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Germany Food and Drink Report Q2 2008
Description:
The Germany Food Drink Report provides independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Germanys food and drink industry.
Executive Summary
While the German beer industry is suffering due to declining domestic demand, the country’s wine producers are experiencing a boom as domestic drinkers increasingly prefer wine to beer and the international reputation of German wine grows. This growing appreciation of German wine represents an opportunity for the nations wine industry however the beer industry may need a radical new approach to counter declining sales as discussed in BMIs newly-published Q208 Germany Food & Drink Report.
Germans consume the second-largest amount of beer per capita in the world, behind the Czechs, however sales of beer have been steadily declining over the past ten years. Germany’s health-conscious population increasingly prefers non-alcoholic drinks or, when they are drinking alcohol, are opting for wine which has less calories and offers health benefits. This lower consumption of alcohol can also be attributed to the country’s relatively high unemployment over recent years, with many consumers not having the money to spend on luxuries such as alcohol. Finally younger drinkers are increasingly opting for alternative alcoholic drinks such as cocktails and spirits with mixers.
In December 2007 the German federal statistics office Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland reported that in 2007 beer sales fell to their lowest level since records began in 1993. Over the year 22bn pints of beer were sold representing a 2.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) decline on 2006. BMI expects this trend to continue with value sales dropping by a further 3.5% over the next five years to 2012. Diversification is one strategy that German brewers may have to pursue if sales of beer continue to decline rapidly and local brewer Bitburger announced in November 2007 that it would be partnering with Austrian fruit juice maker Rauch to add a range of fruit juices to its portfolio to lessen its reliance on beer.
Meanwhile, the country’s wine industry is experiencing a mini revival. Over the past five years, sales of wine in Germany have increased by 11.1% and BMI is forecasting value sales growth of 11.3% to US$5.14bn in 2012. Over half of the wine consumed in Germany is domestically produced and this figure is expected to rise as Germany’s wine industry continues to market itself successfully.
Perhaps even more promising is the growing international reputation of German wine with Riesling and Pinot Noir the most successful grape varieties. In 2007 German wine exports rose by 8% and since 2002 exports to of Riesling to the US have tripled. The UK remains the country’s most important export market accounting for a quarter of all Germany’s wine exports and here too German wine is increasingly being bought by sophisticated wine drinkers rather than just by price-conscious consumers wanting something sweet.
Executive Summary
While the German beer industry is suffering due to declining domestic demand, the country’s wine producers are experiencing a boom as domestic drinkers increasingly prefer wine to beer and the international reputation of German wine grows. This growing appreciation of German wine represents an opportunity for the nations wine industry however the beer industry may need a radical new approach to counter declining sales as discussed in BMIs newly-published Q208 Germany Food & Drink Report.
Germans consume the second-largest amount of beer per capita in the world, behind the Czechs, however sales of beer have been steadily declining over the past ten years. Germany’s health-conscious population increasingly prefers non-alcoholic drinks or, when they are drinking alcohol, are opting for wine which has less calories and offers health benefits. This lower consumption of alcohol can also be attributed to the country’s relatively high unemployment over recent years, with many consumers not having the money to spend on luxuries such as alcohol. Finally younger drinkers are increasingly opting for alternative alcoholic drinks such as cocktails and spirits with mixers.
In December 2007 the German federal statistics office Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland reported that in 2007 beer sales fell to their lowest level since records began in 1993. Over the year 22bn pints of beer were sold representing a 2.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) decline on 2006. BMI expects this trend to continue with value sales dropping by a further 3.5% over the next five years to 2012. Diversification is one strategy that German brewers may have to pursue if sales of beer continue to decline rapidly and local brewer Bitburger announced in November 2007 that it would be partnering with Austrian fruit juice maker Rauch to add a range of fruit juices to its portfolio to lessen its reliance on beer.
Meanwhile, the country’s wine industry is experiencing a mini revival. Over the past five years, sales of wine in Germany have increased by 11.1% and BMI is forecasting value sales growth of 11.3% to US$5.14bn in 2012. Over half of the wine consumed in Germany is domestically produced and this figure is expected to rise as Germany’s wine industry continues to market itself successfully.
Perhaps even more promising is the growing international reputation of German wine with Riesling and Pinot Noir the most successful grape varieties. In 2007 German wine exports rose by 8% and since 2002 exports to of Riesling to the US have tripled. The UK remains the country’s most important export market accounting for a quarter of all Germany’s wine exports and here too German wine is increasingly being bought by sophisticated wine drinkers rather than just by price-conscious consumers wanting something sweet.
Contents:
Executive Summary
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Germany Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
Germany Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Germany Macroeconomic Forecasts
Retail
Regional Overview: The ‘Greening’ Of MGR In Western Europe
Table: MGR Eco-Friendly Strategies In Western Europe
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Germany MGR Sector - Sales Value by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of Germanys Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Sales Format by Value in Germanys Mass Grocery Retail Market (US$bn)
Table: Annual Average Sales per Outlet by Format (US$mn) - 2007
Food And Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in Western Europe
Table: 2006 Western Europe Market Share (%)
Table: Western Europe Confectionery Market Share By Category (%), 2005
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Germany Food Sales & Consumption Data
Drink
Table: Drinks indicators
Industry Developments
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: Germany’s Agricultural Sub-Sector, Production
Table: Germany Organic Agricultural Data
Food
Table: Germany Dairy Industry Data
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco Indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in Germanys Mass Grocery Retail Se
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in Germanys Food & Drink Sector (
Regional Company Case Studies
Drink: The Coca-Cola Company in Western Europe
Table: Unit Case Volume Growth (%)
Table: Revenue And Income For EU (US$mn)
Drink: Diageo In Western Europe
Table: Diageos Strongest Brands and Future Strategy for Western Europe
Mass Grocery Retail: Ahold In Western Europe
Table: Ahold Financial Results, 2003-2006 (EURmn)
Company Analysis
Food
Oetker Group
Nordmilch Group
Drink
Emig GmbH & Co KG (GerberEmig Group)
Radeberger Group
InBev Germany
Mass Grocery Retail
Lidl Group
Rewe Group
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Table: Limits of Potential Returns
Table: Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources
Business Environment
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
SWOT Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Germany Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Food and Drink
Germany Food And Drink Industry SWOT
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Germany Macroeconomic Forecasts
Retail
Regional Overview: The ‘Greening’ Of MGR In Western Europe
Table: MGR Eco-Friendly Strategies In Western Europe
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Germany MGR Sector - Sales Value by Format (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts
Grocery Retail Sales by Format - Historical Data and Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of Germanys Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Sales Format by Value in Germanys Mass Grocery Retail Market (US$bn)
Table: Annual Average Sales per Outlet by Format (US$mn) - 2007
Food And Drink
Regional Overview: Confectionery in Western Europe
Table: 2006 Western Europe Market Share (%)
Table: Western Europe Confectionery Market Share By Category (%), 2005
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food
Table: Germany Food Sales & Consumption Data
Drink
Table: Drinks indicators
Industry Developments
Food
Drink
Market Overview
Agriculture
Table: Germany’s Agricultural Sub-Sector, Production
Table: Germany Organic Agricultural Data
Food
Table: Germany Dairy Industry Data
Drink
Tobacco
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Tobacco Indicators
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in Germanys Mass Grocery Retail Se
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in Germanys Food & Drink Sector (
Regional Company Case Studies
Drink: The Coca-Cola Company in Western Europe
Table: Unit Case Volume Growth (%)
Table: Revenue And Income For EU (US$mn)
Drink: Diageo In Western Europe
Table: Diageos Strongest Brands and Future Strategy for Western Europe
Mass Grocery Retail: Ahold In Western Europe
Table: Ahold Financial Results, 2003-2006 (EURmn)
Company Analysis
Food
Oetker Group
Nordmilch Group
Drink
Emig GmbH & Co KG (GerberEmig Group)
Radeberger Group
InBev Germany
Mass Grocery Retail
Lidl Group
Rewe Group
Food & Drink Ratings Appendix
Introduction: Revised Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Table: Limits of Potential Returns
Table: Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Retail Industry
Sources
Companies Mentioned
Oetker Group
Nordmilch Group
Emig GmbH & Co KG (GerberEmig Group)
Radeberger Group
InBev Germany
Lidl Group
Rewe Group
Nordmilch Group
Emig GmbH & Co KG (GerberEmig Group)
Radeberger Group
InBev Germany
Lidl Group
Rewe Group
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