The World Market for Raw or Retted Flax: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 40
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for raw or retted flax. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for raw or retted flax for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying raw or retted flax? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of raw or retted flax vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of raw or retted flax? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported raw or retted flax. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of raw or retted flax, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of raw or retted flax for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of raw or retted flax to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in raw or retted flax (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Raw or Retted Flax" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "raw or retted flax" is 26511 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=265 .
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
Related Reports. This report was created for the market for raw or retted flax. Closely related reports published by ICON Group include the following:
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1 METHODOLOGY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
2 THE WORLD MARKET 11
2.1 Exports 11
2.1.1 The World Market: Raw or Retted Flax Export Supplies in 2009 11
2.2 Imports 12
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Raw or Retted Flax in 2009 12
3 EXPORTS 15
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Raw or Retted Flax 15
3.1.1 Executive Summary 15
3.1.2 Egypt 16
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Raw or Retted Flax 16
3.2.1 Executive Summary 16
3.2.2 Bangladesh 17
3.2.3 China 18
3.2.4 Taiwan 18
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Raw or Retted Flax 18
3.3.1 Executive Summary 18
3.3.2 Belgium 20
3.3.3 France 21
3.3.4 Germany 21
3.3.5 Italy 21
3.3.6 Latvia 22
3.3.7 Lithuania 22
3.3.8 the Netherlands 22
3.3.9 the United Kingdom 22
3.4 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Raw or Retted Flax 23
3.4.1 Executive Summary 23
3.4.2 the United States 23
3.5 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Raw or Retted Flax 23
3.5.1 Executive Summary 23
3.5.2 Bahrain 24
4 IMPORTS 25
4.1 Asia: Raw or Retted Flax Imports in 2009 25
4.1.1 Executive Summary 25
4.1.2 Bangladesh 26
4.1.3 China 27
4.1.4 Hong Kong 27
4.1.5 India 27
4.1.6 Japan 28
4.1.7 South Korea 28
4.2 Europe: Raw or Retted Flax Imports in 2009 28
4.2.1 Executive Summary 28
4.2.2 Austria 30
4.2.3 Belgium 31
4.2.4 Czech Republic 31
4.2.5 France 31
4.2.6 Germany 32
4.2.7 Italy 32
4.2.8 Spain 32
4.2.9 Sweden 33
4.2.10 the Netherlands 33
4.3 Latin America: Raw or Retted Flax Imports in 2009 33
4.3.1 Executive Summary 33
4.3.2 Argentina 34
4.4 North America & the Caribbean: Raw or Retted Flax Imports in 2009 34
4.4.1 Executive Summary 34
4.4.2 Canada 36
4.4.3 the United States 36
4.5 the Middle East: Raw or Retted Flax Imports in 2009 36
4.5.1 Executive Summary 36
4.5.2 Saudi Arabia 38
4.5.3 Turkey 38
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 39
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 39
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 40
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