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The 2009 World Market Forecasts for Imported Hot-Rolled Stainless Steel Flat-Rolled Products of Less Than 600 mm Wide and Less Than 4.75 mm Thick

ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 74

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of less than 600 mm wide and less than 4.75 mm thick. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of less than 600 mm wide and less than 4.75 mm thick for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of less than 600 mm wide and less than 4.75 mm thick. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of less than 600 mm wide and less than 4.75 mm thick (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Hot-Rolled Stainless Steel Flat-Rolled Products of Less Than 600 mm Wide and Less Than 4.75 mm Thick" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of less than 600 mm wide and less than 4.75 mm thick" is 67538 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 9
1.1 Our Approach 9
1.2 The World Market: Imported Hot-Rolled Stainless Steel Flat-Rolled Products of Less Than 600 mm Wide and Less Than 4.75 mm Thick in 2009 16
1.3 The World Market: Hot-Rolled Stainless Steel Flat-Rolled Products of Less Than 600 mm Wide and Less Than 4.75 mm Thick Export Supplies in 2009 19
2 AFRICA: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK IMPORTS IN 2009 21
2.1 Executive Summary 21
2.2 Algeria 23
2.3 Egypt 23
2.4 Morocco 23
2.5 Senegal 24
2.6 South Africa 24
2.7 Tunisia 25
2.8 Zambia 25
3 ASIA: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK IMPORTS IN 2009 26
3.1 Executive Summary 26
3.2 Bangladesh 29
3.3 China 30
3.4 Hong Kong 31
3.5 India 32
3.6 Indonesia 32
3.7 Japan 33
3.8 Malaysia 33
3.9 Philippines 34
3.10 Singapore 34
3.11 South Korea 35
3.12 Sri Lanka 35
3.13 Taiwan 36
3.14 Thailand 36
4 EUROPE: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK IMPORTS IN 2009 37
4.1 Executive Summary 37
4.2 Albania 41
4.3 Austria 41
4.4 Belarus 42
4.5 Belgium 42
4.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 42
4.7 Croatia 43
4.8 Czech Republic 43
4.9 Denmark 44
4.10 Finland 44
4.11 France 45
4.12 Germany 46
4.13 Hungary 46
4.14 Ireland 47
4.15 Italy 47
4.16 Luxembourg 48
4.17 Norway 48
4.18 Poland 49
4.19 Portugal 49
4.20 Romania 50
4.21 Russia 50
4.22 Slovakia 51
4.23 Slovenia 51
4.24 Spain 52
4.25 Sweden 52
4.26 Switzerland 53
4.27 the Netherlands 53
4.28 the United Kingdom 54
5 LATIN AMERICA: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK IMPORTS IN 2009 55
5.1 Executive Summary 55
5.2 Argentina 57
5.3 Brazil 58
5.4 Chile 58
5.5 Colombia 59
5.6 Costa Rica 59
5.7 El Salvador 59
5.8 Guatemala 60
5.9 Mexico 60
5.10 Peru 61
5.11 Venezuela 61
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK 62
6.1 Executive Summary 62
6.2 Canada 64
6.3 the United States 64
7 OCEANA: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK IMPORTS IN 2009 65
7.1 Executive Summary 65
7.2 Australia 67
7.3 New Zealand 67
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: HOT-ROLLED STAINLESS STEEL FLAT-ROLLED PRODUCTS OF LESS THAN 600 MM WIDE AND LESS THAN 4.75 MM THICK IMPORTS IN 2009 68
8.1 Executive Summary 68
8.2 Bahrain 70
8.3 Iran 70
8.4 Israel 70
8.5 Jordan 71
8.6 Lebanon 71
8.7 Pakistan 71
8.8 Saudi Arabia 72
8.9 Turkey 72
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 73
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 73
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 74

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