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Strategic Review of Corn Starch Industry & Markets - Starch Derivatives, Sweeteners and Co-Products 2010
S. K. Patil and Associates, August 2010, Pages: 162
Starch processing and refining plants are highly sophisticated bioprocess operations that produce a range of products such as citric acids, lactic acids, lysine, threoninie, xanthan gums, erythritol, sorbitol, xylitol, mannitol, hydrogenated starch hydrolyzates, maltodextrins, glucose hydrolyzates and the most recent nutritional products Sucromalt (more on this later). DuPont's 1, 3 propendiol (PDO) a monomer for 3 GT polymer - an alternative to synthetic fiber, and Cargill Dow's polylactate for biodegradable film to replace plastic film are other examples that can replace petroleum based products. There will be many more to come such as the integration of wet and dry milling which could be one of the major changes. Further merging of these technologies with the petroleum refining model will enhance the contribution of this bioprocessing industry to renewable fuels.
The total utilization of dried starch in the world in 2009 per our estimate for 2010 is 68 million tons with annualized global growth of 2-3%. We previously estimated this would reach 70 million tons by 2010; we missed this mark by 2 million tons manly due to a slowdown in the US and EU. China had the biggest growth with 17.5 million tons production and has surpassed the US with 13 million tons for dry starch and fermentation; not including sweeteners and alcohol. The US, EU and Japan have a lower growth of ~2%/year, EU at ~2%, and Japan at 1-2%. In China and India the growth is strong as is expected to be 4-5 %, the rest of the world is growing at 3-4%. Both the US and EU will have to compete for this growth in China, India and other regions. There are only a few starch processors left in the US and even ADM and Cargill are positioning themselves in the EU and Asia. National Starch remains a dominant specialty player in the US. Cassava in SE and S Asia and Central America will become more a dominant starch commodity as more production technology is deployed.
The corn processing industry has undergone many evolutionary changes and is currently under tremendous pressure to maintain/improve margins. The industry has experienced consolidation in the past few years and this trend will continue to restructure and streamline scale and efficiencies. The starch processing industry is in an unique position in this global economy to fulfill the need as we move forward.
This year, 2010; CPI agreed to acquire National's Food portfolio and this is now approved by FTC. This will greatly enhance CPI's specialty starch portfolio and create synergies in many other areas. The recent demand on starch from ethanol has greatly enhanced the margins including HFCS. The HFCS demands have flattened due to concerns of obesity and glycemic trends. Corn ethanol production and co-products increased dramatically from 2003 to 2009. Modified starches and the derivatives by using bioprocessing present excellent opportunities to grow value added high margin specialties.
This new starch processing report has several improvements, new information and insights since we are now in a global economy. Several developed economies globally remain in recession and as the recession ends there will be great opportunities for the starch processing industry especially to fulfill the demands of new developing economies in Asia, South America and Africa. Brazil, Russia, India and China and other developing economies are current growth engines.
This report remains a comprehensive leading document that has industry data along with descriptions of how industry or plants are managed. It provides an in-depth review of several areas that cannot be found in other publications. There are many details of production, markets, products, costs, capacity, investment, costs, players in the US and data sets of sweeteners, starch derivatives, co-products including the impact of trade regulations. None of this is available in a reports format as we have attempted to compile in this report. In the last section of report is a complete list of global players in this industry.
This enhanced August 2010 revision of the report presents analysis and presentation of data along with insights into several aspects of this industry. This is a comprehensive report with a lot of data and insights into how this industry operates and how one can position itself in the changing global markets. This report has also served as an excellent tool for industries that do business with the corn processing industry, aswell as a training tool for operations, marketing, purchasing and R&D groups.
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
II. BRIEF OVERVIEW OF CORN AND WET MILLING PROCESS
A. CORN
B. OVERVIEW OF CORN WET MILLING PROCESS
III. MARKETS
A. FOOD & BEVERAGE MARKET PROFILE
B. STARCH PRODUCTS SITUATION AND FORECAST
C. SUPPLY AND DEMAND SITUATION
D. POTENTIAL CHANGES AND MARKET DRIVERS
E. NATIVE AND MODIFIED STARCH PRODUCTS OVERVIEW
F. OVERVIEW OF MODIFIED STARCHES
G. MODIFIED STARCH MARKETS
IV. SWEETENERS AND MALTODEXTRINS
A. SWEETENERS
B. CORN SYRUPS – HFCS (HIGH FRUCTOSE CORN SYRUP) AND OTHER SYRUPS
C. MALTODEXTRINS
V. ETHANOL AND CO - PRODUCTS BRIEF REVIEW
A. ETHANOL
B. GROWTH OF FUEL ETHANOL AND ITS EFFECT ON THE INDUSTRY
C. CO-PRODUCTS
D. ISSUES AND CHALLENGES
VI. COMPANIES IN NORTH AMERICA
A. COMPANIES AND PRODUCTS
B. CONSOLIDATION IN THE STARCH INDUSTRY
C. PRODUCTS MANUFACTURED BY CORN REFINERS
D. INDUSTRY CHOICES TO SUPPLY STARCH FOR POTENTIAL LARGE NEW APPLICATION
F. ANALYSIS OF STRENGTHS ANDWEAKNESSES OF PLAYERS (SWOT)
G. PLAYERS - OTHER DIFFERENCES
H. INVESTMENT RISK AND DECISIONS
I. R&D INVESTMENTS
VII. COSTS
A. PRODUCT PROFITABILITY
B. COST OF PRODUCTION
C. MARGINS AND OVERHEAD
D. MANUFACTURING METRICS
E. PRICING INFORMATION
F. SHIPPING AND TRANSPORTATION
G. GOVERNMENT POLICIES AND ITS EFFECT ON PRICE
H. PROCESSING ASSETS AND IMPLICATIONS ON MANUFACTURING
VIII. INDUSTRY CAPACITY
A. CAPACITY UTILIZATION ISSUES
B. EFFECT OF CAPACITY UTILIZATION ON COSTS
C. NEW POTENTIAL CAPACITY
D. CO-PRODUCTS MANAGEMENT
E. INCREMENTAL CAPACITY
F. SMALLER INCREMENTS
G. CAPITAL ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCREMENTAL BUSHEL PROCESSED
H. CAPACITY BY PLAYERS IN THE US
I. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF CAPACITY INCREASE
J. STARCH AND ETHANOL ASSETS INTERCHANGEABILITY
IX. FUTURE TRENDS
A. TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS
B. BUSINESS, TECHNOLOGY TRENDS AND ISSUES THAT WILL IMPACT CORN PROCESSORS
C. STARCH PRODUCTS AND TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENTS - A FEW EXAMPLES
- RESISTANT STARCH - INGREDIENT SITUATION
- RESISTANT STARCH - PROCESSING ASPECTS
- COMMERCIAL RESISTANT STARCHES
I. BIOTECHNOLOGY (MODIFIED STARCHES, EFFECT ON YIELD AND PRODUCTION COSTS)
J. IMPROVEMENT OF STARCH YIELD AND EXTRACTION
K. PATENT SCAN AND NEW OPPORTUNITIES
L. TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
M. MARKET DEVELOPMENT OF CO-PRODUCTS
J. GMO TECHNOLOGY EFFECT ON THE IMPORT/EXPORT
X. GLOBAL ISSUES, POLICIES AND PLANT LOCATIONS
A. MEXICO EXPANSION PLANS AND BENEFITS OF NAFTA
B. STARCH MARKETS: CORN (MAIZE), POTATO, WHEAT AND TAPIOCA
C. GLOBAL LIST OF STARCH MANUFACTURERS
D. GOVERNMENT POLICIES AND POTENTIAL EFFECT ON THE PRICES
E. DUTIES AND SUBSIDIES
F. OPPORTUNITIES AND POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF MANUFACTURING LOCATION DUE TO DUTIES, SUBSIDIES AND
INVESTMENT INCENTIVES
XI. FUTURE OUTLOOK & SUMMARY
LIST OF REFERENCES
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
APPENDIX I INDUSTRY PRODUCTS
APPENDIX II US AND EU ADDITIONAL PLANTS LIST
APPENDIX III ASIA PLANTS LIST
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