The World Market for Copra: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 35
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for copra. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for copra for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying copra? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of copra vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of copra? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported copra. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of copra, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of copra for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of copra to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in copra (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Copra" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "copra" is 2231 .
1 METHODOLOGY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
2 THE WORLD MARKET 9
2.1 Exports 9
2.1.1 The World Market: Copra Export Supplies in 2009 9
2.2 Imports 10
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Copra in 2009 10
3 EXPORTS 13
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Copra 13
3.1.1 Executive Summary 13
3.1.2 Cote dIvoire 14
3.1.3 Egypt 14
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Copra 14
3.2.1 Executive Summary 14
3.2.2 Hong Kong 16
3.2.3 Indonesia 16
3.2.4 Malaysia 16
3.2.5 Papua New Guinea 17
3.2.6 Philippines 17
3.2.7 Singapore 17
3.2.8 Sri Lanka 17
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Copra 18
3.3.1 Executive Summary 18
3.3.2 Belgium 19
3.3.3 Italy 19
3.3.4 Spain 19
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Copra 20
3.4.1 Executive Summary 20
3.4.2 Guyana 20
3.5 Oceana: Export Supplies of Copra 20
3.5.1 Executive Summary 20
3.5.2 Australia 22
3.5.3 Vanuatu 22
4 IMPORTS 23
4.1 Asia: Copra Imports in 2009 23
4.1.1 Executive Summary 23
4.1.2 China 24
4.1.3 Malaysia 24
4.1.4 Philippines 25
4.1.5 Thailand 25
4.2 Europe: Copra Imports in 2009 25
4.2.1 Executive Summary 25
4.2.2 Belgium 27
4.2.3 France 27
4.2.4 Germany 27
4.2.5 Greece 28
4.3 North America & the Caribbean: Copra Imports in 2009 28
4.3.1 Executive Summary 28
4.3.2 the United States 29
4.3.3 Trinidad and Tobago 30
4.4 Oceana: Copra Imports in 2009 30
4.4.1 Executive Summary 30
4.4.2 Australia 31
4.5 the Middle East: Copra Imports in 2009 31
4.5.1 Executive Summary 31
4.5.2 Pakistan 32
4.5.3 Saudi Arabia 33
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 34
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 34
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 35
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