The World Market for Live Goats: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 58
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for live goats. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for live goats for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying live goats? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of live goats vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of live goats? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported live goats. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of live goats, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of live goats for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of live goats to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in live goats (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Live Goats" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "live goats" is 00122 .
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
Related Reports. This report was created for the market for live goats. Closely related reports published by ICON Group include the following:
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The World Market for Live Bovine Excluding Purebred Breeding Animals: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
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1 METHODOLOGY 8
1.1 Our Approach 8
2 THE WORLD MARKET 10
2.1 Exports 10
2.1.1 The World Market: Live Goats Export Supplies in 2009 10
2.2 Imports 12
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Live Goats in 2009 12
3 EXPORTS 16
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Live Goats 16
3.1.1 Executive Summary 16
3.1.2 Angola 17
3.1.3 Djibouti 18
3.1.4 Eritrea 18
3.1.5 Kenya 18
3.1.6 Namibia 18
3.1.7 Somalia 19
3.1.8 South Africa 19
3.1.9 Sudan 19
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Live Goats 19
3.2.1 Executive Summary 19
3.2.2 China 21
3.2.3 Indonesia 21
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Live Goats 21
3.3.1 Executive Summary 21
3.3.2 Austria 23
3.3.3 Belgium 24
3.3.4 Bulgaria 24
3.3.5 Cyprus 24
3.3.6 France 24
3.3.7 Greece 25
3.3.8 Hungary 25
3.3.9 Ireland 25
3.3.10 Portugal 25
3.3.11 Spain 26
3.3.12 Switzerland 26
3.3.13 the Netherlands 26
3.3.14 the United Kingdom 26
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Live Goats 27
3.4.1 Executive Summary 27
3.4.2 Costa Rica 27
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Live Goats 27
3.5.1 Executive Summary 27
3.5.2 the United States 28
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Live Goats 29
3.6.1 Executive Summary 29
3.6.2 Australia 30
3.6.3 New Zealand 30
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Live Goats 31
3.7.1 Executive Summary 31
3.7.2 Iran 32
3.7.3 Jordan 33
3.7.4 Kuwait 33
3.7.5 Lebanon 33
3.7.6 Oman 33
3.7.7 Qatar 34
3.7.8 Saudi Arabia 34
3.7.9 Syrian Arab Republic 34
3.7.10 the United Arab Emirates 35
4 IMPORTS 36
4.1 Africa: Live Goats Imports in 2009 36
4.1.1 Executive Summary 36
4.1.2 Botswana 37
4.1.3 Ethiopia 38
4.1.4 Mauritius 38
4.1.5 Namibia 38
4.1.6 Uganda 39
4.2 Asia: Live Goats Imports in 2009 39
4.2.1 Executive Summary 39
4.2.2 Brunei 41
4.2.3 Hong Kong 41
4.2.4 Macau 41
4.2.5 Malaysia 42
4.2.6 Philippines 42
4.2.7 Singapore 42
4.2.8 South Korea 43
4.2.9 Taiwan 43
4.2.10 Thailand 43
4.3 Europe: Live Goats Imports in 2009 43
4.3.1 Executive Summary 43
4.3.2 Belgium 45
4.3.3 Cyprus 46
4.3.4 France 46
4.3.5 Greece 46
4.3.6 Ireland 47
4.3.7 Italy 47
4.3.8 Portugal 47
4.3.9 Spain 48
4.3.10 the Netherlands 48
4.4 Latin America: Live Goats Imports in 2009 48
4.4.1 Executive Summary 48
4.4.2 Argentina 50
4.4.3 Brazil 50
4.4.4 Mexico 50
4.4.5 Panama 51
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Live Goats Imports in 2009 51
4.5.1 Executive Summary 51
4.5.2 Canada 52
4.6 the Middle East: Live Goats Imports in 2009 52
4.6.1 Executive Summary 52
4.6.2 Bahrain 54
4.6.3 Jordan 54
4.6.4 Oman 55
4.6.5 Qatar 55
4.6.6 Saudi Arabia 56
4.6.7 Yemen 56
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 57
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 57
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 58
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