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The 2009 World Forecasts of Ores and Concentrates of Precious Metals Export Supplies

ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 40

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for ores and concentrates of precious metals. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for ores and concentrates of precious metals for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for ores and concentrates of precious metals exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in ores and concentrates of precious metals (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Ores and Concentrates of Precious Metals" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "ores and concentrates of precious metals" is 2891 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7
1.1 Our Approach 7
1.2 The World Market: Ores and Concentrates of Precious Metals Export Supplies in 2009 9
1.3 The World Market: Ores and Concentrates of Precious Metals by Destination in 2009 12
2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 14
2.1 Executive Summary 14
2.2 Cameroon 15
2.3 Ghana 16
2.4 Guinea 16
2.5 Morocco 16
2.6 Mozambique 16
2.7 South Africa 17
2.8 Tanzania 17
2.9 Zambia 17
3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 18
3.1 Executive Summary 18
3.2 Indonesia 19
3.3 North Korea 20
3.4 Papua New Guinea 20
3.5 Philippines 20
3.6 Singapore 20
3.7 South Korea 21
4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 22
4.1 Executive Summary 22
4.2 Belgium 23
4.3 Bulgaria 24
4.4 Finland 24
4.5 France 24
4.6 Georgia 24
4.7 Germany 25
4.8 Greece 25
4.9 Kazakhstan 25
4.10 Norway 25
4.11 Romania 26
4.12 Slovakia 26
4.13 Spain 26
4.14 Sweden 26
4.15 Switzerland 27
4.16 the Netherlands 27
4.17 the United Kingdom 27
5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 28
5.1 Executive Summary 28
5.2 Argentina 29
5.3 Bolivia 30
5.4 Brazil 30
5.5 Chile 30
5.6 Colombia 31
5.7 Peru 31
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 32
6.1 Executive Summary 32
6.2 Canada 33
6.3 Greenland 34
6.4 the United States 34
7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 35
7.1 Executive Summary 35
7.2 Australia 36
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ORES AND CONCENTRATES OF PRECIOUS METALS 37
8.1 Executive Summary 37
8.2 Armenia 38
8.3 Israel 38
8.4 Turkey 38
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 39
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 39
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 40

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