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The 2009 World Market Forecasts for Imported Cut-to-Size Toilet Paper in Rolls or Sheets

ICON Group International, October 2008, Pages: 96

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for cut-to-size toilet paper in rolls or sheets. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for cut-to-size toilet paper in rolls or sheets for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for cut-to-size toilet paper in rolls or sheets. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in cut-to-size toilet paper in rolls or sheets (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Cut-to-Size Toilet Paper in Rolls or Sheets" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "cut-to-size toilet paper in rolls or sheets" is 64243 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8
1.1 Our Approach 8
1.2 The World Market: Imported Cut-to-Size Toilet Paper in Rolls or Sheets in 2009 11
1.3 The World Market: Cut-to-Size Toilet Paper in Rolls or Sheets Export Supplies in 2009 14
2 AFRICA: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 16
2.1 Executive Summary 16
2.2 Algeria 18
2.3 Botswana 18
2.4 Cameroon 19
2.5 Cape Verde 19
2.6 Cote dIvoire 19
2.7 Egypt 20
2.8 Ethiopia 20
2.9 Gabon 20
2.10 Ghana 21
2.11 Madagascar 21
2.12 Malawi 21
2.13 Mauritania 22
2.14 Mauritius 22
2.15 Morocco 22
2.16 Mozambique 23
2.17 Namibia 23
2.18 Senegal 23
2.19 South Africa 24
2.20 Sudan 24
2.21 Uganda 24
2.22 Zambia 25
3 ASIA: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 26
3.1 Executive Summary 26
3.2 Brunei 28
3.3 China 28
3.4 Hong Kong 29
3.5 India 29
3.6 Indonesia 30
3.7 Japan 30
3.8 Macau 30
3.9 Malaysia 31
3.10 Maldives 31
3.11 Mongolia 31
3.12 Philippines 32
3.13 Singapore 32
3.14 South Korea 33
3.15 Taiwan 33
3.16 Thailand 33
4 EUROPE: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 34
4.1 Executive Summary 34
4.2 Albania 37
4.3 Austria 38
4.4 Belarus 38
4.5 Belgium 39
4.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 39
4.7 Bulgaria 40
4.8 Croatia 41
4.9 Cyprus 41
4.10 Czech Republic 42
4.11 Denmark 43
4.12 Estonia 43
4.13 Finland 44
4.14 France 45
4.15 Georgia 45
4.16 Germany 46
4.17 Greece 47
4.18 Hungary 48
4.19 Iceland 49
4.20 Ireland 50
4.21 Italy 51
4.22 Kazakhstan 51
4.23 Latvia 52
4.24 Lithuania 53
4.25 Luxembourg 53
4.26 Macedonia 54
4.27 Malta 54
4.28 Moldova 55
4.29 Norway 55
4.30 Poland 56
4.31 Portugal 56
4.32 Romania 57
4.33 Russia 58
4.34 Slovakia 59
4.35 Slovenia 59
4.36 Spain 60
4.37 Sweden 61
4.38 Switzerland 62
4.39 the Netherlands 63
4.40 the United Kingdom 64
4.41 Ukraine 65
5 LATIN AMERICA: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 66
5.1 Executive Summary 66
5.2 Argentina 68
5.3 Belize 68
5.4 Bolivia 69
5.5 Brazil 69
5.6 Chile 69
5.7 Colombia 70
5.8 Costa Rica 70
5.9 Ecuador 71
5.10 El Salvador 71
5.11 Guatemala 72
5.12 Guyana 72
5.13 Honduras 73
5.14 Mexico 73
5.15 Nicaragua 74
5.16 Panama 74
5.17 Paraguay 74
5.18 Peru 75
5.19 Uruguay 75
5.20 Venezuela 75
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 76
6.1 Executive Summary 76
6.2 Barbados 78
6.3 Canada 78
6.4 Dominica 79
6.5 Jamaica 79
6.6 St. Kitts and Nevis 79
6.7 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 80
6.8 the United States 81
6.9 Trinidad and Tobago 82
7 OCEANA: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 83
7.1 Executive Summary 83
7.2 Australia 85
7.3 Fiji 85
7.4 New Zealand 86
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: CUT-TO-SIZE TOILET PAPER IN ROLLS OR SHEETS IMPORTS IN 2009 87
8.1 Executive Summary 87
8.2 Armenia 89
8.3 Azerbaijan 89
8.4 Bahrain 90
8.5 Israel 90
8.6 Jordan 91
8.7 Kyrgyzstan 91
8.8 Oman 91
8.9 Pakistan 92
8.10 Qatar 92
8.11 Saudi Arabia 93
8.12 Syrian Arab Republic 93
8.13 Yemen 94
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 95
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 95
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 96

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