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The 2009 World Forecasts of Rice in the Husk Export Supplies

ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 46

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for rice in the husk. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for rice in the husk for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for rice in the husk exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in rice in the husk (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Rice in the Husk" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "rice in the husk" is 0421 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
1.2 The World Market: Rice in the Husk Export Supplies in 2009 9
1.3 The World Market: Rice in the Husk by Destination in 2009 12
2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 14
2.1 Executive Summary 14
2.2 Egypt 15
2.3 South Africa 15
3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 16
3.1 Executive Summary 16
3.2 Bangladesh 18
3.3 Bhutan 18
3.4 Burma 18
3.5 China 19
3.6 India 19
3.7 Japan 19
3.8 Philippines 20
3.9 Thailand 20
3.10 Vietnam 20
4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 21
4.1 Executive Summary 21
4.2 Belgium 23
4.3 Bulgaria 23
4.4 France 24
4.5 Germany 24
4.6 Greece 25
4.7 Ireland 25
4.8 Italy 26
4.9 Macedonia 26
4.10 Poland 27
4.11 Portugal 27
4.12 Russia 27
4.13 Spain 28
4.14 the Netherlands 28
4.15 the United Kingdom 29
5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 30
5.1 Executive Summary 30
5.2 Argentina 31
5.3 Brazil 32
5.4 Colombia 32
5.5 Costa Rica 32
5.6 El Salvador 32
5.7 Guatemala 33
5.8 Guyana 33
5.9 Paraguay 33
5.10 Peru 33
5.11 Uruguay 34
5.12 Venezuela 34
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 35
6.1 Executive Summary 35
6.2 the United States 38
7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 39
7.1 Executive Summary 39
7.2 Australia 40
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF RICE IN THE HUSK 41
8.1 Executive Summary 41
8.2 Azerbaijan 42
8.3 Iran 43
8.4 Pakistan 43
8.5 Saudi Arabia 43
8.6 the United Arab Emirates 44
8.7 Turkey 44
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 45
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 45
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 46

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