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The 2009 World Forecasts of Unwrought Aluminum and Aluminum Alloys Export Supplies

ICON Group International, January 2009, Pages: 107

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Unwrought Aluminum and Aluminum Alloys" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "unwrought aluminum and aluminum alloys" is 6841 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8
1.1 Our Approach 8
1.2 The World Market: Unwrought Aluminum and Aluminum Alloys Export Supplies in 2009 12
1.3 The World Market: Unwrought Aluminum and Aluminum Alloys by Destination in 2009 15
2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 17
2.1 Executive Summary 17
2.2 Algeria 19
2.3 Cameroon 19
2.4 Central African Republic 20
2.5 Cote dIvoire 20
2.6 Egypt 21
2.7 Ethiopia 21
2.8 Ghana 22
2.9 Guinea 22
2.10 Libya 22
2.11 Mauritius 23
2.12 Mozambique 23
2.13 Namibia 23
2.14 Nigeria 24
2.15 Sierra Leone 24
2.16 South Africa 25
2.17 Sudan 26
2.18 Swaziland 26
2.19 Tunisia 26
2.20 Uganda 26
2.21 Zambia 27
3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 28
3.1 Executive Summary 28
3.2 Cambodia 30
3.3 China 31
3.4 Hong Kong 32
3.5 India 33
3.6 Indonesia 34
3.7 Japan 34
3.8 Macau 35
3.9 Malaysia 35
3.10 Nepal 35
3.11 North Korea 36
3.12 Philippines 36
3.13 Singapore 37
3.14 South Korea 38
3.15 Sri Lanka 38
3.16 Taiwan 39
3.17 Thailand 40
3.18 Vietnam 40
4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 41
4.1 Executive Summary 41
4.2 Albania 43
4.3 Austria 44
4.4 Belarus 44
4.5 Belgium 45
4.6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 46
4.7 Bulgaria 46
4.8 Croatia 47
4.9 Cyprus 47
4.10 Czech Republic 48
4.11 Denmark 49
4.12 Estonia 50
4.13 Finland 51
4.14 France 52
4.15 Georgia 53
4.16 Germany 54
4.17 Greece 55
4.18 Hungary 55
4.19 Iceland 56
4.20 Ireland 56
4.21 Italy 57
4.22 Kazakhstan 58
4.23 Latvia 59
4.24 Lithuania 60
4.25 Luxembourg 60
4.26 Macedonia 61
4.27 Malta 61
4.28 Norway 62
4.29 Poland 63
4.30 Portugal 63
4.31 Romania 64
4.32 Russia 65
4.33 Serbia and Montenegro 66
4.34 Slovakia 67
4.35 Slovenia 68
4.36 Spain 69
4.37 Sweden 70
4.38 Switzerland 71
4.39 the Netherlands 72
4.40 the United Kingdom 73
4.41 Ukraine 74
5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 75
5.1 Executive Summary 75
5.2 Argentina 78
5.3 Brazil 79
5.4 Chile 80
5.5 Colombia 80
5.6 Ecuador 80
5.7 Mexico 80
5.8 Peru 81
5.9 Uruguay 81
5.10 Venezuela 82
6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 83
6.1 Executive Summary 83
6.2 Canada 86
6.3 Cuba 87
6.4 Dominican Republic 87
6.5 the Bahamas 87
6.6 the United States 88
7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 89
7.1 Executive Summary 89
7.2 Australia 92
7.3 New Zealand 93
8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF UNWROUGHT ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOYS 94
8.1 Executive Summary 94
8.2 Armenia 97
8.3 Azerbaijan 97
8.4 Bahrain 98
8.5 Iran 99
8.6 Iraq 99
8.7 Israel 100
8.8 Jordan 100
8.9 Kuwait 100
8.10 Kyrgyzstan 101
8.11 Lebanon 101
8.12 Oman 101
8.13 Qatar 101
8.14 Saudi Arabia 102
8.15 Syrian Arab Republic 102
8.16 Tajikistan 103
8.17 the United Arab Emirates 104
8.18 Turkey 105
8.19 Turkmenistan 105
9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 106
9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 106
9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 107

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