The World Market for Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 211
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "lubricating preparations containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum or bituminous mineral oils" is 5977 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=597 .
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
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1 METHODOLOGY 11
1.1 Our Approach 11
2 THE WORLD MARKET 15
2.1 Exports 15
2.1.1 The World Market: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Export Supplies in 2009 15
2.2 Imports 18
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils in 2009 18
3 EXPORTS 22
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils 22
3.1.1 Executive Summary 22
3.1.2 Egypt 24
3.1.3 South Africa 24
3.1.4 Swaziland 25
3.1.5 Tunisia 25
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils 25
3.2.1 Executive Summary 25
3.2.2 China 29
3.2.3 Hong Kong 30
3.2.4 India 31
3.2.5 Indonesia 32
3.2.6 Japan 33
3.2.7 Malaysia 34
3.2.8 North Korea 34
3.2.9 Philippines 35
3.2.10 Singapore 36
3.2.11 South Korea 37
3.2.12 Sri Lanka 38
3.2.13 Taiwan 39
3.2.14 Thailand 40
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils 40
3.3.1 Executive Summary 40
3.3.2 Andorra 44
3.3.3 Austria 45
3.3.4 Belarus 46
3.3.5 Belgium 47
3.3.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 48
3.3.7 Bulgaria 48
3.3.8 Croatia 48
3.3.9 Cyprus 49
3.3.10 Czech Republic 49
3.3.11 Denmark 50
3.3.12 Estonia 51
3.3.13 Finland 51
3.3.14 France 52
3.3.15 Georgia 53
3.3.16 Germany 54
3.3.17 Greece 55
3.3.18 Hungary 56
3.3.19 Ireland 57
3.3.20 Italy 58
3.3.21 Latvia 59
3.3.22 Lithuania 59
3.3.23 Luxembourg 59
3.3.24 Malta 60
3.3.25 Norway 60
3.3.26 Poland 61
3.3.27 Portugal 61
3.3.28 Romania 62
3.3.29 Russia 62
3.3.30 Serbia and Montenegro 62
3.3.31 Slovakia 63
3.3.32 Slovenia 63
3.3.33 Spain 64
3.3.34 Sweden 65
3.3.35 Switzerland 66
3.3.36 the Faroe Islands 67
3.3.37 the Netherlands 68
3.3.38 the United Kingdom 69
3.3.39 Ukraine 70
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils 70
3.4.1 Executive Summary 70
3.4.2 Argentina 74
3.4.3 Brazil 75
3.4.4 Chile 76
3.4.5 Colombia 76
3.4.6 Ecuador 76
3.4.7 El Salvador 77
3.4.8 Guatemala 77
3.4.9 Honduras 77
3.4.10 Mexico 78
3.4.11 Panama 78
3.4.12 Uruguay 79
3.4.13 Venezuela 79
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or 79
3.5.1 Executive Summary 80
3.5.2 Canada 83
3.5.3 the United States 84
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils 84
3.6.1 Executive Summary 85
3.6.2 Australia 88
3.6.3 New Zealand 89
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral 89
3.7.1 Executive Summary 89
3.7.2 Armenia 92
3.7.3 Iran 92
3.7.4 Israel 93
3.7.5 Kuwait 93
3.7.6 Lebanon 93
3.7.7 Qatar 94
3.7.8 Saudi Arabia 94
3.7.9 Syrian Arab Republic 94
3.7.10 the United Arab Emirates 95
3.7.11 Turkey 96
4 IMPORTS 97
4.1 Africa: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Imports in 2009 97
4.1.1 Executive Summary 97
4.1.2 Algeria 100
4.1.3 Benin 101
4.1.4 Burkina Faso 101
4.1.5 Cameroon 101
4.1.6 Egypt 102
4.1.7 Gabon 102
4.1.8 Ghana 103
4.1.9 Kenya 103
4.1.10 Madagascar 104
4.1.11 Malawi 104
4.1.12 Mauritius 105
4.1.13 Morocco 106
4.1.14 Senegal 106
4.1.15 South Africa 107
4.1.16 Sudan 108
4.1.17 Tanzania 108
4.1.18 Togo 108
4.1.19 Tunisia 109
4.1.20 Zambia 109
4.1.21 Zimbabwe 110
4.2 Asia: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Imports in 2009 110
4.2.1 Executive Summary 110
4.2.2 Bangladesh 113
4.2.3 Cambodia 114
4.2.4 China 115
4.2.5 Hong Kong 116
4.2.6 India 117
4.2.7 Indonesia 118
4.2.8 Japan 119
4.2.9 Macau 120
4.2.10 Malaysia 121
4.2.11 Mongolia 122
4.2.12 Philippines 123
4.2.13 Seychelles 123
4.2.14 Singapore 124
4.2.15 South Korea 125
4.2.16 Sri Lanka 126
4.2.17 Taiwan 127
4.2.18 Thailand 128
4.3 Europe: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Imports in 2009 129
4.3.1 Executive Summary 129
4.3.2 Albania 133
4.3.3 Andorra 133
4.3.4 Austria 134
4.3.5 Belarus 135
4.3.6 Belgium 136
4.3.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 137
4.3.8 Bulgaria 138
4.3.9 Croatia 139
4.3.10 Cyprus 140
4.3.11 Czech Republic 141
4.3.12 Denmark 142
4.3.13 Estonia 143
4.3.14 Finland 144
4.3.15 France 145
4.3.16 Georgia 146
4.3.17 Germany 147
4.3.18 Greece 148
4.3.19 Hungary 149
4.3.20 Iceland 150
4.3.21 Ireland 150
4.3.22 Italy 151
4.3.23 Latvia 152
4.3.24 Lithuania 153
4.3.25 Luxembourg 154
4.3.26 Macedonia 154
4.3.27 Malta 155
4.3.28 Moldova 155
4.3.29 Norway 156
4.3.30 Poland 157
4.3.31 Portugal 158
4.3.32 Romania 159
4.3.33 Russia 160
4.3.34 Serbia and Montenegro 161
4.3.35 Slovakia 162
4.3.36 Slovenia 163
4.3.37 Spain 164
4.3.38 Sweden 165
4.3.39 Switzerland 166
4.3.40 the Faroe Islands 166
4.3.41 the Netherlands 167
4.3.42 the United Kingdom 168
4.3.43 Ukraine 169
4.4 Latin America: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Imports in 2009 169
4.4.1 Executive Summary 169
4.4.2 Argentina 172
4.4.3 Bolivia 173
4.4.4 Brazil 174
4.4.5 Chile 175
4.4.6 Colombia 176
4.4.7 Costa Rica 177
4.4.8 Ecuador 177
4.4.9 El Salvador 178
4.4.10 Guatemala 179
4.4.11 Guyana 179
4.4.12 Mexico 180
4.4.13 Nicaragua 181
4.4.14 Paraguay 181
4.4.15 Peru 182
4.4.16 Uruguay 183
4.4.17 Venezuela 184
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils 184
4.5.1 Executive Summary 184
4.5.2 Aruba 187
4.5.3 Barbados 187
4.5.4 Canada 188
4.5.5 St. Lucia 188
4.5.6 the United States 189
4.5.7 Trinidad and Tobago 190
4.5.8 Turks and Caicos Islands 190
4.6 Oceana: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Imports in 2009 190
4.6.1 Executive Summary 190
4.6.2 Australia 194
4.6.3 Fiji 195
4.6.4 New Caledonia 195
4.6.5 New Zealand 196
4.7 the Middle East: Lubricating Preparations Containing Less Than 70% by Weight of Petroleum or Bituminous Mineral Oils Imports in 2009 196
4.7.1 Executive Summary 196
4.7.2 Armenia 199
4.7.3 Azerbaijan 200
4.7.4 Bahrain 200
4.7.5 Iran 201
4.7.6 Israel 202
4.7.7 Jordan 203
4.7.8 Kyrgyzstan 203
4.7.9 Lebanon 204
4.7.10 Oman 204
4.7.11 Pakistan 205
4.7.12 Qatar 206
4.7.13 Saudi Arabia 207
4.7.14 Syrian Arab Republic 208
4.7.15 Turkey 208
4.7.16 Yemen 209
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 210
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 210
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 211
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