The World Market for Tall Oil: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 69
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for tall oil. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for tall oil for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying tall oil? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of tall oil vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of tall oil? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported tall oil. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of tall oil, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of tall oil for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of tall oil to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in tall oil (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Tall Oil" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "tall oil" is 59811 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=598 .
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
Related Reports. This report was created for the market for tall oil. Closely related reports published by ICON Group include the following:
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1 METHODOLOGY 8
1.1 Our Approach 8
2 THE WORLD MARKET 12
2.1 Exports 12
2.1.1 The World Market: Tall Oil Export Supplies in 2009 12
2.2 Imports 14
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Tall Oil in 2009 14
3 EXPORTS 18
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Tall Oil 18
3.1.1 Executive Summary 18
3.1.2 South Africa 18
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Tall Oil 18
3.2.1 Executive Summary 18
3.2.2 China 20
3.2.3 India 20
3.2.4 Japan 20
3.2.5 Malaysia 21
3.2.6 Singapore 21
3.2.7 South Korea 21
3.2.8 Taiwan 21
3.2.9 Thailand 22
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Tall Oil 22
3.3.1 Executive Summary 22
3.3.2 Austria 24
3.3.3 Belgium 24
3.3.4 Denmark 25
3.3.5 Estonia 25
3.3.6 Finland 25
3.3.7 France 26
3.3.8 Germany 26
3.3.9 Ireland 27
3.3.10 Italy 27
3.3.11 Norway 27
3.3.12 Poland 28
3.3.13 Portugal 28
3.3.14 Russia 28
3.3.15 Spain 29
3.3.16 Sweden 29
3.3.17 the Netherlands 30
3.3.18 the United Kingdom 30
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Tall Oil 30
3.4.1 Executive Summary 30
3.4.2 Argentina 32
3.4.3 Brazil 32
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Tall Oil 32
3.5.1 Executive Summary 32
3.5.2 Canada 35
3.5.3 the United States 35
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Tall Oil 36
3.6.1 Executive Summary 36
3.6.2 New Zealand 37
4 IMPORTS 38
4.1 Africa: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 38
4.1.1 Executive Summary 38
4.1.2 Algeria 39
4.1.3 Senegal 40
4.1.4 South Africa 40
4.1.5 Tunisia 40
4.2 Asia: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 41
4.2.1 Executive Summary 41
4.2.2 China 42
4.2.3 India 43
4.2.4 Indonesia 43
4.2.5 Japan 43
4.2.6 Malaysia 44
4.2.7 Mongolia 44
4.2.8 Philippines 44
4.2.9 Singapore 45
4.2.10 South Korea 45
4.2.11 Thailand 45
4.3 Europe: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 46
4.3.1 Executive Summary 46
4.3.2 Belarus 48
4.3.3 Belgium 48
4.3.4 Czech Republic 49
4.3.5 Denmark 49
4.3.6 Estonia 49
4.3.7 Finland 50
4.3.8 France 50
4.3.9 Germany 51
4.3.10 Greece 51
4.3.11 Hungary 51
4.3.12 Ireland 52
4.3.13 Italy 52
4.3.14 Latvia 52
4.3.15 Norway 53
4.3.16 Poland 53
4.3.17 Portugal 53
4.3.18 Russia 54
4.3.19 Serbia and Montenegro 54
4.3.20 Slovenia 54
4.3.21 Spain 55
4.3.22 Sweden 55
4.3.23 Switzerland 56
4.3.24 the Netherlands 56
4.3.25 the United Kingdom 57
4.4 Latin America: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 57
4.4.1 Executive Summary 57
4.4.2 Brazil 59
4.4.3 Colombia 59
4.4.4 Costa Rica 59
4.4.5 Mexico 60
4.4.6 Venezuela 60
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 60
4.5.1 Executive Summary 60
4.5.2 Canada 62
4.5.3 the United States 62
4.6 Oceana: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 62
4.6.1 Executive Summary 62
4.6.2 Australia 64
4.6.3 New Zealand 64
4.7 the Middle East: Tall Oil Imports in 2009 64
4.7.1 Executive Summary 64
4.7.2 Iran 66
4.7.3 Israel 66
4.7.4 Saudi Arabia 66
4.7.5 Turkey 67
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 68
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 68
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 69
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