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Africa Broadband Forecasts 2007 - 2012 - Product Image

Africa Broadband Forecasts 2007 - 2012

  • Published: September 2008
  • Region: Africa
  • 39 Pages
  • AfricaNext

A part of our larger broadband review, this report discusses drivers and obstacles to broadband growth in Africa. It provides an elaborate set of broadband forecasts (including 3G, WiMAX, ADSL and Other) for 33 African markets over the 2007 – 2012 period, with a clear set of assumptions and risks.

There is a confluence of indicators that suggest that for the first time in more than a decade, broadband growth in the African continent may be on the verge of truly taking off. The list is long: last mile competition, international gateway licensing, submarine cable deployments, domestic fiber backbone deployments, unified licenses, improvements in radio spectral efficiency, economies of scale on 3G radio equipment, emergence of EVDO and WiMAX, increased Internet usage from a younger population, increased availability of capital, Tier 1 mobile players aggressively getting into the Internet business and last but not least, Huawei.

Contents

List Of Exhibits 9
Companies Mentioned In This Report Error! Bookmark Not Defined.
List Of Abbreviations 10

Executive Summary 11

Section I The Rise Of African Broadband 13
1.1 Broadband: The Most Significant Opportunity Since The Mobile Voice Boom 13
1.2 Some Definitions And Preliminary Points 13
1.3 African Markets Are Not Created Equal: From Value To Volume Opportunities 14

Section Ii Growth Drivers And Key Assumptions 17
2.1 Broadband Technology: The Resiliency Of ADSL And The Rise Of Mobile Broadband 17
2.2 External Drivers: Broadband Operating Environment 17
2.3 Technology Dynamics: Who Deploys What Where 19
2.4 Forecast Assumptions: Searching For Tipping Points 23

Section III Market Projections 24
3.1 Overall Broadband Forecasts – From 2.7m To 13m 24
3.2 The 3G Catalyst: More Than Half Of All African Broadband By 2012 27
3.3 ADSL: Alive And Well, Though Not Kicking 29
3.4 WiMax: A Fast-Growing Alternative, But Limited Scale 32
3.5 Market Projections: 3G And WiMax Capital Expenditure 35

Section IV Broadband Projection Tables 36
4.1 Summary Table - Africa Broadband Subscriptions By Country – 2007- 2012 36
4.2 Africa Mobile Data Card Subscriptions By Country – 2007- 2012 38
4.3 Mobility Subscriptions As % Of Broadband Subscriptions By Country – 2007- 2012 40

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