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The Future of Home Networks - A Global Perspective

  • ID: 599617
  • Report
  • January 2008
  • Region: Global
  • 53 Pages
  • The Diffusion Group
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Though today a bold statement, The Future of Home Networks - A Global Perspective presents a balanced analysis of how home net working’s evolving role in supporting new IP-based services such as IPTV or VoIP will help drive in-home networking solutions into hundreds of millions of households over the next two decades.

Written by Dr. Predrag Filipovic - one of the world's leading authorities on home network technologies - this report includes TDG's updated worldwide and regional forecasts for both residential broadband and home network deployments thru 2030. The report uses a unique reverse-time analysis methodology to forecast meta-trends such as population growth, urbanization, and family income, and works backwards to active deployments of broadband and home networking. The report offers a fresh perspective on a poorly understood market space; one whose importance will become increasingly critical for network operators, IP media service providers, and CPE hardware and software designers.

Strategic-level decision makers within all consumer technology companies should benefit from the objective and comprehensive analysis presented herein.

Key Findings from the Report

- Home network systems and services are slowly but inevitably moving away from an early adopter/hobbyist market towards a more mature stage where user experience takes center stage.

- Demand for home networks will evolve from a consumer "pull" market to a service provider "push" model, driven primarily by the expansion of IP-based media and communications services.

- Though the PC has been the early favourite to emerge as the hub of the digital home, tomorrow's home network will be managed primarily through operator-owned platforms such as set-top boxes and media servers, with the PC becoming but one device among many that live on the home network and which enable home applications.

- The prerequisites for mass-market diffusion of home networks within developed economies beginning to get a foothold, setting the stage for significant market growth between 2010 and 2015.

- In the long run, rapid development in populous nations such as China and India will drive global demand for home network solutions, as millions of households move above the poverty line and are able to take advantage of pervasive availability of digital services.
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Key Findings
1.0 Introduction
1.1 Home Networks Happen
1.2 Methodology
1.2.1 Generally
1.2.2 Forecasting and Reverse Time Analysis
1.3 Scope of Report
1.4 Terminology

2.0 Home Networks by Technology
2.1 Wireless
2.1.1 LAN versus Cable Replacement
2.1.2 Wi-Fi
2.2 Wired Networking
2.2.1 Ethernet
2.2.2 Powerline Networking
2.2.3 HPNA
2.2.4 Coax
2.3 The Importance of Service Providers
2.4 Will the Future Be Wired or Wireless?
2.5 Market Evolution
2.5.1 Context & Competition
2.5.2 And the Winner Is....

3.0 The Home Network Ecosystem
3.1 The Consumer
3.1.1 Consumer Needs, Generally
3.1.2 Translating Needs into Mass-Market Demand
3.1.3 Ease of Use, In Particular
3.1.4 Consolidation of Standards
3.1.5 Embracing Complexity
3.1.6 Interfaces
3.2 Business Interests
3.2.1 The Business of Sharing
3.2.2 The "Dual Sword" of Broadband Media
3.2.3 Broadband versus Incumbent Video Services
3.2.4 Platform Battles Continue

4.0 Long-Term Market Forecasts (circa 2030)
4.1 Assumptions
4.2 Trends in Global Population thru 2030
4.2.1 Generally
4.2.2 By Region
4.2.3 Asia, Specifically
4.3 Defining Economically Addressable Households
4.3.1 Populations and Poverty Lines
4.3.2 Forecasting Addressable Households
4.4 Broadband Households
4.5 Home Networks

5.0 Reflections & Recommendations

Table of Figures

Figure 1 - Throughput and Range of Several 802.11n Systems
Figure 2 - No-New-Wires Chipset Shipments - 2008 thru 2011
Figure 3 - Households: Global thru 2030
Figure 4 - Households: Regional thru 2030
Figure 5 - Households: Asian thru 2030
Figure 6 - Urbanization in India and China
Figure 7 - Households above the Poverty Line - Globally
Figure 8 - Households above the Poverty Line - per Region
Figure 9 - Population and the Poverty Line in India and China
Figure 10 - Households above the Poverty Line: Asia
Figure 11 - Broadband Households: Global thru 2030
Figure 12 - Broadband Households: Regional thru 2030
Figure 13 - Broadband Households: Asia thru 2030
Figure 14 - Home Network Deployments: Global thru 2030
Figure 15 - Home Network Deployments: Regional thru 2030
Figure 16 - Home Networks Deployments: Asia thru 2030

List of Tables

Table 1 - Examples of Wireless Technologies
Table 2 - System-Application Matches among Wireless Solutions
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown