Hotels by Brand (£000), Year Ending September 2007
FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012
The Total Market
Table 8.11: The Forecast UK Hotels Market — Total Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012
Catering Sales
Table 8.12: The Forecast UK Hotels Market — Catering Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012

9. Public Houses
DEFINITION
KEY TRENDS
MARKET SIZE
The Total Market
Table 9.1: The UK Public Houses Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2003-2007
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Public Houses and Pub Restaurants
Table 9.2: Catering Sales by Public Houses and Pub Restaurants by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Number of UK Businesses
Table 9.3: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Licensed Clubs and Pubs, 2003-2007
By Turnover
Table 9.4: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Licensed Clubs and Pubs by Turnover Sizeband (number), 2003-2007
Table 9.5: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Licensed Clubs and Pubs by Turnover Sizeband (%), 2003-2007
Employment
Table 9.6: Number of Employees in Pubs and Bars in Great Britain (000), 2002-2006
Table 9.7: Analysis of UK Local Units Engaged as Licensed Clubs and Pubs by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007
Table 9.8: Selected Leading Pub Operators by Area of Operation and Number of Pubs, 2007
Admiral Taverns Ltd
Enterprise Inns PLC
Greene King PLC
Marston's PLC
Mitchells & Butlers PLC
Punch Taverns PLC
Scottish & Newcastle Pub Enterprises
Spirit (SGL) Ltd
Wellington Pub Company PLC
JD Wetherspoon PLC
Other Companies
Table 9.9: Selected Other UK Public-House Owners by Type of Organisation and Number of Pubs, 2007
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Table 9.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Beer by Brand (£000), Year Ending September 2007
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
Table 9.11: Adults Who Have Visited Pubs and Bars for a Drink or a Meal by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (%), 2007
Table 9.12: Frequency of Pub Usage for Drinks or Meals in the Day or in the Evening by Sex (% of adults), 2007
FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012
Table 9.13: The Forecast UK Public Houses Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2008-2012

10. Other Catering Markets
DEFINITION
KEY TRENDS
LICENSED CLUBS
Definition
Market Size
Table 10.1: The Total UK Market for Catering at Licensed Clubs by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
Supply Structure
Casinos
Table 10.2: Structure of Casino Ownership in the UK (number of casinos), Year Ending March 2007
Bingo Clubs
Major Players
Gala Coral Group Ltd
Genting International PLC
Harrah's Entertainment Inc
Novus Leisure Ltd
The Rank Group PLC
Marketing Activity
Table 10.3: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Nightclubs/Discotheques, Sports/Football Pools/Lottery/Bingo and Offline Casinos (£000), Year Ending September 2007
Buying Behaviour
Table 10.4: Frequency of Visits to Nightclubs by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Marital Status and Region (% of adults), 2007
Table 10.5: Frequency of Visits to Other Licensed Clubs by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Marital Status and Region (% of adults), 2007
Forecasts 2008 to 2012
Table 10.6: The Forecast UK Market for Catering at Licensed Clubs by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012
HOLIDAY CAMPS/VILLAGES AND CARAVAN/CAMPING SITES
Definition
Market Size
Table 10.7: The UK Market for Catering at Holiday Camps/Villages and Caravan/Camping Sites by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
Supply Structure
Number of UK Businesses
Table 10.8: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Camping/Caravan Sites by Turnover Sizeband (number), 2003-2007
Table 10.9: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Camping/Caravan Sites by Turnover Sizeband (%), 2003-2007
Table 10.10: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Holiday Centres/Villages or Other Self-Catering Accommodation by Turnover Sizeband (number), 2003-2007
Table 10.11: Analysis of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Holiday Centres/Villages or Other Self-Catering Accommodation by Turnover Sizeband (%), 2003-2007
Employment
Table 10.12: Analysis of UK Local Units Engaged as Caravan/Camping Sites by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007
Table 10.13: Number of UK Local Units Engaged as Holiday Centres/Villages and Other Self-Catering Accommodation by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2007
Major Players
Bourne Leisure Ltd
Center Parcs Ltd
Pontins Ltd
Marketing Activity
Table 10.14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on UK Holiday Resorts (£000), Year Ending September 2007
Forecasts 2008 to 2012
Table 10.15: The Forecast UK Market for Catering at Holiday Camps/Villages and Caravan/Camping Sites by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012

11. A Global Perspective
WORLD TOURISM
Table 11.1: International Tourist Arrivals and Receipts (million and $bn), 2002-2006
Table 11.2: The World's Leading Tourism Destinations by International Tourist Arrivals (million and %), 2006
SELECTED CATERING MARKETS
Restaurants and Hotels
Table 11.3: Household Consumption Expenditure on Restaurants and Hotels as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product in the EU27 (%), 2002-2006
Restaurants
Table 11.4: Estimated Restaurant Sales in the US by Type of Establishment ($bn and %), 2007
Hotels
Table 11.5: Number of Hotels in the EU27 by Country, 2002-2006
Contract Catering and Foodservice Management
The Global Market
Europe
Table 11.6: The EU25 Catering/Foodservice Market by Number of Meals Served and Turnover by Country (million, _m and %), 2006

12. The Future
INTRODUCTION
The Economy
Gross Domestic Product
Table 12.1: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2007-2011
Inflation
Table 12.2: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2007-2011
Unemployment
Table 12.3: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2007-2011
Population
Table 12.4: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2007-2011
FORECASTS 2008 TO 2012
Table 12.5: The Forecast Total UK Catering Market by Individual Market by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2008-2012
Restaurants
Fast Food and Takeaways
Contract Catering and Foodservice Management
Hotels
Public Houses
Other Catering Markets
FUTURE TRENDS
Merger and Takeover Activity
Pub Food Price War?
Incoming Tourism Market
Domestic Tourism

13. Further Sources
Associations
General Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources
Bisnode Sources

BurgerKing Ltd
Financial Results
Guoman Hotels Ltd
Financial Results
Marston's PLC
Financial Results
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
Financial Results
The Rank Group PLC
Financial Results
The Restaurant Group PLC
Financial Results
Sodexo Ltd
Financial Results
Yum! Brands Inc
The Clapham House Group PLC
Gondola Holdings Ltd
Greene King PLC
The Laurel Pub Company Ltd
Little Chef
Mitchells & Butlers PLC
Nando's Chicken Ltd
Prezzo PLC
The Restaurant Group PLC
Spirit (SGL) Ltd
Tragus Group Ltd
Whitbread PLC
Greggs PLC
Lyndale Foods Ltd
O'Briens Irish Sandwich Bars (UK) Ltd
Pret A Manger (Europe) Ltd
Subway
Burgers
BurgerKing Ltd
McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
Wimpy Ltd
Domino's Pizza UK & Ireland PLC
Perfect Pizza Ltd
Pizza Hut
Harry Ramsden's Ltd
Kentucky Fried Chicken (Great Britain) Ltd
Aramark Ltd
Compass Group PLC
Elior UK Ltd
Initial Catering Services Ltd
Sodexo Ltd
WSH Group Ltd
Charlton House Catering Services Ltd
Lindley Catering Ltd
Massarella Catering Ltd
OCS Group Ltd
Accor UK Ltd
The Alternative Hotel Group Ltd
Best Western
Britannia Hotels Ltd
Choice Hotels Europe
Guoman Hotels Ltd
Hilton Hotels Corporation
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Jarvis Hotels Ltd
Macdonald Hotels Ltd
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels PLC
Premier Inn Hotels Ltd
Travelodge Hotels Ltd
Admiral Taverns Ltd
Enterprise Inns PLC
Greene King PLC
Marston's PLC
Mitchells & Butlers PLC
Punch Taverns PLC
Scottish & Newcastle Pub Enterprises
Spirit (SGL) Ltd
Wellington Pub Company PLC
JD Wetherspoon PLC
Gala Coral Group Ltd
Genting International PLC
Harrah's Entertainment Inc
Novus Leisure Ltd
The Rank Group PLC
Bourne Leisure Ltd
Center Parcs Ltd
Pontins Ltd

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