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AMR (American Airlines) Report: Is the Industry a Sinkhole for Investors or does the Company have a Future Outside of Chapter 11?


Description: American Airlines (AMR Corporations) is the world’s largest passenger airline. The airline industry is currently experiencing a crisis with the price of oil at an all-time high. Should you consider investing in the airline industry today – a sector that investor guru, Warren Buffett, absolutely avoids?

During the past four months, AMR’s shares have declined 61%. If oil prices remain at $135 per barrel or higher, the likelihood of AMR seeking Chapter 11 protection increases daily. So is there more to the investment story for AMR than simply a play on the future course for oil prices?

Dr. Fred Lazar discusses AMR’s future and the airline industry in this timely report. Will AMR escape Chapter 11 bankruptcy re-organization and is there anything that can be done to make the company attractive for investors? Is it worth more dead than alive?


Contents: Executive Summary

Four critical steps

Introduction

So why would anyone consider investing in airlines today?

AMR corporation

Structure of AMR
AMR shares
Q1 2008 financials for AMR
Airline industry and fuel

Future course for AMR

Airline industry: a strange industry

Very attractive industry characteristics
Profitability
Experience during this decade
Cost structure, distribution of risks, business model, regulations, and taxes

AMR

FY 2007 financial performance

Risks

Options

A new business model

Innovation
The future

Conclusions


Author Dr. Lazar is a professor of economics at the Schulich School of Business at York University in Toronto and his expertise spans corporate governance, business strategy and incentives and financial institutions. His new reports reveal his views of the prospects and dynamics of AMR and offers his insights into their options in their market space.


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