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Gigabit Ethernet: Equipment and Service Opportunities in Multiple Markets

  • ID: 6749
  • October 2001
  • 289 pages
  • Pioneer Consulting
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As predicted by Moore’s Law, the speed of Ethernet has increased - first to 10 Mbps, then to 100 Mbps and recently to an entire gigabit per second (1 Gbps). At the same time, the price of Ethernet has decreased, promising ever higher levels of market penetration.

Correspondingly, networks have become more valuable. As explained by Metcalfe’s Law, networks have become exponentially more valuable, as the numbers of users have swelled to hundreds of millions.

Within the LAN, Ethernet has clearly become the dominant technology. Now, with the advent of Gigabit Ethernet, it has started to make substantial inroads into the metro area network (MAN). and will one day expand even further, becoming increasingly prevalent in wide area networks (WAN) as well. Currently, the technology exists to take Ethernet to this next level. This development will herald a convergence in voice and data networks, while maintaining compatibility with existing Ethernet technology.

How soon and to what extent will these trends be realized? What opportunities will exist for service providers and equipment manufacturers in these expanding markets?

In the Gigabit Ethernet Market report we answer these and other related questions. We analyze in detail the Gigabit Ethernet market from all major marketing and technological perspectives: the technology, applications, market dynamics, economics, and service providers (“EtherLECs”), as well as network equipment suppliers.

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<DT><B>Chapter 1: Executive Summary</B> <BR><DD>1.1 Overview <BR><DD>1.2 Ethernet-Centric Technologies <BR><DD>1.3 Market Descriptions <BR><DD>1.4 Market Forecasts <BR><DD>1.5 Major Conclusions <BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 2: Overview of Study </B><BR><DD>2.1 Objective <BR><DD>2.2 Scope of Study <BR><DD>2.3 Definitions <BR><DL><BR><DD>2.3.1 Ethernet <BR><DD>2.3.2 Gigabit Ethernet <BR><DD>2.3.3 Local (LAN) <BR><DD>2.3.4 Access <BR><DD>2.3.5 Metro (MAN) <BR><DD>2.3.6 Core (WAN) <BR><DD>2.3.7 Ethernet Service Provider <BR><DD>2.3.8 Ethernet "Routers" Versus "Switches" </DD></DL><BR><DD>2.4 Methodology <BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 3: Gigabit Ethernet Market Overviews</B> <BR><DD>3.1 Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market Overview <BR><DL><BR><DD>3.1.1 Definition of Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market <BR><DD>3.1.2 Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market Segmentation <BR><DD>3.1.3 Major Ethernet Equipment Market Participants By Segment <BR><DD>3.1.4 Ethernet Equipment Vendor Market and Technology Trends <BR><DL><BR><DD>3.1.4.1 Market Trends <BR><DD>3.1.4.2 Technology Trends <BR><DD>3.1.4.2.1 Ethernet Technology Applications <BR><DL><BR><DD>3.1.4.2.1.1 High Speed Applications <BR><DD>3.1.4.2.1.2 Network Infrastructure Applications </DD></DL></DD></DL><BR><DD>3.1.4.3 Market Consolidation </DD></DL><BR><DD>3.2 Ethernet Service Provider Market Overview <BR><DL><BR><DD>3.2.1 Definition of Ethernet Service Provider Market <BR><DD>3.2.2 Ethernet Service Provider Market Segmentation <BR><DD>3.2.3 Major Ethernet Service Provider Market Participants <BR><DD>3.2.4 Ethernet Service Provider Market Trends <BR><DL><BR><DD>3.2.4.1 North American Carrier Trends <BR><DL><BR><DD>3.2.4.1.1 ILECs and RBOCs <BR><DD>3.2.4.1.2 CLECs </DD></DL><BR><DD>3.2.4.2 Europe <BR><DD>3.2.4.3 Asia Pacific </DD></DL><BR><DD>3.2.5 Ethernet Service Provider Market Presence </DD></DL><BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 4: Gigabit Ethernet Technology </B><BR><DD>4.1 The Evolution of Ethernet <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.1.1 LAN Ethernet <BR><DD>4.1.2 MAN Ethernet <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.1.2.1 The MAN Technology Battleground <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.1.2.1.1 Metro DWDM <BR><DD>4.1.2.1.2 Next Generation SONET/SDH <BR><DD>4.1.2.1.3 Metro Ethernet <BR><DD>4.1.2.1.4 Metro Technology Trends </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.1.2.2 Metro Ethernet Applications </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.1.3 WAN Ethernet </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.2 Ethernet Solutions <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.2.1 Optical Ethernet <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.2.1.1 Optical Gigabit Ethernet <BR><DD>4.2.1.2 Optical Ethernet Area Networks </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.2.2 Packet Ring Networks <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.2.2.1 Resilient Packet Ring (RPR) Networking <BR><DD>4.2.2.2 RPR Applications </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.2.3 Ethernet Passive Optical Networks <BR><DD>4.2.4 10-Gigabit Ethernet <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.2.4.1 Gigabit Ethernet vs. 10-Gigabit Ethernet <BR><DD>4.2.4.2 10-Gigabit Ethernet over DWDM </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.2.5 Ethernet over SONET </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.3 Enabling Ethernet Technology <BR><DD>4.4 Gigabit Ethernet Topology <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.4.1 LAN Architecture <BR><DD>4.4.2 MAN Architecture </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.5 Ethernet Standards Committees and Organizations <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.5.1 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) <BR><DL><BR><DD>4.5.1.1 802.3 </DD></DL><BR><DD>4.5.2 Metro Ethernet Forum (MEF) <BR><DD>4.5.3 Resilient Packet Ring (RPR) Alliance <BR><DD>4.5.4 10-Gigabit Ethernet Alliance (GEA) </DD></DL><BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 5: Gigabit Ethernet Market Demand Drivers </B><BR><DD>5.1 Application Related Demand Drivers <BR><DD>5.2 Market-Specific Drivers <BR><DL><BR><DD>5.2.1 LAN <BR><DD>5.2.2 Access <BR><DD>5.2.3 MAN <BR><DD>5.2.4 WAN </DD></DL><BR><DD>5.3 Financial Drivers <BR><DD>5.4 Regulatory Drivers <BR><DD>5.5 Technology Drivers <BR><DL><BR><DD>5.5.1 Network Convergence </DD></DL><BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 6: Gigabit Ethernet Market Demand Suppressants </B><BR><DD>6.1 Capability Limitations <BR><DL><BR><DD>6.1.1 QoS </DD></DL><BR><DD>6.2 Demands for Alternative Technologies <BR><DL><BR><DD>6.2.1 SONET/SDH <BR><DD>6.2.2 DWDM <BR><DL><BR><DD>6.2.2.1 Long-Haul DWDM <BR><DD>6.2.2.2 Metro DWDM </DD></DL><BR><DD>6.2.3 APON </DD></DL><BR><DD>6.3 Technology Development <BR><DL><BR><DD>6.3.1 New Technology Acceptance </DD></DL><BR><DD>6.4 Network Management <BR><DD>6.5 Internetworking Interoperability Issues <BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 7: Gigabit Ethernet Market Forecast </B><BR><DD>7.1 Forecast Methodology <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.1.1 Fisher Pry Model <BR><DD>7.1.2 Business Cycle Impacts <BR><DD>7.1.3 Forecast Demand Drivers and Suppressants <BR><DD>7.1.4 Key Assumptions </DD></DL><BR><DD>7.2 Gigabit Ethernet Equipment Market Forecast <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.2.1 Worldwide Ethernet Forecast <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.1 Regional Ethernet Forecasts <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.1.1 North America <BR><DD>7.2.1.1.2 Europe <BR><DD>7.2.1.1.3 Asia Pacific <BR><DD>7.2.1.1.4 Latin America </DD></DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.2 Estimated Total Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Speed <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.2.1 10 Mbps <BR><DD>7.2.1.2.2 10/100 Mbps <BR><DD>7.2.1.2.3 1 Gbps <BR><DD>7.2.1.2.4 10 Gbps </DD></DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.3 Total Ethernet Ports by Market Segment <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.3.1 LAN <BR><DD>7.2.1.3.2 Access <BR><DD>7.2.1.3.3 MAN <BR><DD>7.2.1.3.4 WAN </DD></DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.4 Total Ethernet Ports by Market Segment by Speed <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.2.1.4.1 LAN <BR><DD>7.2.1.4.2 Access <BR><DD>7.2.1.4.3 MAN <BR><DD>7.2.1.4.4 WAN </DD></DL></DD></DL></DD></DL><BR><DD>7.3 Gigabit Ethernet Service Provider Market Forecast <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.3.1 Worldwide Ethernet Service Provider Forecast <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.3.1.1 Regional Ethernet Service Provider Forecasts <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.3.1.1.1 North America <BR><DD>7.3.1.1.2 Europe <BR><DD>7.3.1.1.3 Asia Pacific </DD></DL><BR><DD>7.3.1.2 Total Ethernet Service Provider Market Forecast by Market Segment <BR><DL><BR><DD>7.3.1.1.4 Latin America <BR><DD>7.3.1.2.1 Access Ethernet Service Provider Market Segment Forecast <BR><DD>7.3.1.2.2 MAN Ethernet Service Provider Market Segment Forecast <BR><DD>7.3.1.2.3 WAN Ethernet Service Provider Market Segment Forecast </DD></DL></DD></DL></DD></DL><BR><DD>7.4 Major Conclusions <BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 8: Ethernet Service Provider and RBOC Profiles </B><BR><DD>8.1 Ethernet Service Providers <BR><DL><BR><DD>8.1.1 North America <BR><DL><BR><DD>8.1.1.1 Cogent Communications <BR><DD>8.1.1.2 Epana Networks <BR><DD>8.1.1.3 GiantLoop Network <BR><DD>8.1.1.4 IntelliSpace <BR><DD>8.1.1.5 Looking Glass Networks <BR><DD>8.1.1.6 OnFiber <BR><DD>8.1.1.7 Onvoy <BR><DD>8.1.1.8 Sigma Networks <BR><DD>8.1.1.9 Telseon <BR><DD>8.1.1.10 XO Communications <BR><DD>8.1.1.11 Yipes </DD></DL><BR><DD>8.1.2 Europe <BR><DL><BR><DD>8.1.2.1 COLT Telecom <BR><DD>8.1.2.2 Storm Telecommunications <BR><DD>8.1.2.3 Utfors </DD></DL><BR><DD>8.1.3 Asia Pacific <BR><DL><BR><DD>8.1.3.1 NTT Communications </DD></DL><BR><DD>8.1.4 Latin America <BR><DL><BR><DD>8.1.4.1 Telefonica Latinoamericana </DD></DL></DD></DL><BR><DD>8.2 RBOCs <BR><DL><BR><DD>8.2.1 BellSouth <BR><DD>8.2.2 Qwest <BR><DD>8.2.3 SBC <BR><DD>8.2.4 Verizon </DD></DL><BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 9: Gigabit Ethernet Vendor Profiles </B><BR><DD>9.1 Common Architecture <BR><DL><BR><DD>9.1.1 3Com <BR><DD>9.1.2 Alloptic <BR><DD>9.1.3 Appian Communications <BR><DD>9.1.4 Applied Innovation <BR><DL><BR><DD>9.1.4.1 LuxPath Networks </DD></DL><BR><DD>9.1.5 Atrica Inc. <BR><DD>9.1.6 Cisco Systems <BR><DD>9.1.7 Coriolis Networks <BR><DD>9.1.8 Corrigent Systems <BR><DD>9.1.9 Dynarc <BR><DD>9.1.10 Extreme Networks <BR><DD>9.1.11 Force 10 <BR><DD>9.1.12 Foundry Networks <BR><DD>9.1.13 Hewlett Packard <BR><DD>9.1.14 Hitachi Internetworking <BR><DD>9.1.15 IMC Networks <BR><DD>9.1.16 Intel <BR><DD>9.1.17 Ixia <BR><DD>9.1.18 Lantern Communications <BR><DD>9.1.19 Luminous Networks Inc. <BR><DD>9.1.20 METRObility Optical Systems <BR><DD>9.1.21 Native Networks <BR><DD>9.1.22 Nortel Networks <BR><DD>9.1.23 Ocular Networks <BR><DD>9.1.24 Optical Solutions <BR><DD>9.1.25 Riverstone Networks <BR><DD>9.1.26 Salira Optical Network Systems <BR><DD>9.1.27 SwitchCore <BR><DD>9.1.28 Tiara <BR><DD>9.1.29 Tropic Networks Inc. <BR><DD>9.1.30 VIPswitch <BR><DD>9.1.31 World Wide Packets <BR><DD>9.1.32 Zuma Networks </DD></DL><BR><DD><BR><BR><DD><BR><BR><DT><B>List of Exhibits</B> <BR><DT><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 1: Executive Summary </B><BR><DT>Exhibit 1.1: Fisher Pry Formula <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.2: Fisher Pry Curve <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.3: Economic Assumptions (Annual Percent Growth in Real GDP) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.4: Ethernet Timeline <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.5: 1-Gigabit Ethernet vs. 10-Gigabit Ethernet <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.6: NG SONET/SDH vs. Ethernet vs. RPR <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.7: Metro DWDM vs. NG SONET/SDH vs. Metro Ethernet <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.8: Estimated Worldwide Total Ethernet Equipment Sales ($ USD Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.9: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Region (2001 to 2005 in Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.10: Estimated Worldwide Mix of Ethernet Port Speeds <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.11: Estimated Total Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.12: Estimated Worldwide Distribution of Ethernet Ports by Market Segment <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.13: Estimated Worldwide Total Ethernet Service Provider Revenue ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.14: Regional Distribution of Worldwide Ethernet Service Provider Market Opportunity in <BR><DT>$ Millions (USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.15: Ethernet Service Provider Market Forecast by Market Segment ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 1.16: Gig-E Market Opportunity (Millions) <BR><DT><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 3: Gigabit Ethernet Market Overviews </B><BR><DT>Exhibit 3.1: Ethernet Equipment Vendors and Products by Brand Name <BR><DT>Exhibit 3.2: Ethernet Equipment Market Participants by Market Segment <BR><DT>Exhibit 3.3: Major Ethernet Service Provider Market Participants by Region <BR><DT>Exhibit 3.4: Ethernet Service Providers Market Presence in the U.S. <BR><DT>Exhibit 3.5: Ethernet Service Providers Market Presence in Europe <BR><DT><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 4: Gigabit Ethernet Technology</B> <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.1: Robert Metcalfe's First Ethernet Design <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.2: Ethernet Timeline <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.3: The Emerging Technology Battleground <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.4: Metro DWDM: Core and Access <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.5: Metro DWDM vs. NG SONET/SDH vs. Metro Ethernet <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.6: The Next Step in Packet Based Transport <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.7: NG SONET/SDH vs. Ethernet vs. RPR <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.8: Recovery from a Fibre Cut <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.9: Packet Ring Metro Access and Aggregation Solution <BR><DT>Exhibit 4.10: Downstream Traffic Flow in an EPON <BR><DT><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 6: Gigabit Ethernet Market Demand Suppressants </B><BR><DT>Exhibit 6.1: Gigabit Ethernet Market Demand Suppressants <BR><DT>Chapter 7: Gigabit Ethernet Market Forecast <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.1: Fisher Pry Model <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.2: Generic Fisher Pry Plot <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.3: Economic Assumptions (Annual Percent Growth in Real GDP) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.4: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Year (2001 to 2005 in Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.5: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Year (2001 to 2005 in Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.6: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Region (2001 to 2005 in Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.7 Estimated Regional Shares of Worldwide Ethernet Ports (2001 to 2005 in Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.8: Worldwide Total Ethernet Equipment Sales (Millions, USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.9: Estimated Worldwide Total Ethernet Equipment Sales (Millions, USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.10: Estimated Total Ethernet Ports-North America (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.11: Estimated Total Ethernet Ports-Europe (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.12: Estimated Ethernet Ports-Asia Pacific (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.13: Estimated Ethernet Ports-Latin America (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.14: Estimated Total Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.15: Estimated Worldwide Mix of Ethernet Port Speeds <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.16: Total Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports-10 Mbps (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.17: Total Estimated Ethernet Ports-10/100 Mbps (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.18: Total Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports-1 Gbps (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.19: Total Estimated Ethernet Ports-10 Gbps (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.20: Total Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports by Market Segment (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.21: Estimated Worldwide Distribution of Ethernet Ports by Market Segment <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.22: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports-LAN (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.23: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports-Access (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.24: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports-MAN (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.25: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Ports-WAN (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.26: Estimated Total Worldwide LAN Ethernet Ports by Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.27: Estimated Total Worldwide LAN Ethernet Ports by Mix of Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.28: Estimated Total Worldwide Access Ethernet Ports by Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.29: Estimated Total Worldwide Access Ethernet Ports by Mix of Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.30: Estimated Total Worldwide MAN Ethernet Ports by Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.31: Estimated Total Worldwide MAN Ethernet Ports by Mix of Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.32: Estimated Total Worldwide WAN Ethernet Ports by Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.33: Estimated Total Worldwide WAN Ethernet Ports by Mix of Speed (Millions) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.34: Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Service Provider Revenue ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.35: Total Estimated Worldwide Ethernet Service Provider Revenue by Region in $ Millions (USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.36: Regional Distribution of Worldwide Ethernet Service Provider Market Opportunity in $ Millions <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.37: Estimated North American ESP Market Opportunity ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.38: Estimated European ESP Market Opportunity ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.39: Estimated Asia Pacific ESP Market Opportunity ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.40: Latin American ESP Market Opportunity ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.41: Ethernet Service Provider Market Forecast by Market Segment ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.42: Access Ethernet Service Provider Market Segment Forecast ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.43: MAN Ethernet Service Provider Market Segment Forecast ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.44: WAN Ethernet Service Provider Market Segment Forecast ($ Millions USD) <BR><DT>Exhibit 7.45: Gig-E Market Opportunity (Millions) <BR><DT><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 8: Ethernet Service Provider and RBOC Profiles </B><BR><DT>Exhibit 8.1: Cogent's Network Map <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.2: Cogent's Service Pricing <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.3: GiantLoop's PowerIP Architecture <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.4: GiantLoop's PowerCONNECT Architecture <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.5: IntelliSpace Network Configuration <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.6: OnFiber's Optical Ethernet Service's Features and Benefits <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.7: Sigma Networks' 2001 MAIN Deployment Priorities <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.8: Telseon's EthernetEdge Access Concept <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.9: Telseon's EthernetEdge Platform Concept <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.10: XO Backbone Infrastructure <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.11: Yipes MAN Solution <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.12: Yipes Access Tier of IP-Over-Fibre MAN Architecture <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.13: Yipes Regional IP-Over-Fibre Network at the Distribution Level <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.14: Yipes Core Tier of IP-Over-Fibre MAN Architecture <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.15: COLT's Geographic Presence <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.16: Storm's Ethernet Point-to-Point Features and Benefits <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.17: Storm's Geographic Presence and Future Expansion Plans <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.18: NTT's Japan Network <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.19: Qwest's North American Broadband Network <BR><DT>Exhibit 8.20: Verizon's Network Presence <BR><DT><BR><BR><DT><B>Chapter 9: Gigabit Ethernet Vendor Profiles </B><BR><DT>Exhibit 9.1: Appian Communications' OSAP Network Architecture <BR><DT>Exhibit 9.2: Hitachi's Port Densities <BR><DT>Exhibit 9.3: Hitachi's Physical Characteristics <BR><DT>Exhibit 9.4: Intel's Features and Benefits <BR><DT>Exhibit 9.5: Lantern Communications ROPR Network Design <BR><DT>Exhibit 9.6: Salira's NeoPON Solution <BR><DT><BR></DT>

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