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The 2009 World Market Forecasts for Imported Unspun, Processed Abaca Including Tow, Noils, and Waste

ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 24

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for unspun, processed abaca including tow, noils, and waste. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for unspun, processed abaca including tow, noils, and waste for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for unspun, processed abaca including tow, noils, and waste. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in unspun, processed abaca including tow, noils, and waste (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Unspun, Processed Abaca Including Tow, Noils, and Waste" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "unspun, processed abaca including tow, noils, and waste" is 26559 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6
1.1 Our Approach 6
1.2 The World Market: Imported Unspun, Processed Abaca Including Tow, Noils, and Waste in 2009 10
1.3 The World Market: Unspun, Processed Abaca Including Tow, Noils, and Waste Export Supplies in 2009 12
2 ASIA: UNSPUN, PROCESSED ABACA INCLUDING TOW, NOILS, AND WASTE IMPORTS IN 2009 13
2.1 Executive Summary 13
2.2 China 14
2.3 Japan 14
2.4 Taiwan 15
3 EUROPE: UNSPUN, PROCESSED ABACA INCLUDING TOW, NOILS, AND WASTE IMPORTS IN 2009 16
3.1 Executive Summary 16
3.2 France 17
3.3 Italy 17
3.4 Spain 18
3.5 the Netherlands 18
3.6 the United Kingdom 18
4 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: UNSPUN, PROCESSED ABACA INCLUDING TOW, NOILS, AND WASTE IMPORTS IN 2009 19
4.1 Executive Summary 19
4.2 Canada 20
4.3 the United States 21
5 OCEANA: UNSPUN, PROCESSED ABACA INCLUDING TOW, NOILS, AND WASTE IMPORTS IN 2009 22
5.1 Executive Summary 22
5.2 New Zealand 22
6 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 23
6.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 23
6.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 24

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