The World Market for Unmilled Barley: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 98
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for unmilled barley. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for unmilled barley for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying unmilled barley? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of unmilled barley vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of unmilled barley? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported unmilled barley. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of unmilled barley, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of unmilled barley for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of unmilled barley to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in unmilled barley (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Unmilled Barley" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "unmilled barley" is 0430 .
1 METHODOLOGY 9
1.1 Our Approach 9
2 THE WORLD MARKET 12
2.1 Exports 12
2.1.1 The World Market: Unmilled Barley Export Supplies in 2009 12
2.2 Imports 14
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Unmilled Barley in 2009 14
3 EXPORTS 18
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 18
3.1.1 Executive Summary 18
3.1.2 Kenya 18
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 18
3.2.1 Executive Summary 18
3.2.2 China 20
3.2.3 Thailand 20
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 20
3.3.1 Executive Summary 20
3.3.2 Austria 23
3.3.3 Belgium 24
3.3.4 Bulgaria 24
3.3.5 Croatia 25
3.3.6 Cyprus 25
3.3.7 Czech Republic 25
3.3.8 Denmark 26
3.3.9 Estonia 26
3.3.10 Finland 27
3.3.11 France 28
3.3.12 Germany 29
3.3.13 Hungary 30
3.3.14 Ireland 30
3.3.15 Italy 31
3.3.16 Kazakhstan 31
3.3.17 Latvia 31
3.3.18 Lithuania 32
3.3.19 Luxembourg 32
3.3.20 Macedonia 32
3.3.21 Moldova 33
3.3.22 Norway 33
3.3.23 Poland 33
3.3.24 Portugal 34
3.3.25 Romania 34
3.3.26 Russia 35
3.3.27 Slovakia 35
3.3.28 Slovenia 36
3.3.29 Spain 36
3.3.30 Sweden 37
3.3.31 Switzerland 37
3.3.32 the Netherlands 38
3.3.33 the United Kingdom 39
3.3.34 Ukraine 40
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 40
3.4.1 Executive Summary 40
3.4.2 Argentina 42
3.4.3 Ecuador 42
3.4.4 Uruguay 42
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 42
3.5.1 Executive Summary 42
3.5.2 Aruba 45
3.5.3 Canada 45
3.5.4 the United States 46
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 46
3.6.1 Executive Summary 46
3.6.2 Australia 48
3.6.3 New Zealand 48
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Unmilled Barley 48
3.7.1 Executive Summary 48
3.7.2 Saudi Arabia 50
3.7.3 the United Arab Emirates 50
3.7.4 Turkey 51
3.7.5 Yemen 51
4 IMPORTS 52
4.1 Africa: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 52
4.1.1 Executive Summary 52
4.1.2 Algeria 54
4.1.3 Cameroon 54
4.1.4 Egypt 54
4.1.5 Ghana 55
4.1.6 Mauritania 55
4.1.7 Morocco 55
4.1.8 Sao Tome E Principe 56
4.1.9 South Africa 56
4.1.10 Uganda 56
4.2 Asia: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 56
4.2.1 Executive Summary 56
4.2.2 China 58
4.2.3 Japan 58
4.2.4 Malaysia 59
4.2.5 Philippines 59
4.2.6 Singapore 59
4.2.7 South Korea 60
4.2.8 Taiwan 60
4.2.9 Thailand 60
4.3 Europe: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 60
4.3.1 Executive Summary 60
4.3.2 Albania 63
4.3.3 Austria 63
4.3.4 Belarus 64
4.3.5 Belgium 64
4.3.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 65
4.3.7 Croatia 65
4.3.8 Cyprus 66
4.3.9 Czech Republic 66
4.3.10 Denmark 67
4.3.11 Finland 67
4.3.12 France 68
4.3.13 Georgia 68
4.3.14 Germany 69
4.3.15 Greece 70
4.3.16 Hungary 70
4.3.17 Iceland 71
4.3.18 Ireland 71
4.3.19 Italy 72
4.3.20 Kazakhstan 72
4.3.21 Latvia 73
4.3.22 Lithuania 73
4.3.23 Luxembourg 73
4.3.24 Macedonia 74
4.3.25 Malta 74
4.3.26 Moldova 74
4.3.27 Norway 75
4.3.28 Poland 75
4.3.29 Portugal 76
4.3.30 Romania 76
4.3.31 Russia 77
4.3.32 Slovakia 77
4.3.33 Slovenia 78
4.3.34 Spain 78
4.3.35 Sweden 79
4.3.36 Switzerland 79
4.3.37 the Netherlands 80
4.3.38 the United Kingdom 80
4.3.39 Ukraine 81
4.4 Latin America: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 81
4.4.1 Executive Summary 81
4.4.2 Brazil 83
4.4.3 Chile 83
4.4.4 Colombia 83
4.4.5 Ecuador 84
4.4.6 Mexico 84
4.4.7 Peru 84
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 85
4.5.1 Executive Summary 85
4.5.2 Canada 86
4.5.3 Jamaica 87
4.5.4 the United States 87
4.6 Oceana: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 87
4.6.1 Executive Summary 87
4.6.2 New Zealand 88
4.7 the Middle East: Unmilled Barley Imports in 2009 88
4.7.1 Executive Summary 88
4.7.2 Armenia 91
4.7.3 Azerbaijan 91
4.7.4 Bahrain 92
4.7.5 Iran 92
4.7.6 Israel 92
4.7.7 Jordan 93
4.7.8 Kyrgyzstan 93
4.7.9 Oman 93
4.7.10 Pakistan 94
4.7.11 Qatar 94
4.7.12 Saudi Arabia 95
4.7.13 Syrian Arab Republic 95
4.7.14 Yemen 96
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 97
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 97
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 98
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