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The Europe Banking Sectors : A Company and Industry Analysis (August 2007)

Mergent, Aug 2007, Pages: 36


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This report updates the previous European banking report, focusing on the markets in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain and the United Kingdom

Current Environment - Key Points

- During the first half of 2007, although European banks were optimistic about the EU economy, the industry faced rising interest rates

- On June 6, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point from 3.75% to 4%, the highest point since August 2001. - In the first half of 2007, the DJ Stoxx 600 Bank Index put in a mixed performance, rising from 518.84 points in early January but falling to its lowest at 487.34 points in mid-March weighed down by an unexpected drop in new home sales in the US

- The firm European economy boosted the earnings of the major banks in the first half of 2007 despite the fact some banks were affected by the deterioration in the US mortgage market, rising interest rates, consumer debt levels and bankruptcy issues

- Spurred by a pursuit for earnings growth and a fear of falling behind, M&A activity in the European banking sector continued its frenzy pace in the first half of 2007

Industry Profile - Key Points

- According to the European Banking Federation (EBF), banks in Europe contributed some 5% to the GDP in the EU in 2006

- Consolidation in the sector has led to a marked drop in the number of banks. As of end June 2007, the ECB put the number of monetary financial institutions (MFIs) in the EU at 10,227, a drop of 6.25% from January 1999

- The assets of the European banking sector totaled -27.83 trillion (US$38.45 trillion) in May 2007, up 7.1% 2006 and 17.8% in 2005, according to the ECB-s Monthly Bulletin for July. - Investment banking has become highly profitable following strong equity markets and favorable market conditions that drove higher trading activity. - On May 21, the EU initiated a proposal to continue on a directive called the Consumer Credit Directive (CCD). To come into effect in 2009, the directive will give EU consumers a wider range of consumer loans

Market Trends and Outlook - Key Points

- Following rising interest rates in Europe, many Europeans are drowning in the unprecedented levels of debt that is leaving banks burdened with massive problems of loan defaults

- Higher performance expectations and stiff competition are prompting European banks to expand in high potential markets such as Asia and Latin America. - According to Celent, a consulting firm that focuses on the application of IT in global financial services, IT investment by financial services institutions in Europe is expected to increase to US$120 billion in 2008 from US$117 billion in 2006. - The favorable short-term outlook for the European economic growth has created bullish conditions for continued solid profitability in its banking industry





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