Energy Security for Emerging Economies

Global Markets Direct, October 2008, Pages: 151

Energy Security for Emerging Economies

Summary

Emerging economies quest for energy security is set to make significant impact on the global energy market. “The Energy Security of Emerging Economies” report provides an in-depth analysis of the growing role of ten major emerging countries which are not only large consumers but also are increasingly dependent on imported petroleum fuels. Growing gap between domestic production and consumption of hydrocarbon fuels has been a major concern in these economies. Alternative and renewable energy sources are yet to make any significant impact in most of these countries’ energy arena. However, in the coming years there needs to be a greater share of these sources in the electricity generation in order to meet the growing domestic demand and achieve the countries’ economic targets.

Scope

The report examines the energy security of ten top emerging economies, their energy consumption and production dynamics, potential changes in their energy sector, domestic as well as overseas dependence for energy supply apart from analyzing the countries’ energy policy.

The report covers:

- Global energy geopolitics and its impact on emerging economies.

- Various energy issues and trends in ten top emerging economies.

- Trends in conventional hydrocarbon fuels, alternative and renewable sources, and nuclear energy generation in the emerging economies.

- Detailed forecasts of consumption and production of various fuel types up to 2020.

- Energy policies and strategies of the emerging economies.

- Wind and solar energy development in emerging economies up to 2012.

- Development of refining sector up to the period of 2012.

Reasons to buy

- Make informed business decisions and maximize investment returns by identifying potential areas of investment opportunities in emerging economies.

- Identify the fastest growing sectors in different emerging markets globally.

- Capitalize by understanding the growth trajectory of alternative and renewable energy sectors in emerging economies.

- Identify market challenges and opportunities for molding investment strategies.

1 Contents 2
1.1 List Of Tables 8
1.2 List Of Figures 10

2 Introduction 12
2.1 What Is This Report About? 12
2.2 GMD Report Coverage 12
2.3 Definitions 12

3 Executive Summary 13
3.1 Geopolitics and Global Energy Market 13
3.2 Energy Security in China 13
3.3 Energy Security in India 13
3.4 Energy Security in South Korea 14
3.5 Energy Security in Turkey 14
3.6 Energy Security in Poland 15
3.7 Energy Security in Thailand 15
3.8 Energy Security in South Africa 15
3.9 Energy Security in Pakistan 16
3.10 Energy Security in the Philippines 16
3.11 Energy Security in the Czech Republic 17

4 Geopolitics and Global Energy Market 18
4.1 Introduction 18
4.1.1 Global Crude Oil Consumption To Grow 19
4.1.2 Global Natural Gas Trends 20
4.1.3 Coal Consumption To Grow 20
4.1.4 Global Petroleum Refining Sector 21
4.2 Energy Geopolitics 22
4.3 Challenges to Global Energy Security 23
4.3.1 Petroleum Supply Challenges to continue 23
4.3.2 Crude Oil Price Fluctuation 24
4.3.3 Other major Challenges to Energy Sector 25
4.4 Energy in Emerging Economies 25
4.4.1 Greater demand for oil and natural gas in emerging economies 27
4.4.2 Alternative and renewable energy sector in emerging economies 28
4.4.3 Key energy security issues for the emerging economies 28

5 Energy Security in China 30
5.1 China, Overview of Energy Sector 30
5.2 Energy Industry Trends in China, 2000-2012 30
5.2.1 Oil - Fast growing energy source in China 30
5.2.2 Natural gas becoming a preferred source of energy in China 32
5.2.3 Coal is the mainstay of China's energy sector 34
5.2.4 China has Abundance of alternative and renewable energy sources 36
5.2.5 Refining sector in China to grow 39
5.3 Energy Security issues in China 41
5.3.1 Energy Geopolitics in South and East China Sea 42
5.3.2 Energy Transportation plans from Russia and Central Asia to China 43
5.3.3 Three Gorges Dam and Environmental Concerns in China 43
5.3.4 Energy Policy and Strategy of China 44
5.3.5 China's energy Regulation 45

6 Energy Security in India 47
6.1 India, Overview of Energy Sector 47
6.2 Energy Industry Trends in India, 2000-2012 47
6.2.1 Coal consumption will grow in India 47
6.2.2 Oil consumption and import to grow in India 49
6.2.3 Natural Gas to play an important role in India’s energy sector 51
6.2.4 Renewable Energy Sector in India 53
6.2.5 India’s nuclear power generation to grow in the coming years 55
6.2.6 India can be a refining hub for the Asian region 56
6.3 Major Energy Security Challenges for India 57
6.4 Major issues in the energy sector 59
6.4.1 Transnational Energy Pipelines to India will face challenges 59
6.4.2 India has potential for Bio-fuel development 60
6.4.3 Energy Policy and Strategy in India 60
6.4.4 Energy Regulation in India 61

7 Energy Security in South Korea 62
7.1 South Korea, Overview of Energy Sector 62
7.2 Energy Industry Trends in South Korea, 2000-2012 62
7.2.1 Increasing dependency on overseas oil supply a major concern in South Korea 62
7.2.2 Increasing natural gas consumption in South Korea 64
7.2.3 South Korea’s coal consumption will continue to grow 66
7.2.4 Nuclear power as a key source for electricity generation in South Korea 68
7.2.5 Petroleum refining in South Korea 69
7.3 Energy Security concerns in South Korea 70
7.3.1 Far East Energy transportation to South Korea 70
7.3.2 Strategic oil reserves in South Korea 71
7.3.3 Energy Policy and Strategy in South Korea 71
7.3.4 South Korea’s Energy Regulation 72

8 Energy Security in Turkey 73
8.1 Turkey, Overview of Energy Sector 73
8.2 Energy Industry Trends in Turkey, 2000-2012 73
8.2.1 Oil consumption to remain steady 73
8.2.2 Natural gas consumption will grow in Turkey 75
8.2.3 Coal consumption to reduce in Turkey 77
8.2.4 Wind energy in Turkey to grow 79
8.2.5 Petroleum Refining capacity in Turkey to continue be same 80
8.3 Energy Security in Turkey 81
8.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in Turkey 81
8.3.2 Regulatory Structure in Turkey 82

9 Energy Security in Poland 84
9.1 Poland, Overview of Energy Sector 84
9.2 Energy Industry Trends in Poland, 2000-2012 84
9.2.1 Oil Sector in Poland 84
9.2.2 Poland’s natural gas consumption to grow 86
9.2.3 Coal consumption to reduce in Poland 88
9.2.4 Renewable energy sector to grow in Poland 90
9.2.5 Petroleum Refining in Poland 92
9.3 Energy Security in Poland 93
9.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in Poland 94
9.3.2 Energy Regulation in Poland 94

10 Energy Security in Thailand 95
10.1 Thailand, Overview of Energy Sector 95
10.2 Energy Industry Trends in Thailand, 2000-2012 95
10.2.1 Oil consumption to grow in Thailand 95
10.2.2 Increase in natural gas consumption in Thailand 96
10.2.3 Coal consumption to reduce from 2007 levels in Thailand 98
10.2.4 Electricity generation from solar power to increase in Thailand 100
10.2.5 Crude Oil Refining will not evince major growth in Thailand 101
10.3 Energy Security in Thailand 102
10.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in Thailand 102
10.3.2 Oil Fund and Strategic Oil Reserve in Thailand 103
10.3.3 Energy Regulation in Thailand 104

11 Energy Security in South Africa 105
11.1 South Africa, Overview of Energy Sector 105
11.2 Energy Industry Trends in South Africa, 2000-2012 105
11.2.1 Oil consumption will grow in South Africa 105
11.2.2 Coal consumption to grow in South Africa 107
11.2.3 Alternative energy sector in South Africa 109
11.2.4 Nuclear energy in South Africa 111
11.2.5 Petroleum Refining in South Africa 112
11.3 Energy Security in South Africa 113
11.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in South Africa 113
11.3.2 Energy Regulation in South Africa 114

12 Energy Security in Pakistan 116
12.1 Pakistan, Overview of Energy Sector 116
12.2 Energy Sector Trends in Pakistan, 2000-2012 116
12.2.1 Oil import to grow in Pakistan 116
12.2.2 Natural Gas consumption to grow in Pakistan 118
12.2.3 Coal Import to reduce in Pakistan 120
12.2.4 Nuclear power generation to increase in Pakistan 122
12.2.5 Petroleum Refining in Pakistan 123
12.3 Energy Security in Pakistan 124
12.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in Pakistan 125
12.3.2 Regulatory Mechanism in Pakistan 126

13 Energy Security in the Philippines 127
13.1 The Philippines, Overview of Energy Sector 127
13.2 Energy Sector Trends in the Philippines, 2000-2012 127
13.2.1 Oil consumption to grow in the Philippines 127
13.2.2 Natural gas consumption to grow in The Philippines 129
13.2.3 Coal consumption to grow in the Philippines 131
13.2.4 Alternative energy sector in the Philippines 133
13.2.5 Petroleum refining in the Philippines 135
13.3 Energy Security in the Philippines 136
13.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in the Philippines 136
13.3.2 Energy Regulation in the Philippines 136

14 Energy Security in the Czech Republic 138
14.1 Czech Republic, Overview of the Energy Sector 138
14.2 Energy Industry Trends in the Czech Republic, 2000-2012 138
14.2.1 Oil Consumption to increase in the Czech Republic 138
14.2.2 Natural gas import to grow in the Czech Republic 140
14.2.3 Coal production to fall in the Czech Republic 142
14.2.4 Nuclear power to play significant role in Czech Republic 144
14.2.5 Petroleum refining in the Czech Republic 145
14.3 Energy Security in the Czech Republic 146
14.3.1 Energy Policy and Strategy in the Czech Republic 146
14.3.2 Energy Regulation in the Czech Republic 146

15 Appendix 148
15.1 Methodology 148
15.1.1 Coverage 148
15.1.2 Secondary Research 149
15.1.3 Primary Research 149
15.1.4 Expert Panel Validation 150
15.2 Unit of Measure 150
15.3 Contact Us 150
15.4 About Global Markets Direct 151
15.5 Disclaimer 151

1.1 List Of Tables
Table 1: Major Emerging Economies, on GDP (PPP) basis, 2007 26
Table 2: Primary Energy Consumption Trend in Emerging Economies, 2000-2020 27
Table 3: China, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 32
Table 4: China, Gas Production and Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 34
Table 5: China, Coal Production and Consumption, (Mt) 2000-2020 36
Table 6: China, Refining Capacity Company-wise (MMTPA), 2000-2012 40
Table 7: Disputed Area And Reserves in East China Sea 42
Table 8: India, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, (Mt) 2000-2020 49
Table 9: India, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels), 2000-2020 51
Table 10: India, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 53
Table 11: India, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 57
Table 12: South Korea, Crude Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 64
Table 13: South Korea, Natural Gas Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 66
Table 14: South Korea, Coal Production and Consumption, (Mtoe) 2000-2020 68
Table 15: South Korea, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 70
Table 16: Turkey, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (thousand barrels) 2000-2020 75
Table 17: Turkey, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, (Bcf) 2000-2020 77
Table 18: Turkey, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, (Mt) 2000-2020 79
Table 19: Turkey, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 81
Table 20: Poland, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 86
Table 21: Poland, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, (Bcf) 2000-2020 88
Table 22: Poland, Coal Production- Consumption-Export, (Mt) 2000-2020 90
Table 23: Poland, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 93
Table 24: Thailand, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 96
Table 25: Thailand, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, (Bcf) 2000-2020 98
Table 26: Thailand, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, (Mt) 2000-2020 100
Table 27: Thailand, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 102
Table 28: South Africa, Crude Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 107
Table 29: South Africa, Coal Production Consumption, (Mtoe) 2000-2020 109
Table 30: South Africa, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 113
Table 31: Pakistan, Oil Production, Consumption and Import,(Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 118
Table 32: Pakistan, Natural Gas Production and Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 120
Table 33: Pakistan, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, (Mt) 2000-2020 122
Table 34: Pakistan, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 124
Table 35: The Philippines, Crude Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 129
Table 36: The Philippines, Natural Gas Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 131
Table 37: The Philippines, Coal Consumption, (Mtoe), 2000-2020 133
Table 38: The Philippines, Crude Oil Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 136
Table 39: Czech Republic, Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 140
Table 40: Czech Republic, Natural Gas Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 142
Table 41: Czech Republic, Coal Production and Consumption, (Mtoe) 2000-2020 144
Table 42: Czech Republic, Crude Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2012 146

1.2 List Of Figures
Figure 1: Global Crude Oil Production-Consumption, 2000-2020 19
Figure 2: Global Natural Gas Production-Consumption (2000-2020) 20
Figure 3: Global Coal Production and Consumption, 2000-2020 21
Figure 4: Global Refining Capacity, 2000-2012 22
Figure 5: China, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 31
Figure 6: China, Gas Production and Consumption, 2000-2020 33
Figure 7: China, Coal Production and Consumption, (Mt) 2000-2020 35
Figure 8: China, Wind Energy Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 37
Figure 9: China, Solar PV Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 38
Figure 10: China, Nuclear Power Generation, 2000-2012 39
Figure 11: China, Refining Capacity, 2000-2012 41
Figure 12: India, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 48
Figure 13: India, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 50
Figure 14: India, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 52
Figure 15: India, Wind Power Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 54
Figure 16: India, Solar PV Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 55
Figure 17: India, Nuclear Power Generation, 2000-2012 56
Figure 18: South Korea, Crude Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 63
Figure 19: South Korea, Natural Gas Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 65
Figure 20: South Korea, Coal Production and Consumption,(Mtoe) 2000-2020 67
Figure 21: South Korea, Nuclear Power Generation Capacity, 2000-2012 69
Figure 22: Turkey, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 74
Figure 23: Turkey, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 76
Figure 24: Turkey, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, 2000-2020 78
Figure 25: Turkey, Wind Energy Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 80
Figure 26: Poland, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 85
Figure 27: Poland, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, (Bcf) 2000-2020 87
Figure 28: Poland, Coal Production, Consumption and Export, (Mt) 2000-2020 89
Figure 29: Poland, Wind Energy Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 91
Figure 30: Poland, Solar PV Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 92
Figure 31: Thailand, Oil Production, Consumption and Import, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 95
Figure 32: Thailand, Natural Gas Production, Consumption and Import, (Bcf) 2000-2020 97
Figure 33: Thailand, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, (Mt) 2000-2020 99
Figure 34: Thailand, Solar PV Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 101
Figure 35: South Africa, Crude Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 106
Figure 36: South Africa, Coal Production Consumption, (Mtoe) 2000-2020 108
Figure 37: South Africa, Wind Energy Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 110
Figure 38: South Africa, Solar PV Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 111
Figure 39: South Africa, Nuclear Power Generation Capacity, 2000-2012 112
Figure 40: Pakistan, Oil Production, Consumption and Import,(Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 117
Figure 41: Pakistan, Natural Gas Production and Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 119
Figure 42: Pakistan, Coal Production, Consumption and Import, (Mt) 2000-2020 121
Figure 43: Pakistan, Nuclear Power Generation Capacity, 2000-2012 123
Figure 44: The Philippines, Crude Oil Consumption, (Thousand barrels) 2000-2020 128
Figure 45: The Philippines, Natural Gas Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 130
Figure 46: The Philippines, Coal Consumption, (Mtoe), 2000-2020 132
Figure 47: The Philippines, Wind Energy Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 134
Figure 48: The Philippines, Solar PV Installed Capacity, 2000-2012 135
Figure 49: Czech Republic, Oil Consumption, 2000-2020 139
Figure 50: Czech Republic, Natural Gas Consumption, (Bcf) 2000-2020 141
Figure 51: Czech Republic, Coal Production and Consumption, (Mtoe) 2000-2020 143
Figure 52: Czech Republic, Nuclear Power Generation Capacity, 2000-2012 145
Figure 53: Global Markets Direct Methodology 148

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