The World Market for Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick: A 2009 Global Trade Perspective
ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 238
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "aluminum and aluminum alloy foil less than .2 mm thick" is 68424 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=684 .
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
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1 METHODOLOGY 11
1.1 Our Approach 11
2 THE WORLD MARKET 16
2.1 Exports 16
2.1.1 The World Market: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Export Supplies in 2009 16
2.2 Imports 18
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick in 2009 18
3 EXPORTS 22
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 22
3.1.1 Executive Summary 22
3.1.2 Egypt 24
3.1.3 Kenya 24
3.1.4 Morocco 25
3.1.5 Nigeria 25
3.1.6 South Africa 26
3.1.7 Swaziland 27
3.1.8 the Gambia 27
3.1.9 Tunisia 27
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 27
3.2.1 Executive Summary 27
3.2.2 China 31
3.2.3 Hong Kong 32
3.2.4 India 33
3.2.5 Indonesia 34
3.2.6 Japan 35
3.2.7 Malaysia 36
3.2.8 North Korea 37
3.2.9 Philippines 37
3.2.10 Singapore 38
3.2.11 South Korea 39
3.2.12 Sri Lanka 40
3.2.13 Taiwan 41
3.2.14 Thailand 42
3.2.15 Vietnam 43
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 43
3.3.1 Executive Summary 43
3.3.2 Austria 48
3.3.3 Belarus 49
3.3.4 Belgium 50
3.3.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina 51
3.3.6 Bulgaria 52
3.3.7 Croatia 53
3.3.8 Cyprus 53
3.3.9 Czech Republic 54
3.3.10 Denmark 55
3.3.11 Estonia 56
3.3.12 Finland 57
3.3.13 France 58
3.3.14 Germany 59
3.3.15 Greece 60
3.3.16 Hungary 61
3.3.17 Iceland 61
3.3.18 Ireland 62
3.3.19 Italy 63
3.3.20 Latvia 64
3.3.21 Lithuania 64
3.3.22 Luxembourg 65
3.3.23 Macedonia 66
3.3.24 Norway 66
3.3.25 Poland 67
3.3.26 Portugal 68
3.3.27 Romania 68
3.3.28 Russia 69
3.3.29 Serbia and Montenegro 70
3.3.30 Slovakia 70
3.3.31 Slovenia 71
3.3.32 Spain 72
3.3.33 Sweden 73
3.3.34 Switzerland 74
3.3.35 the Netherlands 75
3.3.36 the United Kingdom 76
3.3.37 Ukraine 77
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 77
3.4.1 Executive Summary 77
3.4.2 Argentina 80
3.4.3 Brazil 81
3.4.4 Chile 82
3.4.5 Colombia 82
3.4.6 Costa Rica 83
3.4.7 Ecuador 83
3.4.8 El Salvador 84
3.4.9 Guatemala 84
3.4.10 Mexico 85
3.4.11 Panama 85
3.4.12 Peru 86
3.4.13 Uruguay 86
3.4.14 Venezuela 87
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 87
3.5.1 Executive Summary 87
3.5.2 Canada 91
3.5.3 the United States 92
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 93
3.6.1 Executive Summary 93
3.6.2 Australia 96
3.6.3 New Caledonia 97
3.6.4 New Zealand 98
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick 99
3.7.1 Executive Summary 99
3.7.2 Armenia 102
3.7.3 Bahrain 103
3.7.4 Iran 103
3.7.5 Israel 104
3.7.6 Jordan 105
3.7.7 Kuwait 105
3.7.8 Lebanon 105
3.7.9 Oman 106
3.7.10 Pakistan 106
3.7.11 Qatar 106
3.7.12 Saudi Arabia 107
3.7.13 Syrian Arab Republic 107
3.7.14 the United Arab Emirates 108
3.7.15 Turkey 109
4 IMPORTS 110
4.1 Africa: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 110
4.1.1 Executive Summary 110
4.1.2 Algeria 114
4.1.3 Benin 115
4.1.4 Burkina Faso 115
4.1.5 Burundi 115
4.1.6 Cameroon 116
4.1.7 Egypt 117
4.1.8 Gabon 118
4.1.9 Ghana 119
4.1.10 Kenya 120
4.1.11 Madagascar 120
4.1.12 Malawi 121
4.1.13 Mauritius 121
4.1.14 Morocco 122
4.1.15 Senegal 123
4.1.16 South Africa 124
4.1.17 Sudan 125
4.1.18 Tanzania 125
4.1.19 Togo 126
4.1.20 Tunisia 126
4.1.21 Uganda 127
4.1.22 Zambia 127
4.1.23 Zimbabwe 128
4.2 Asia: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 128
4.2.1 Executive Summary 128
4.2.2 Bangladesh 131
4.2.3 Cambodia 132
4.2.4 China 133
4.2.5 Hong Kong 134
4.2.6 India 135
4.2.7 Indonesia 136
4.2.8 Japan 137
4.2.9 Macau 138
4.2.10 Malaysia 139
4.2.11 Maldives 140
4.2.12 Mongolia 140
4.2.13 Philippines 141
4.2.14 Seychelles 142
4.2.15 Singapore 143
4.2.16 South Korea 144
4.2.17 Sri Lanka 145
4.2.18 Taiwan 146
4.2.19 Thailand 147
4.3 Europe: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 148
4.3.1 Executive Summary 148
4.3.2 Albania 151
4.3.3 Andorra 151
4.3.4 Austria 152
4.3.5 Belarus 153
4.3.6 Belgium 154
4.3.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 155
4.3.8 Bulgaria 156
4.3.9 Croatia 157
4.3.10 Cyprus 158
4.3.11 Czech Republic 159
4.3.12 Denmark 160
4.3.13 Estonia 161
4.3.14 Finland 162
4.3.15 France 163
4.3.16 Georgia 164
4.3.17 Germany 165
4.3.18 Greece 166
4.3.19 Hungary 167
4.3.20 Iceland 168
4.3.21 Ireland 169
4.3.22 Italy 170
4.3.23 Latvia 171
4.3.24 Lithuania 172
4.3.25 Luxembourg 173
4.3.26 Macedonia 173
4.3.27 Malta 174
4.3.28 Moldova 174
4.3.29 Norway 175
4.3.30 Poland 176
4.3.31 Portugal 177
4.3.32 Romania 178
4.3.33 Russia 179
4.3.34 Serbia and Montenegro 180
4.3.35 Slovakia 181
4.3.36 Slovenia 182
4.3.37 Spain 183
4.3.38 Sweden 184
4.3.39 Switzerland 185
4.3.40 the Faroe Islands 186
4.3.41 the Netherlands 187
4.3.42 the United Kingdom 188
4.3.43 Ukraine 189
4.4 Latin America: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 190
4.4.1 Executive Summary 190
4.4.2 Argentina 194
4.4.3 Bolivia 195
4.4.4 Brazil 196
4.4.5 Chile 197
4.4.6 Colombia 198
4.4.7 Costa Rica 199
4.4.8 Ecuador 200
4.4.9 El Salvador 201
4.4.10 Guatemala 202
4.4.11 Guyana 202
4.4.12 Mexico 203
4.4.13 Nicaragua 204
4.4.14 Paraguay 204
4.4.15 Peru 205
4.4.16 Uruguay 205
4.4.17 Venezuela 206
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 206
4.5.1 Executive Summary 206
4.5.2 Anguilla 209
4.5.3 Barbados 209
4.5.4 Canada 210
4.5.5 Dominica 211
4.5.6 St. Lucia 211
4.5.7 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 211
4.5.8 the United States 212
4.5.9 Trinidad and Tobago 213
4.5.10 Turks and Caicos Islands 213
4.6 Oceana: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 213
4.6.1 Executive Summary 213
4.6.2 Australia 217
4.6.3 Cook Islands 218
4.6.4 Fiji 218
4.6.5 New Caledonia 218
4.6.6 New Zealand 219
4.7 the Middle East: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Foil Less Than .2 mm Thick Imports in 2009 220
4.7.1 Executive Summary 220
4.7.2 Armenia 223
4.7.3 Azerbaijan 224
4.7.4 Bahrain 224
4.7.5 Iran 225
4.7.6 Israel 226
4.7.7 Jordan 227
4.7.8 Kyrgyzstan 228
4.7.9 Lebanon 229
4.7.10 Oman 230
4.7.11 Pakistan 231
4.7.12 Qatar 232
4.7.13 Saudi Arabia 233
4.7.14 Syrian Arab Republic 234
4.7.15 Turkey 235
4.7.16 Yemen 236
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 237
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 237
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 238
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