The World Market for Palm Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective

This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for palm oil and its fractions. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for palm oil and its fractions for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying palm oil and its fractions? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of palm oil and its fractions vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of palm oil and its fractions? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported palm oil and its fractions. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of palm oil and its fractions, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of palm oil and its fractions for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of palm oil and its fractions to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in palm oil and its fractions (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Palm Oil and Its Fractions" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "palm oil and its fractions" is 4222 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=422 . Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place. Related Reports. This report was created for the market for palm oil and its fractions. Closely related reports published by ICON Group include the following: The World Market for Castor Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Coconut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Corn Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Cottonseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Coconut Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Corn Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Cottonseed Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Linseed Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Palm Kernel or Babassu Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Palm Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Peanut Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Rape, Colza, or Mustard Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Rape, Colza, or Mustard Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Soybean Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Crude Sunflower Seed Oil or Safflower Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Linseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Olive Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Olive Oil and Its Fractions Excluding Virgin Olive Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Palm Kernel or Babassu Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Palm Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Peanut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Coconut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Corn Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Cottonseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Linseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Palm Kernel or Babassu Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Palm Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Peanut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Refined Soybean Oil and Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Sesame Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Soybean Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Sunflower Seed Oil or Safflower Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Tung Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective The World Market for Virgin Olive Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective

1 METHODOLOGY 10 1.1 Our Approach 10 2 THE WORLD MARKET 13 2.1 Exports 13 2.1.1 The World Market: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Export Supplies in 2009 13 2.2 Imports 15 2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Palm Oil and Its Fractions in 2009 15 3 EXPORTS 19 3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 19 3.1.1 Executive Summary 19 3.1.2 Angola 21 3.1.3 Cameroon 21 3.1.4 Cote dIvoire 22 3.1.5 Egypt 22 3.1.6 Gabon 22 3.1.7 Ghana 23 3.1.8 Guinea 23 3.1.9 Kenya 23 3.1.10 Liberia 24 3.1.11 Mauritius 24 3.1.12 Morocco 24 3.1.13 Nigeria 24 3.1.14 Sao Tome E Principe 25 3.1.15 Senegal 25 3.1.16 Sierra Leone 25 3.1.17 South Africa 25 3.1.18 Sudan 26 3.1.19 Togo 26 3.1.20 Tunisia 26 3.1.21 Zimbabwe 26 3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 27 3.2.1 Executive Summary 27 3.2.2 Bangladesh 29 3.2.3 Cambodia 29 3.2.4 China 30 3.2.5 Hong Kong 30 3.2.6 India 30 3.2.7 Indonesia 31 3.2.8 Japan 32 3.2.9 Malaysia 33 3.2.10 Papua New Guinea 34 3.2.11 Philippines 34 3.2.12 Seychelles 34 3.2.13 Singapore 35 3.2.14 South Korea 36 3.2.15 Sri Lanka 36 3.2.16 Taiwan 36 3.2.17 Thailand 37 3.2.18 Vietnam 37 3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 38 3.3.1 Executive Summary 38 3.3.2 Albania 40 3.3.3 Austria 40 3.3.4 Belgium 41 3.3.5 Cyprus 41 3.3.6 Czech Republic 42 3.3.7 Denmark 42 3.3.8 Finland 43 3.3.9 France 43 3.3.10 Germany 44 3.3.11 Greece 45 3.3.12 Hungary 45 3.3.13 Ireland 45 3.3.14 Italy 46 3.3.15 Latvia 46 3.3.16 Malta 47 3.3.17 Poland 47 3.3.18 Portugal 47 3.3.19 Russia 47 3.3.20 Slovakia 48 3.3.21 Slovenia 48 3.3.22 Spain 48 3.3.23 Sweden 49 3.3.24 Switzerland 49 3.3.25 the Netherlands 50 3.3.26 the United Kingdom 51 3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 51 3.4.1 Executive Summary 51 3.4.2 Argentina 54 3.4.3 Brazil 54 3.4.4 Colombia 55 3.4.5 Costa Rica 55 3.4.6 Ecuador 56 3.4.7 El Salvador 56 3.4.8 Guatemala 56 3.4.9 Honduras 57 3.4.10 Mexico 57 3.4.11 Nicaragua 57 3.4.12 Panama 57 3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 58 3.5.1 Executive Summary 58 3.5.2 Canada 59 3.5.3 the United States 60 3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 60 3.6.1 Executive Summary 60 3.6.2 Australia 62 3.6.3 New Zealand 62 3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Palm Oil and Its Fractions 62 3.7.1 Executive Summary 62 3.7.2 Bahrain 65 3.7.3 Jordan 65 3.7.4 Lebanon 65 3.7.5 Oman 66 3.7.6 Saudi Arabia 66 3.7.7 Syrian Arab Republic 66 3.7.8 the United Arab Emirates 67 3.7.9 Turkey 67 4 IMPORTS 68 4.1 Africa: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 68 4.1.1 Executive Summary 68 4.1.2 Algeria 71 4.1.3 Benin 72 4.1.4 Burkina Faso 72 4.1.5 Burundi 73 4.1.6 Cameroon 73 4.1.7 Cape Verde 73 4.1.8 Egypt 74 4.1.9 Gabon 74 4.1.10 Ghana 75 4.1.11 Kenya 75 4.1.12 Madagascar 76 4.1.13 Malawi 76 4.1.14 Mauritius 76 4.1.15 Morocco 77 4.1.16 Senegal 77 4.1.17 South Africa 78 4.1.18 Sudan 78 4.1.19 Tanzania 79 4.1.20 Togo 79 4.1.21 Tunisia 80 4.1.22 Uganda 80 4.1.23 Zambia 80 4.1.24 Zimbabwe 81 4.2 Asia: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 81 4.2.1 Executive Summary 81 4.2.2 Bangladesh 84 4.2.3 Cambodia 85 4.2.4 China 85 4.2.5 Hong Kong 86 4.2.6 India 86 4.2.7 Indonesia 87 4.2.8 Japan 87 4.2.9 Malaysia 87 4.2.10 Mongolia 88 4.2.11 Philippines 88 4.2.12 Seychelles 88 4.2.13 Singapore 89 4.2.14 South Korea 89 4.2.15 Sri Lanka 89 4.2.16 Taiwan 90 4.2.17 Thailand 90 4.3 Europe: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 90 4.3.1 Executive Summary 90 4.3.2 Albania 94 4.3.3 Austria 95 4.3.4 Belarus 95 4.3.5 Belgium 96 4.3.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 96 4.3.7 Bulgaria 97 4.3.8 Croatia 97 4.3.9 Cyprus 98 4.3.10 Czech Republic 98 4.3.11 Denmark 99 4.3.12 Estonia 99 4.3.13 Finland 100 4.3.14 France 101 4.3.15 Germany 102 4.3.16 Greece 103 4.3.17 Hungary 103 4.3.18 Ireland 104 4.3.19 Italy 104 4.3.20 Latvia 105 4.3.21 Lithuania 105 4.3.22 Macedonia 106 4.3.23 Malta 106 4.3.24 Moldova 106 4.3.25 Norway 107 4.3.26 Poland 107 4.3.27 Portugal 108 4.3.28 Romania 108 4.3.29 Russia 109 4.3.30 Serbia and Montenegro 109 4.3.31 Slovakia 110 4.3.32 Slovenia 110 4.3.33 Spain 111 4.3.34 Sweden 111 4.3.35 Switzerland 112 4.3.36 the Netherlands 113 4.3.37 the United Kingdom 114 4.3.38 Ukraine 115 4.4 Latin America: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 115 4.4.1 Executive Summary 115 4.4.2 Argentina 118 4.4.3 Brazil 118 4.4.4 Chile 118 4.4.5 Colombia 119 4.4.6 Costa Rica 119 4.4.7 Ecuador 119 4.4.8 El Salvador 120 4.4.9 Guatemala 120 4.4.10 Guyana 121 4.4.11 Mexico 121 4.4.12 Nicaragua 122 4.4.13 Peru 122 4.4.14 Venezuela 122 4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 123 4.5.1 Executive Summary 123 4.5.2 Canada 125 4.5.3 the United States 125 4.5.4 Trinidad and Tobago 126 4.6 Oceana: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 126 4.6.1 Executive Summary 126 4.6.2 Australia 128 4.6.3 Fiji 128 4.6.4 New Caledonia 128 4.6.5 New Zealand 129 4.7 the Middle East: Palm Oil and Its Fractions Imports in 2009 129 4.7.1 Executive Summary 129 4.7.2 Armenia 131 4.7.3 Azerbaijan 131 4.7.4 Bahrain 132 4.7.5 Iran 132 4.7.6 Israel 133 4.7.7 Jordan 133 4.7.8 Kyrgyzstan 134 4.7.9 Lebanon 134 4.7.10 Oman 135 4.7.11 Pakistan 135 4.7.12 Qatar 136 4.7.13 Saudi Arabia 136 4.7.14 Syrian Arab Republic 137 4.7.15 Turkey 137 4.7.16 Yemen 137 5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 138 5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 138 5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 139

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