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The Evolution to 10-Gigabit Ethernet: An Assessment of Worldwide Opportunities in Access, MAN and WAN Markets

  • ID: 6733
  • Report
  • January 2003
  • Region: Global
  • Pioneer Consulting
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In the early 1970’s Ethernet emerged as a networking protocol designed to link computers through out a building and campus. Since those humble beginnings, Ethernet has evolved into 10Base-T (Ieee 802.3) in 1983, Fast Ethernet (Ieee 802.3u) in 1995, 1-Gigabit Ethernet (802.3z) in 1998 and 10-Gigabit Ethernet (802.3ae) in 2002. Developments in the evolution of Ethernet have come more rapidly and have entailed a great expansion in capabilities. Today, Ethernet not only dominates the LAN market, it is also taking hold in the MAN and is extending into the WAN, as both its distance and capacity increase. Not surprisingly, Ethernet at the one gigabit and ten gigabit levels has attracted increasing attention from carriers operating in the MAN and WAN. However, the full promise of Ethernet in the MAN and WAN has yet to be realized, as 1- and 10-Gigabit Ethernet technologies have not yet been fully exploited. In the access market, Ethernet in the form of Ethernet passive optical networks (PONs) has also been minimally deployed. To what extent will Ethernet take hold in the access, WAN and MAN markets? To what extent will carriers embrace 1- and 10-Gigabit Ethernet in the MAN and 10-Gigabit Ethernet in the WAN? And when and where in the regions of the world will demand for E-pon, 1-Gigabit and 10-Gigabit Ethernet equipment be the greatest? In Pioneer’s latest report, The Evolution to 10-Gigabit Ethernet: An Assessment of Worldwide Opportunities in Access, MAN and WAN Markets, Pioneer expands and updates its earlier study, Gigabit Ethernet: Equipment and Service Opportunities in Multiple Markets, with a fresh appraisal of market opportunities and a more detailed examination of Ethernet technologies. In particular, Pioneer focuses on the nascent 10-Gigabit market in light of the recent (June, 2002) ratification of the 10-Gigabit standard by 802.3ae task force. The Evolution to 10-Gigabit Ethernet provides the most up-to-date and accurate assessment of demand for Ethernet equipment in multiple network-defined markets through-out the world. As such, it is indispensable for all equipment vendors that have a stake in the success of Ethernet-centric equipment in the Access, MAN and WAN markets, venture capitalists and financial analysts who must keep abreast of the latest developments in the increasing important technology area of high-speed Ethernet as well as service providers who are currently at a crossroads concerning whether to invest in Ethernet-centric transport equipment.
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1.0 Executive Summary
1.1 Overview
1.2 Ethernet-Centric Technologies
1.3 Market Forecasts

2.0 Overview of Study
2.1 Objective
2.2 Scope of Study
2.3 Definitions
2.4 Methodology

3.0 The Evolution of Ethernet
3.1 Overview
3.2 Drivers and Enablers of Ethernet Evolution
3.3 Role of Industry Associations and Standards Bodies

4.0 Ethernet in the Access Market
4.1 Overview
4.2 PONs
4.3 EPONs Versus APONs
4.4 Advantages of EPONs
4.5 EPON Network Architechure

4.5.1 Passive Elements
4.5.2 Active Elements
4.6 Managing Upstream/Downstream Traffic in an EPON
4.7 EPON Deployment Drivers
4.8 The Future of Ethernet PONs

5.0 Ethernet in the MAN
5.1 Overview
5.2 Evolution of Ethernet
5.3 Ethernet Solutions
5.4 Network Deployment Options
5.5 Applications
5.6 Enablers
5.7 Resilient Packet Rings
5.8 Advantages
5.9 Industry Associations

6.0 Ethernet in the WAN
6.1 Overview
6.2 Network Deployment Options
6.3 Current Status

7.0 1-Gigabit Ethernet
7.1 Definition
7.2 Standards Development
7.3 Technology Description

7.3.1 MAC Layer
7.3.2 PHY Layer
7.4 Network Deployment Options
7.5 Applications
7.6 Advantages and Disadvantages
7.7 Opportunities
7.8 Pricing

8.0 10–Gigabit Ethernet
8.1 Overview
8.2 Standards Development
8.3 Industry Associations

8.4 1-GigE versus 10-GigE
8.5 Technology Description

8.5.1 Overview
8.5.2 Media Access Control (MAC) Layer
8.5.3 XGMII and XAUI Interfaces
8.5.4 Physical Layer (PHY) and PMDs
8.5.5 Relationship of 10 GigE to SONET
8.6 Network Deployment Options
8.7 Applications
8.8 Advantages and Disadvantages
8.9 Opportunities
8.10 Pricing

9.0 Gigabit Ethernet Market Overviews
9.1 Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market Overview

9.1.1 Definition of Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market
9.1.2 Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market Segmentation
9.1.3 Major Ethernet Equipment Market Participants by Segment
9.1.4 Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market Trends
9.2 Service Provider Market Overview

9.2.1 Market Overview
9.2.2 Market Segmentation
9.2.3 Major Service Providers by Segment
9.2.4 Market Trends

10.0 Gigabit Ethernet Market Forecast
10.1 Forecast Methodology

10.1.1 Fisher Pry Model
10.1.2 Business Cycle Impacts
10.1.3 Key Assumptions
10.2 Gigabit Ethernet Equipment Market Forecast

10.2.1 Worldwide Ethernet Forecast Regional Ethernet Forecasts North America Europe Asia Pacific Latin America Estimated Total Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Speed 1 Gbps 10 Gbps Total Ethernet Ports by Market Segment MAN WAN Total Ethernet Ports by Market Segment by Speed MAN WAN
10.3 Major Conclusions
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown