The 2009 World Market Forecasts for Imported Crude Peanut Oil
ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 36
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for crude peanut oil. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for crude peanut oil for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for crude peanut oil. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in crude peanut oil (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Crude Peanut Oil" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "crude peanut oil" is 42131 .
1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
1.2 The World Market: Imported Crude Peanut Oil in 2009 10
1.3 The World Market: Crude Peanut Oil Export Supplies in 2009 13
2 AFRICA: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 15
2.1 Executive Summary 15
2.2 the Gambia 15
3 ASIA: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 16
3.1 Executive Summary 16
3.2 Hong Kong 17
3.3 Japan 18
3.4 Malaysia 18
3.5 Singapore 18
4 EUROPE: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 19
4.1 Executive Summary 19
4.2 Belgium 21
4.3 Denmark 21
4.4 Finland 21
4.5 France 22
4.6 Germany 22
4.7 Ireland 23
4.8 Italy 23
4.9 Luxembourg 23
4.10 Portugal 24
4.11 Spain 24
4.12 Sweden 24
4.13 Switzerland 25
4.14 the Netherlands 25
4.15 the United Kingdom 26
5 LATIN AMERICA: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 27
5.1 Executive Summary 27
5.2 Brazil 27
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 28
6.1 Executive Summary 28
6.2 Canada 29
6.3 the United States 30
7 OCEANA: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 31
7.1 Executive Summary 31
7.2 Australia 32
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: CRUDE PEANUT OIL IMPORTS IN 2009 33
8.1 Executive Summary 33
8.2 Qatar 34
8.3 Saudi Arabia 34
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 35
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 35
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 36
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