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The 2009 World Forecasts of Vanilla Beans Export Supplies

ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 45

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for vanilla beans. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for vanilla beans for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for vanilla beans exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in vanilla beans (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Vanilla Beans" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "vanilla beans" is 07521 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
1.2 The World Market: Vanilla Beans Export Supplies in 2009 9
1.3 The World Market: Vanilla Beans by Destination in 2009 12
2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 14
2.1 Executive Summary 14
2.2 Comoros 16
2.3 Guinea 16
2.4 Madagascar 17
2.5 Mauritius 17
2.6 South Africa 18
2.7 Uganda 18
3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 19
3.1 Executive Summary 19
3.2 China 21
3.3 India 21
3.4 Indonesia 22
3.5 Japan 22
3.6 Malaysia 22
3.7 Papua New Guinea 23
4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 24
4.1 Executive Summary 24
4.2 Austria 26
4.3 Belgium 26
4.4 Denmark 27
4.5 Estonia 27
4.6 France 28
4.7 Germany 29
4.8 Ireland 29
4.9 Italy 30
4.10 Poland 30
4.11 Portugal 30
4.12 Russia 30
4.13 Sweden 31
4.14 Switzerland 31
4.15 the Netherlands 31
4.16 the United Kingdom 32
5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 33
5.1 Executive Summary 33
5.2 Mexico 34
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 35
6.1 Executive Summary 35
6.2 Canada 37
6.3 Jamaica 37
6.4 the United States 38
7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 39
7.1 Executive Summary 39
7.2 Australia 40
7.3 New Zealand 40
7.4 Tonga 41
7.5 Vanuatu 41
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF VANILLA BEANS 42
8.1 Executive Summary 42
8.2 Lebanon 43
8.3 Turkey 43
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 44
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 44
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 45

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