The 2009 World Market Forecasts for Imported Synthetic Rubber and Factice from Oils Including Natural Rubber Mixtures

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for synthetic rubber and factice from oils including natural rubber mixtures. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for synthetic rubber and factice from oils including natural rubber mixtures for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for synthetic rubber and factice from oils including natural rubber mixtures. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in synthetic rubber and factice from oils including natural rubber mixtures (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Synthetic Rubber and Factice from Oils Including Natural Rubber Mixtures" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "synthetic rubber and factice from oils including natural rubber mixtures" is 2321 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8 1.1 Our Approach 8 1.2 The World Market: Imported Synthetic Rubber and Factice from Oils Including Natural Rubber Mixtures in 2009 10 1.3 The World Market: Synthetic Rubber and Factice from Oils Including Natural Rubber Mixtures Export Supplies in 2009 13 2 AFRICA: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 15 2.1 Executive Summary 15 2.2 Algeria 18 2.3 Burkina Faso 19 2.4 Cameroon 19 2.5 Egypt 20 2.6 Ghana 20 2.7 Kenya 21 2.8 Madagascar 21 2.9 Mauritius 22 2.10 Morocco 22 2.11 Senegal 23 2.12 South Africa 24 2.13 Sudan 25 2.14 Tanzania 25 2.15 Tunisia 26 2.16 Zambia 26 2.17 Zimbabwe 27 3 ASIA: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 28 3.1 Executive Summary 28 3.2 Bangladesh 31 3.3 Cambodia 32 3.4 China 33 3.5 Hong Kong 34 3.6 India 35 3.7 Indonesia 36 3.8 Japan 37 3.9 Macau 38 3.10 Malaysia 39 3.11 Philippines 40 3.12 Singapore 41 3.13 South Korea 42 3.14 Sri Lanka 43 3.15 Taiwan 44 3.16 Thailand 45 4 EUROPE: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 46 4.1 Executive Summary 46 4.2 Albania 49 4.3 Austria 50 4.4 Belarus 50 4.5 Belgium 51 4.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 52 4.7 Bulgaria 52 4.8 Croatia 53 4.9 Cyprus 53 4.10 Czech Republic 54 4.11 Denmark 55 4.12 Estonia 56 4.13 Finland 57 4.14 France 58 4.15 Germany 59 4.16 Greece 60 4.17 Hungary 61 4.18 Iceland 61 4.19 Ireland 62 4.20 Italy 63 4.21 Latvia 64 4.22 Lithuania 64 4.23 Luxembourg 65 4.24 Macedonia 65 4.25 Malta 66 4.26 Moldova 66 4.27 Norway 67 4.28 Poland 68 4.29 Portugal 69 4.30 Romania 70 4.31 Russia 71 4.32 Serbia and Montenegro 72 4.33 Slovakia 73 4.34 Slovenia 74 4.35 Spain 75 4.36 Sweden 76 4.37 Switzerland 77 4.38 the Netherlands 78 4.39 the United Kingdom 79 4.40 Ukraine 80 5 LATIN AMERICA: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 81 5.1 Executive Summary 81 5.2 Argentina 84 5.3 Bolivia 85 5.4 Brazil 86 5.5 Chile 87 5.6 Colombia 88 5.7 Costa Rica 89 5.8 Ecuador 90 5.9 El Salvador 90 5.10 Guatemala 91 5.11 Mexico 92 5.12 Nicaragua 92 5.13 Paraguay 93 5.14 Peru 93 5.15 Uruguay 94 5.16 Venezuela 95 6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 96 6.1 Executive Summary 96 6.2 Canada 99 6.3 the United States 100 6.4 Trinidad and Tobago 101 7 OCEANA: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 102 7.1 Executive Summary 102 7.2 Australia 105 7.3 Fiji 106 7.4 New Caledonia 106 7.5 New Zealand 107 8 THE MIDDLE EAST: SYNTHETIC RUBBER AND FACTICE FROM OILS INCLUDING NATURAL RUBBER MIXTURES IMPORTS IN 2009 108 8.1 Executive Summary 108 8.2 Armenia 111 8.3 Azerbaijan 111 8.4 Bahrain 112 8.5 Iran 113 8.6 Israel 114 8.7 Jordan 115 8.8 Lebanon 115 8.9 Oman 116 8.10 Pakistan 117 8.11 Qatar 118 8.12 Saudi Arabia 119 8.13 Syrian Arab Republic 120 8.14 Turkey 121 8.15 Yemen 122 9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 123 9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 123 9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 124

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