The 2009 World Market Forecasts for Imported Fresh or Dried Grapefruit

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for fresh or dried grapefruit. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for fresh or dried grapefruit for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for fresh or dried grapefruit. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in fresh or dried grapefruit (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Fresh or Dried Grapefruit" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "fresh or dried grapefruit" is 05722 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7 1.1 Our Approach 7 1.2 The World Market: Imported Fresh or Dried Grapefruit in 2009 10 1.3 The World Market: Fresh or Dried Grapefruit Export Supplies in 2009 13 2 AFRICA: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 15 2.1 Executive Summary 15 2.2 Mauritius 16 2.3 South Africa 16 3 ASIA: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 17 3.1 Executive Summary 17 3.2 China 19 3.3 Hong Kong 19 3.4 Indonesia 20 3.5 Japan 20 3.6 Macau 20 3.7 Malaysia 21 3.8 Maldives 21 3.9 Philippines 21 3.10 Singapore 22 3.11 South Korea 22 3.12 Taiwan 22 4 EUROPE: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 23 4.1 Executive Summary 23 4.2 Albania 26 4.3 Austria 27 4.4 Belarus 27 4.5 Belgium 28 4.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 29 4.7 Bulgaria 29 4.8 Croatia 30 4.9 Czech Republic 30 4.10 Denmark 31 4.11 Estonia 31 4.12 Finland 32 4.13 France 33 4.14 Germany 34 4.15 Greece 35 4.16 Hungary 35 4.17 Iceland 36 4.18 Ireland 36 4.19 Italy 37 4.20 Latvia 37 4.21 Lithuania 38 4.22 Luxembourg 38 4.23 Macedonia 38 4.24 Malta 39 4.25 Moldova 39 4.26 Norway 39 4.27 Poland 40 4.28 Portugal 40 4.29 Romania 41 4.30 Russia 41 4.31 Serbia and Montenegro 42 4.32 Slovakia 42 4.33 Slovenia 43 4.34 Spain 43 4.35 Sweden 44 4.36 Switzerland 44 4.37 the Netherlands 45 4.38 the United Kingdom 46 4.39 Ukraine 47 5 LATIN AMERICA: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 48 5.1 Executive Summary 48 5.2 Argentina 49 5.3 Brazil 50 5.4 Colombia 50 5.5 Mexico 50 5.6 Peru 51 6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 52 6.1 Executive Summary 52 6.2 Barbados 53 6.3 Canada 54 6.4 the United States 54 7 OCEANA: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 55 7.1 Executive Summary 55 7.2 Australia 56 7.3 Fiji 56 7.4 New Zealand 57 8 THE MIDDLE EAST: FRESH OR DRIED GRAPEFRUIT IMPORTS IN 2009 58 8.1 Executive Summary 58 8.2 Armenia 60 8.3 Bahrain 60 8.4 Jordan 60 8.5 Lebanon 61 8.6 Oman 61 8.7 Qatar 61 8.8 Saudi Arabia 62 8.9 Turkey 62 9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 63 9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 63 9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 64

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