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The 2009 World Forecasts of Gin and Geneva Export Supplies

ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 44

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for gin and geneva. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for gin and geneva for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for gin and geneva exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in gin and geneva (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Gin and Geneva" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "gin and geneva" is 11245 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
1.2 The World Market: Gin and Geneva Export Supplies in 2009 9
1.3 The World Market: Gin and Geneva by Destination in 2009 12
2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 14
2.1 Executive Summary 14
2.2 Guinea 15
2.3 Kenya 15
2.4 South Africa 16
3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 17
3.1 Executive Summary 17
3.2 China 18
3.3 Philippines 18
3.4 Singapore 19
4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 20
4.1 Executive Summary 20
4.2 Belgium 22
4.3 Croatia 22
4.4 Cyprus 23
4.5 Czech Republic 23
4.6 Denmark 23
4.7 Estonia 24
4.8 Finland 24
4.9 France 25
4.10 Georgia 25
4.11 Germany 26
4.12 Greece 27
4.13 Hungary 27
4.14 Iceland 27
4.15 Ireland 28
4.16 Italy 28
4.17 Latvia 29
4.18 Lithuania 29
4.19 Norway 29
4.20 Poland 29
4.21 Portugal 30
4.22 Spain 30
4.23 Sweden 31
4.24 Switzerland 31
4.25 the Netherlands 32
4.26 the United Kingdom 33
5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 34
5.1 Executive Summary 34
5.2 Argentina 35
5.3 Mexico 35
5.4 Panama 35
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 36
6.1 Executive Summary 36
6.2 Canada 38
6.3 the Bahamas 38
6.4 the United States 39
7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 40
7.1 Executive Summary 40
7.2 Australia 41
7.3 New Zealand 41
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF GIN AND GENEVA 42
8.1 Executive Summary 42
8.2 the United Arab Emirates 42
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 43
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 43
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 44

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