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Yogurt and Yogurt Drinks in the United States 2008


Description: This report explores the yogurt and yogurt drinks market and provides insights going beyond discussing segments, brand performance, and current trends, to growing the consumer base and increasing frequency of purchase from current consumers.

Specifically, the highlights of analysis in the report include:

- How the consumer quest for healthier food is influencing the yogurt and yogurt drinks market
- How manufacturers can drive growth through under-targeted demographics
- Importance of probiotic innovations targeting digestive health in building sales and an outlook on future sales through inclusion of this claim amid increasing competition
- What role increasing yogurt prices have played in determining consumer demand
- How are private label yogurt and yogurt drinks performing, compared to branded products
- What types of flavors and textures in yogurt and yogurt drinks have the potential to drive growth
- Reasons for consuming less yogurt than a year ago
- How product innovation in the U.S. compares with new global product launches and what U.S. manufacturers can learn from global innovations to drive growth locally


Contents: Scope and Themes
What you need to know
Definition
Data sources
Sales data
Consumer survey data
Abbreviations and terms
Abbreviations
Terms
Executive Summary
Market at a glance—slowing future growth
Refrigerated yogurt continues to dominate the market and market growth
Demographic influences
Groupe Danone and General Mills top suppliers, but growth comes from small manufacturers
Supermarkets increase private-label offerings in the total product mix
Growth in the number of yogurt (not frozen) users
Yogurt flavor is the top desired attribute
Manufacturers need to educate consumers about probiotic and prebiotic to increase sales through these products
Market Size and Forecast
Key points
Market growth contingent upon product innovations supporting consumers’ ongoing quest for healthy living
Manufacturers need to explore new consumer segments other than women
Market hurt by increasing prices
Sales and forecast of yogurt and yogurt drinks
Figure 3: Total U.S. sales and forecast of yogurt and yogurt drinks, at current prices, 2003-13
Figure 4: Total U.S. sales and forecast of yogurt and yogurt drinks, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2003-13
Wal-Mart sales
Competitive Context
Key points
Increasing competition and confusion among growing family of line extensions
Growth-driving innovative claims in yogurt increasingly available in other foods and beverages
Segment Performance
Key points
Health and wellness trends influence most segments
Segment sales and forecast of yogurt and yogurt drinks
Figure 5: FDMx sales and forecast of yogurt and yogurt drinks, at current prices, by segment, 2003-13
Refrigerated yogurt continues to dominate the market
Figure 6: FDMx sales of yogurt and yogurt drinks, by segment, 2006 and 2008
Segment Performance—Refrigerated Yogurt
Key points
Refrigerated yogurt benefits from pro-health innovation and positioning
Light yogurt resonates with consumer lifestyle; regular yogurt likely to exhibit continued decline
Increasing price and competition from other dairy products hurts kids’ yogurt
Soy and Greek yogurt accelerates on consumer trend towards healthy eating
Sales and forecast—refrigerated yogurt
Figure 7: FDMx sales and forecast of refrigerated yogurt, 2003-13
Segment Performance—Refrigerated Yogurt Drinks
Key points
High prices deter repeat purchase; create value perception through health-boost claims
Yogurt drinks face competition from smoothies and kefir milk
Hispanics and blacks remain under-targeted; families with children provide growth potentials
Sales and forecast—refrigerated yogurt drinks
Figure 8: FDMx sales and forecast of refrigerated yogurt drinks, 2003-13
Segment Performance—Frozen Yogurt/Tofu
Key points
Frozen yogurts suffer from trend towards eating healthy; incorporate pro-health claims found in yogurt and yogurt drinks
Sales and forecast—frozen yogurt/tofu
Figure 9: FDMx sales and forecast of frozen yogurt/tofu, 2003-13
Retail Channels
Key point
Supermarkets lose market share to mass and drug channels
Figure 10: New yogurt and yogurt drinks product launch at supermarkets, mass merchandise stores, and warehouse clubs, 2003 and 2007
Figure 11: U.S. sales of yogurt and yogurt drinks, by retail channel, 2006 and 2008*
Retail Channels—Supermarkets
Key points
Supermarkets increasingly rely on private labels to drive traffic and volume sales
Figure 12: New yogurt and yogurt drinks product launch at supermarkets, mass merchandise stores, and warehouse clubs, by private labels and national brands, 2003 and 2007
Institute educational programs to grow awareness of functional yogurt
Figure 13: U.S. sales of yogurt and yogurt drinks at supermarkets, 2003-08
Retail Channels—Natural
Key points
Natural grocery stores post impressive sales growth, but remain a very small part of the total sales
Figure 14: Natural product supermarket retail sales* of yogurt and yogurt drinks, at current prices, 2006-08**
Figure 15: Natural product supermarket retail sales* of functional beverages, at inflation-adjusted prices, 2006-08**
Natural channel sales by segment
Figure 16: Natural product supermarket retail sales of yogurt, by segment, 2006 and 2008
Brand performance: Yogurt Natural Channel
Figure 17: Manufacturer brand natural supermarket sales of yogurt, 2006 and 2008
Natural channel sales of yogurt by organic
Figure 18: Natural product supermarket retail sales of yogurt, by organic/non-organic, 2006 and 2008
Market Drivers
Health and wellness trends become growth drivers
Obesity rate remains strong; position yogurt and yogurt drinks as a weight-loss tool
Figure 19: Percentage of population who are overweight or obese, 20-74 years of age, 1988-2004
Demographic influences
Women are the key consumer in the market
Figure 20: Attitude towards health, by gender, February 2007-March 2008
Figure 21: U.S. population of women aged 18 and over, by age, 2003-13
Children and teens have the potential to drive growth in certain types of yogurts
Figure 22: Population of children and teens aged 0-17, by age, 2003-13
Hispanics and Asians exhibit potential to stimulate market growth
Figure 23: Population, by race and Hispanic origin, 2003-13
Companies and Brands
Key points
Top two manufacturers account for nearly 70% of the total market share
“Other” manufacturers innovate on the health front; gain the biggest market share
Manufacturer sales—all yogurt/yogurt drinks
Figure 24: FDMx sales of leading yogurt/yogurt drink companies, 2007 and 2008
Brand Share—Refrigerated Yogurt
Key points
Light yogurt brands make connection with dieters
Brands targeted at children fluctuate—flavor innovation, removing artificial ingredients, and value pricing will bring growth
Brands with digestive aid and immune-boosting claims have long-term growth potential
Soy yogurt brands expand on claims; Greek yogurt brands enjoy triple-digit growth
Manufacturer and brand sales—refrigerated yogurt
Figure 25: FDMx brand sales of refrigerated yogurt in the U.S., 2007 and 2008
Brand Share—Refrigerated Yogurt Drinks
Key points
Private-label brands exhibit growth amid lack of differentiation from national brands
Yogurt drink brands with pro-health claims—for both kids and adults—thrive
Hispanic-targeted brands display growth; mainstream brands absent in targeting this group
Manufacturer and brand sales—refrigerated yogurt drinks
Figure 26: FDMx brand sales of refrigerated yogurt drinks in the U.S., 2007 and 2008
Brand Share—Frozen Yogurt/Tofu
Key points
Brands from major ice cream manufacturers exhibit growth
Tofu-based frozen yogurt brands largely remain flat
Private labels thrive due to value pricing
Manufacturer and brand sales—frozen yogurt/tofu
Figure 27: FDMx brand sales of frozen yogurt/tofu in the U.S., 2007 and 2008
Brand Qualities
Brands with pro-health perception thrive, but differentiation is essential
Line extension name game
Innovation and Innovators
New product introduction remains strong in refrigerated yogurt
Figure 28: Trends in numbers of new product introductions in the yogurt and yogurt drinks market, 2003-08*
Top 10 claims for yogurt and yogurt drinks in the U.S. during 2005- 07
Figure 29: Top 10 claims in new yogurt and yogurt drink products, 2005-07
New products broaden functional health claims beyond digestive benefit
Figure 30: Trends in new product introductions in the yogurt and yogurt drinks market, 2006-08*
Helping the immune system
Supporting the brain and nervous system
Increasing fiber claims
Digestive benefits
Yogurts targeting children—probiotic claims, new flavors, and new characters attract both parents and children
Flavors
Emerging flavors in yogurt and yogurt drinks targeted at children
Emerging flavors in yogurt and yogurt drinks targeted at adults
Indulgent flavors in low-, no-calorie yogurt
Innovative packaging—emphasis on convenience
Frozen yogurt
Global vs. North America—a comparison of new yogurt and yogurt drinks products
Figure 31: Comparison of top 10 U.S. and global new yogurt and yogurt drinks product claims, 2006-08
Probiotic vs. Prebiotic—Europe ahead of North America
Figure 32: Global trends in mention of “probiotic” in new yogurt product launches, 2006-08
Figure 33: Global trends in mention of “prebiotic” in new yogurt product launches, 2006-08
Global new products with innovative attributes
Advertising and Promotion
Yogurt and yogurt drink makers “exclusively” target women
“3-A-Day” dairy initiative benefits yogurt market; marketers need to include the initiative in their marketing campaigns
“Feel good” messages from “light” yogurts
Yoplait—rich and creamy
Figure 34: Yoplait rich and creamy, TV ad, 2008
Yoplait Light—indulgent flavors with the connection to weight loss
Figure 35: Yoplait Light, TV ad, 2008
Dannon Light and Fit 0%+
Figure 36: Dannon Light and Fit 0%+, TV ad, 2008
Yogurt for kids and teens
Yoplait Fizzix—fun with soda yogurt
Figure 37: Yoplait Fizzix, TV ad, 2008
Trix—brand promotion
Figure 38: Trix brand promotion, TV ad, 2008
Yogurt/yogurt drinks targeting immunity boost
Dannon DanActive—strengthen your family’s body defenses
Figure 39: DanActive immunity-enhancing yogurt drink, TV ad, 2008
Figure 40: DanActive immunity-enhancing yogurt drink, TV ad, 2008
Yogurts targeting digestive health
Yoplait Yo-Plus—emphasis on creating positive balance
Figure 41: Yoplait Yo-Plus, TV ad, 2008
Yakult
Figure 42: Yakult probiotic yogurt, TV ad, 2008
Dannon Activia—take the challenge
Figure 43: Activia 14-day challenge, TV ad, 2008
Yogurt Usage, Frequency, and Brand Penetration
Growth in the number of yogurt (not frozen) users; frozen yogurt consumption on decline
Figure 44: Trends in personal consumption of yogurt and frozen yogurt, 2003-08
Women, Asians, and Hispanics are prime growth-driving demographics in the market
Figure 45: Personal consumption of yogurt and frozen yogurt, by gender, age, race/Hispanic origin, presence of children and region, February 2007-March 2008
All age groups exhibit decline in using regular yogurt
Figure 46: Personal consumption of yogurt and frozen yogurt, by type, by age, February 2007-March 2008
Hispanics prime consumers for drinkable yogurt
Figure 47: Personal consumption of yogurt and frozen yogurt, by type, by race/Hispanic origin, February 2007-March 2008
Incidence of using yogurt, yogurt drinks, shelf-stable smoothies and made-to-order smoothies by self and family members
Households with children—ideal target for yogurt, yogurt drinks, shelf-stable smoothies, and made-to-order smoothies
Figure 48: Incidence of using yogurt, yogurt drinks and smoothies by self and other family members, by presence of children, August 2008
Frequency of yogurt consumption
Figure 49: Frequency of using yogurt and yogurt drinks, August 2008
Yogurt (not frozen) usage by types of mix-ins
Figure 50: Personal consumption of yogurt, by type of mix-ins, by age, February 2007-March 2008
Figure 51: Personal consumption of yogurt, by type of mix-ins, by race/Hispanic origin, February 2007-March 2008
Yogurt (not frozen) consumption among teens and children
Figure 52: Trends in yogurt consumption (not frozen) among teens, by type and types of mix-ins, 2003-07
Figure 53: Trends in yogurt (not frozen) consumption among children aged 6-11, 2003-07
Frozen yogurt consumption rising among teens
Figure 54: Trends in frozen yogurt consumption among teens, by type, 2003-07
Yogurt consumption by brand
Dannon and Yoplait continue to be the top brands
Figure 55: Top 10 brands of yogurt (not frozen) used, 2003 and 2008
Most frozen brands exhibit decline in usage
Figure 56: Top 10 brands of frozen yogurt used, 2003 and 2008
Desirable Attributes in Yogurt and Yogurt Drinks
Desired attributes in yogurt
Figure 57: Desired attributes in spoonable yogurt, by gender, August 2008
Desired attributes in yogurt drinks
Figure 58: Desired attributes in sippable yogurt drinks, by gender, August 2008
Attitude and behavior regarding yogurt/yogurt drinks
Attitude towards yogurt and yogurt drinks price, value-priced packaging, and health attributes
Figure 59: Attitude towards yogurt drinks price, value-priced packaging, and health attributes, by age, August 2008
Figure 60: Attitude towards yogurt drinks price, value-priced packaging, and health attributes, by presence of children, August 2008
Attitude towards yogurt drinks purchased from grocery stores and organic yogurt
Figure 61: Attitude towards yogurt drinks purchased from grocery stores and organic yogurt, by gender, August 2008
Figure 62: Attitude towards organic yogurt and grocery store-purchased yogurt/yogurt drinks, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Incidence of using more or less yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to a year ago
Figure 63: Incidence of using more or less yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to a year ago, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Reasons for consuming more yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to last year
Figure 64: Reasons for using more yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to a year ago, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Reasons for consuming less yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to last year
Figure 65: Reasons for using less yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to a year ago, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Attitude and opinion towards probiotic and prebiotic yogurt
Figure 66: Attitude towards probiotic and prebiotic yogurt, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Appendix: Other Useful Consumer Tables
Usage
Personal usage of yogurt, yogurt drinks, frozen yogurt
Figure 89: Personal consumption of yogurt and frozen yogurt, by type, by presence of children, February 2007-March 2008
Incidence of using yogurt, yogurt drinks, shelf-stable smoothies and made-to-order smoothies by self and family members
Young adults lean towards drinking yogurt and smoothies
Figure 90: Incidence of using yogurt, yogurt drinks and smoothies by self and other family members, by age, August 2008
Yogurt (not frozen) usage by types of mix-ins
Figure 91: Personal consumption of yogurt (not frozen), by type of mix-ins, by region, February 2007-March 2008
Desired attributes in yogurt
Figure 92: Desired attributes in spoonable yogurt, by age, August 2008
Attitude towards yogurt and yogurt drinks price, value-priced packaging, and health attributes
Figure 93: Attitude towards yogurt drinks price, value-priced packaging, and health attributes, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Reasons for consuming more yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to last year
Figure 94: Reasons for using more yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to a year ago, by gender, August 2008
Reasons for consuming less yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to last year
Figure 95: Reasons for using less yogurt/yogurt drinks compared to a year ago, by race/Hispanic origin, August 2008
Appendix: Trade Associations


Companies Mentioned - General Mills Inc - Dannon Co - Stonyfield Farm - Turkey Hill Dairy - Häagen-Dazs - National Yogurt Association (NYA) - Nestlé USA - U.S. Department of Agriculture - Unilever USA - Wal-Mart Stores (USA) - National Dairy Council (NDC) - Weight Watchers International Inc. - American Heart Association, Inc. - Co-operative Group - Dean Foods Company - Food Marketing Institute - Greenfield Online - Odwalla Inc. - American Dairy Products Institute (ADPI) - American Dairy Science Association (ADSA) - Blue Bell Creameries L.P. - International Dairy·Deli·Bakery Association - Midwest Dairy Foods Association - National Cheese Institute - Safeway Inc - The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. - U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - U.S. Dairy Export Council (USDEC)


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