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The World Market for Crude Coconut Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective

ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 82

This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for crude coconut oil. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for crude coconut oil for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying crude coconut oil? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of crude coconut oil vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of crude coconut oil? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported crude coconut oil. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of crude coconut oil, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of crude coconut oil for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of crude coconut oil to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in crude coconut oil (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Crude Coconut Oil" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "crude coconut oil" is 42231 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=422 .

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.

Related Reports. This report was created for the market for crude coconut oil. Closely related reports published by ICON Group include the following:

The World Market for Castor Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Coconut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Corn Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Cottonseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Coconut Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Corn Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Cottonseed Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Linseed Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Palm Kernel or Babassu Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Palm Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Peanut Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Rape, Colza, or Mustard Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Rape, Colza, or Mustard Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Soybean Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Crude Sunflower Seed Oil or Safflower Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Linseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Olive Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Olive Oil and Its Fractions Excluding Virgin Olive Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Palm Kernel or Babassu Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Palm Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Peanut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Coconut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Corn Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Cottonseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Linseed Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Palm Kernel or Babassu Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Palm Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Peanut Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Refined Soybean Oil and Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Sesame Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Soybean Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Sunflower Seed Oil or Safflower Oil and Fractions Thereof: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Tung Oil and Its Fractions: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
The World Market for Virgin Olive Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective

1 METHODOLOGY 8
1.1 Our Approach 8
2 THE WORLD MARKET 11
2.1 Exports 11
2.1.1 The World Market: Crude Coconut Oil Export Supplies in 2009 11
2.2 Imports 13
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Crude Coconut Oil in 2009 13
3 EXPORTS 17
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 17
3.1.1 Executive Summary 17
3.1.2 Cote dIvoire 19
3.1.3 Ghana 19
3.1.4 Mauritius 19
3.1.5 Mozambique 20
3.1.6 Sao Tome E Principe 20
3.1.7 South Africa 20
3.1.8 Tunisia 20
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 21
3.2.1 Executive Summary 21
3.2.2 India 23
3.2.3 Indonesia 24
3.2.4 Malaysia 25
3.2.5 Nepal 26
3.2.6 Papua New Guinea 26
3.2.7 Philippines 27
3.2.8 Singapore 28
3.2.9 Sri Lanka 28
3.2.10 Thailand 28
3.2.11 Vietnam 29
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 29
3.3.1 Executive Summary 29
3.3.2 Belgium 31
3.3.3 Denmark 31
3.3.4 France 32
3.3.5 Germany 32
3.3.6 Italy 32
3.3.7 Norway 33
3.3.8 Portugal 33
3.3.9 Russia 33
3.3.10 Spain 33
3.3.11 Sweden 34
3.3.12 the Netherlands 34
3.3.13 the United Kingdom 34
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 35
3.4.1 Executive Summary 35
3.4.2 El Salvador 36
3.4.3 Guyana 36
3.4.4 Mexico 36
3.4.5 Paraguay 37
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 37
3.5.1 Executive Summary 37
3.5.2 Canada 38
3.5.3 Dominican Republic 39
3.5.4 St. Lucia 39
3.5.5 the United States 39
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 39
3.6.1 Executive Summary 39
3.6.2 Australia 41
3.6.3 Fiji 41
3.6.4 Kiribati 42
3.6.5 Marshall Islands 42
3.6.6 Solomon Islands 42
3.6.7 Vanuatu 43
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Crude Coconut Oil 43
3.7.1 Executive Summary 43
3.7.2 the United Arab Emirates 44
4 IMPORTS 45
4.1 Africa: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 45
4.1.1 Executive Summary 45
4.1.2 Algeria 46
4.1.3 Burkina Faso 47
4.1.4 Cameroon 47
4.1.5 Egypt 47
4.1.6 Madagascar 48
4.1.7 Malawi 48
4.1.8 Senegal 48
4.1.9 South Africa 49
4.1.10 Togo 49
4.1.11 Tunisia 49
4.1.12 Uganda 50
4.1.13 Zambia 50
4.1.14 Zimbabwe 50
4.2 Asia: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 51
4.2.1 Executive Summary 51
4.2.2 Bangladesh 52
4.2.3 China 53
4.2.4 India 53
4.2.5 Indonesia 53
4.2.6 Japan 54
4.2.7 Malaysia 54
4.2.8 Singapore 54
4.2.9 South Korea 55
4.2.10 Sri Lanka 55
4.2.11 Taiwan 55
4.3 Europe: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 56
4.3.1 Executive Summary 56
4.3.2 Austria 58
4.3.3 Belarus 58
4.3.4 Belgium 59
4.3.5 Denmark 59
4.3.6 Finland 60
4.3.7 France 60
4.3.8 Germany 61
4.3.9 Greece 61
4.3.10 Ireland 62
4.3.11 Italy 62
4.3.12 Moldova 62
4.3.13 Norway 63
4.3.14 Poland 63
4.3.15 Portugal 63
4.3.16 Russia 64
4.3.17 Spain 64
4.3.18 Sweden 65
4.3.19 Switzerland 65
4.3.20 the Netherlands 66
4.3.21 the United Kingdom 66
4.3.22 Ukraine 67
4.4 Latin America: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 67
4.4.1 Executive Summary 67
4.4.2 Argentina 69
4.4.3 Chile 69
4.4.4 Colombia 69
4.4.5 Guatemala 70
4.4.6 Mexico 70
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 70
4.5.1 Executive Summary 70
4.5.2 Canada 73
4.5.3 Dominica 73
4.5.4 the United States 73
4.5.5 Trinidad and Tobago 74
4.6 Oceana: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 74
4.6.1 Executive Summary 74
4.6.2 Australia 75
4.6.3 New Zealand 76
4.7 the Middle East: Crude Coconut Oil Imports in 2009 76
4.7.1 Executive Summary 76
4.7.2 Iran 78
4.7.3 Israel 78
4.7.4 Oman 78
4.7.5 Pakistan 79
4.7.6 Qatar 79
4.7.7 Saudi Arabia 79
4.7.8 Syrian Arab Republic 80
4.7.9 Turkey 80
4.7.10 Yemen 80
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 81
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 81
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 82

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