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The World Market for Paper Exercise Books: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective

ICON Group International, September 2008, Pages: 139

This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for paper exercise books. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for paper exercise books for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying paper exercise books? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of paper exercise books vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of paper exercise books? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported paper exercise books. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of paper exercise books, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of paper exercise books for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of paper exercise books to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in paper exercise books (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Paper Exercise Books" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "paper exercise books" is 64232.

1 METHODOLOGY 10
1.1 Our Approach 10
2 THE WORLD MARKET 13
2.1 Exports 13
2.1.1 The World Market: Paper Exercise Books Export Supplies in 2009 13
2.2 Imports 15
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Paper Exercise Books in 2009 15
3 EXPORTS 19
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 19
3.1.1 Executive Summary 19
3.1.2 Djibouti 21
3.1.3 Egypt 21
3.1.4 Kenya 21
3.1.5 Mauritius 21
3.1.6 Morocco 22
3.1.7 Senegal 22
3.1.8 South Africa 22
3.1.9 Sudan 23
3.1.10 Tunisia 23
3.1.11 Zimbabwe 23
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 24
3.2.1 Executive Summary 24
3.2.2 China 27
3.2.3 Hong Kong 28
3.2.4 India 29
3.2.5 Indonesia 30
3.2.6 Japan 31
3.2.7 Malaysia 31
3.2.8 Nepal 32
3.2.9 Singapore 32
3.2.10 South Korea 32
3.2.11 Taiwan 33
3.2.12 Thailand 33
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 33
3.3.1 Executive Summary 33
3.3.2 Austria 36
3.3.3 Belarus 36
3.3.4 Belgium 37
3.3.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina 37
3.3.6 Bulgaria 37
3.3.7 Croatia 38
3.3.8 Czech Republic 38
3.3.9 Denmark 38
3.3.10 Estonia 39
3.3.11 Finland 39
3.3.12 France 40
3.3.13 Germany 41
3.3.14 Greece 41
3.3.15 Hungary 42
3.3.16 Ireland 42
3.3.17 Italy 43
3.3.18 Latvia 43
3.3.19 Lithuania 44
3.3.20 Norway 44
3.3.21 Poland 45
3.3.22 Portugal 46
3.3.23 Romania 46
3.3.24 Russia 46
3.3.25 Slovakia 47
3.3.26 Slovenia 47
3.3.27 Spain 48
3.3.28 Sweden 48
3.3.29 Switzerland 49
3.3.30 the Netherlands 49
3.3.31 the United Kingdom 50
3.3.32 Ukraine 50
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 50
3.4.1 Executive Summary 50
3.4.2 Argentina 53
3.4.3 Brazil 53
3.4.4 Chile 54
3.4.5 Colombia 54
3.4.6 Costa Rica 55
3.4.7 Ecuador 55
3.4.8 El Salvador 55
3.4.9 Guatemala 56
3.4.10 Honduras 56
3.4.11 Mexico 56
3.4.12 Nicaragua 57
3.4.13 Panama 57
3.4.14 Paraguay 57
3.4.15 Peru 58
3.4.16 Uruguay 58
3.4.17 Venezuela 58
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 59
3.5.1 Executive Summary 59
3.5.2 Canada 61
3.5.3 Dominican Republic 61
3.5.4 the United States 62
3.5.5 Trinidad and Tobago 62
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 63
3.6.1 Executive Summary 63
3.6.2 Australia 64
3.6.3 New Zealand 64
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Paper Exercise Books 64
3.7.1 Executive Summary 64
3.7.2 Azerbaijan 67
3.7.3 Jordan 67
3.7.4 Lebanon 67
3.7.5 Saudi Arabia 68
3.7.6 Syrian Arab Republic 68
3.7.7 the United Arab Emirates 68
3.7.8 Turkey 69
3.7.9 Yemen 69
4 IMPORTS 70
4.1 Africa: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 70
4.1.1 Executive Summary 70
4.1.2 Botswana 73
4.1.3 Cameroon 73
4.1.4 Cape Verde 74
4.1.5 Cote dIvoire 74
4.1.6 Egypt 74
4.1.7 Ethiopia 75
4.1.8 Gabon 75
4.1.9 Ghana 76
4.1.10 Madagascar 76
4.1.11 Malawi 77
4.1.12 Mauritania 77
4.1.13 Mauritius 77
4.1.14 Morocco 78
4.1.15 Mozambique 78
4.1.16 Namibia 79
4.1.17 Senegal 79
4.1.18 South Africa 79
4.1.19 Sudan 80
4.1.20 Tanzania 80
4.1.21 Zambia 80
4.2 Asia: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 81
4.2.1 Executive Summary 81
4.2.2 Brunei 82
4.2.3 China 83
4.2.4 Hong Kong 83
4.2.5 India 83
4.2.6 Indonesia 84
4.2.7 Japan 84
4.2.8 Macau 84
4.2.9 Malaysia 85
4.2.10 Maldives 85
4.2.11 Mongolia 85
4.2.12 Philippines 86
4.2.13 Seychelles 86
4.2.14 Singapore 86
4.2.15 South Korea 87
4.2.16 Thailand 87
4.3 Europe: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 87
4.3.1 Executive Summary 87
4.3.2 Albania 91
4.3.3 Austria 91
4.3.4 Belarus 92
4.3.5 Belgium 92
4.3.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 93
4.3.7 Bulgaria 93
4.3.8 Croatia 94
4.3.9 Cyprus 94
4.3.10 Czech Republic 95
4.3.11 Denmark 95
4.3.12 Estonia 96
4.3.13 Finland 96
4.3.14 France 97
4.3.15 Georgia 97
4.3.16 Germany 98
4.3.17 Greece 98
4.3.18 Hungary 99
4.3.19 Iceland 99
4.3.20 Ireland 100
4.3.21 Italy 100
4.3.22 Kazakhstan 101
4.3.23 Latvia 101
4.3.24 Lithuania 102
4.3.25 Luxembourg 102
4.3.26 Macedonia 102
4.3.27 Moldova 103
4.3.28 Norway 103
4.3.29 Poland 104
4.3.30 Portugal 104
4.3.31 Romania 105
4.3.32 Russia 105
4.3.33 Slovakia 106
4.3.34 Slovenia 106
4.3.35 Spain 107
4.3.36 Sweden 108
4.3.37 Switzerland 108
4.3.38 the Netherlands 109
4.3.39 the United Kingdom 110
4.3.40 Ukraine 110
4.4 Latin America: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 111
4.4.1 Executive Summary 111
4.4.2 Argentina 114
4.4.3 Belize 114
4.4.4 Bolivia 115
4.4.5 Brazil 115
4.4.6 Chile 115
4.4.7 Colombia 116
4.4.8 Costa Rica 117
4.4.9 Ecuador 117
4.4.10 El Salvador 118
4.4.11 Guatemala 118
4.4.12 Guyana 119
4.4.13 Honduras 119
4.4.14 Mexico 120
4.4.15 Nicaragua 121
4.4.16 Panama 121
4.4.17 Paraguay 122
4.4.18 Peru 122
4.4.19 Uruguay 122
4.4.20 Venezuela 123
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 123
4.5.1 Executive Summary 123
4.5.2 Barbados 126
4.5.3 Canada 126
4.5.4 Jamaica 126
4.5.5 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 127
4.5.6 the United States 127
4.5.7 Trinidad and Tobago 128
4.6 Oceana: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 128
4.6.1 Executive Summary 128
4.6.2 Australia 130
4.6.3 Fiji 131
4.6.4 New Caledonia 131
4.6.5 New Zealand 131
4.7 the Middle East: Paper Exercise Books Imports in 2009 132
4.7.1 Executive Summary 132
4.7.2 Armenia 134
4.7.3 Azerbaijan 134
4.7.4 Bahrain 134
4.7.5 Iran 135
4.7.6 Israel 135
4.7.7 Kyrgyzstan 135
4.7.8 Oman 136
4.7.9 Pakistan 136
4.7.10 Qatar 136
4.7.11 Saudi Arabia 137
4.7.12 Yemen 137
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 138
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 138
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 139

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