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The World Market for Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective

ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 85

This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "fertilizers, double salts, and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate" is 56214 .

1 METHODOLOGY 9
1.1 Our Approach 9
2 THE WORLD MARKET 12
2.1 Exports 12
2.1.1 The World Market: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Export Supplies in 2009 12
2.2 Imports 14
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate in 2009 14
3 EXPORTS 18
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate 18
3.1.1 Executive Summary 18
3.1.2 Kenya 19
3.1.3 Mali 20
3.1.4 Mauritius 20
3.1.5 South Africa 20
3.1.6 Tanzania 21
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate 21
3.2.1 Executive Summary 21
3.2.2 China 23
3.2.3 Japan 23
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate 23
3.3.1 Executive Summary 23
3.3.2 Belgium 27
3.3.3 Czech Republic 28
3.3.4 Denmark 28
3.3.5 Finland 28
3.3.6 France 29
3.3.7 Germany 29
3.3.8 Greece 30
3.3.9 Hungary 30
3.3.10 Italy 30
3.3.11 Latvia 31
3.3.12 Lithuania 31
3.3.13 Norway 32
3.3.14 Poland 33
3.3.15 Portugal 33
3.3.16 Romania 34
3.3.17 Russia 34
3.3.18 Slovakia 34
3.3.19 Slovenia 35
3.3.20 Spain 35
3.3.21 Sweden 35
3.3.22 Switzerland 36
3.3.23 the Netherlands 36
3.3.24 the United Kingdom 36
3.3.25 Ukraine 37
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate 37
3.4.1 Executive Summary 37
3.4.2 Colombia 38
3.4.3 Costa Rica 39
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate 39
3.5.1 Executive Summary 39
3.5.2 Canada 41
3.5.3 the United States 41
3.6 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate 41
3.6.1 Executive Summary 41
3.6.2 Israel 43
3.6.3 the United Arab Emirates 43
3.6.4 Turkey 43
4 IMPORTS 44
4.1 Africa: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 44
4.1.1 Executive Summary 44
4.1.2 Ethiopia 46
4.1.3 Ghana 46
4.1.4 Malawi 47
4.1.5 Mauritania 47
4.1.6 Mozambique 47
4.1.7 Namibia 48
4.1.8 South Africa 48
4.1.9 Tanzania 48
4.1.10 Uganda 49
4.1.11 Zambia 49
4.2 Asia: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 49
4.2.1 Executive Summary 49
4.2.2 China 52
4.2.3 India 52
4.2.4 Indonesia 52
4.2.5 Japan 53
4.2.6 Philippines 53
4.2.7 South Korea 53
4.2.8 Taiwan 54
4.2.9 Thailand 54
4.3 Europe: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 54
4.3.1 Executive Summary 54
4.3.2 Austria 58
4.3.3 Belarus 58
4.3.4 Belgium 59
4.3.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina 59
4.3.6 Bulgaria 59
4.3.7 Croatia 60
4.3.8 Czech Republic 60
4.3.9 Denmark 60
4.3.10 Estonia 61
4.3.11 Finland 61
4.3.12 France 61
4.3.13 Germany 62
4.3.14 Greece 62
4.3.15 Hungary 63
4.3.16 Iceland 63
4.3.17 Ireland 63
4.3.18 Italy 64
4.3.19 Latvia 64
4.3.20 Lithuania 65
4.3.21 Luxembourg 65
4.3.22 Macedonia 65
4.3.23 Poland 66
4.3.24 Portugal 66
4.3.25 Romania 66
4.3.26 Russia 67
4.3.27 Slovakia 67
4.3.28 Spain 68
4.3.29 Sweden 68
4.3.30 Switzerland 69
4.3.31 the Netherlands 69
4.3.32 the United Kingdom 69
4.3.33 Ukraine 70
4.4 Latin America: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 70
4.4.1 Executive Summary 70
4.4.2 Argentina 72
4.4.3 Brazil 72
4.4.4 Chile 73
4.4.5 Costa Rica 73
4.4.6 Ecuador 74
4.4.7 Mexico 74
4.4.8 Panama 75
4.4.9 Peru 75
4.4.10 Venezuela 75
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 76
4.5.1 Executive Summary 76
4.5.2 Canada 77
4.5.3 the United States 78
4.5.4 Trinidad and Tobago 78
4.6 Oceana: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 78
4.6.1 Executive Summary 78
4.6.2 Australia 80
4.6.3 New Zealand 81
4.7 the Middle East: Fertilizers, Double Salts, and Mixtures of Calcium Nitrate and Ammonium Nitrate Imports in 2009 81
4.7.1 Executive Summary 81
4.7.2 Jordan 83
4.7.3 Saudi Arabia 83
4.7.4 Syrian Arab Republic 83
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 84
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 84
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 85

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