The 2009 World Forecasts of Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Plates, Sheets, and Strip over 0.2 mm Thick Export Supplies

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for aluminum and aluminum alloy plates, sheets, and strip over 0.2 mm thick. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for aluminum and aluminum alloy plates, sheets, and strip over 0.2 mm thick for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for aluminum and aluminum alloy plates, sheets, and strip over 0.2 mm thick exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in aluminum and aluminum alloy plates, sheets, and strip over 0.2 mm thick (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Plates, Sheets, and Strip over 0.2 mm Thick" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "aluminum and aluminum alloy plates, sheets, and strip over 0.2 mm thick" is 68423 .

1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8 1.1 Our Approach 8 1.2 The World Market: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Plates, Sheets, and Strip over 0.2 mm Thick Export Supplies in 2009 12 1.3 The World Market: Aluminum and Aluminum Alloy Plates, Sheets, and Strip over 0.2 mm Thick by Destination in 2009 15 2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 17 2.1 Executive Summary 17 2.2 Cameroon 20 2.3 Egypt 21 2.4 Gabon 21 2.5 Ghana 22 2.6 Kenya 22 2.7 Morocco 22 2.8 Niger 23 2.9 Nigeria 23 2.10 Sierra Leone 23 2.11 South Africa 24 2.12 Swaziland 25 2.13 Togo 25 2.14 Tunisia 25 2.15 Uganda 25 3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 26 3.1 Executive Summary 26 3.2 Brunei 29 3.3 China 30 3.4 Hong Kong 31 3.5 India 32 3.6 Indonesia 33 3.7 Japan 34 3.8 Malaysia 35 3.9 Nepal 35 3.10 North Korea 36 3.11 Philippines 36 3.12 Seychelles 36 3.13 Singapore 37 3.14 South Korea 38 3.15 Sri Lanka 39 3.16 Taiwan 40 3.17 Thailand 41 3.18 Vietnam 41 4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 42 4.1 Executive Summary 42 4.2 Albania 45 4.3 Andorra 45 4.4 Austria 46 4.5 Belarus 47 4.6 Belgium 48 4.7 Bosnia and Herzegovina 49 4.8 Bulgaria 50 4.9 Croatia 51 4.10 Cyprus 51 4.11 Czech Republic 52 4.12 Denmark 53 4.13 Estonia 54 4.14 Finland 55 4.15 France 56 4.16 Georgia 57 4.17 Germany 58 4.18 Gibraltar 59 4.19 Greece 60 4.20 Hungary 61 4.21 Iceland 62 4.22 Ireland 62 4.23 Italy 63 4.24 Kazakhstan 64 4.25 Latvia 64 4.26 Lithuania 64 4.27 Luxembourg 65 4.28 Macedonia 65 4.29 Norway 66 4.30 Poland 67 4.31 Portugal 68 4.32 Romania 69 4.33 Russia 70 4.34 Serbia and Montenegro 71 4.35 Slovakia 72 4.36 Slovenia 73 4.37 Spain 74 4.38 Sweden 75 4.39 Switzerland 76 4.40 the Netherlands 77 4.41 the United Kingdom 78 4.42 Ukraine 79 5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 80 5.1 Executive Summary 80 5.2 Argentina 82 5.3 Brazil 83 5.4 Chile 84 5.5 Colombia 84 5.6 Costa Rica 84 5.7 Ecuador 85 5.8 El Salvador 85 5.9 Guatemala 85 5.10 Mexico 86 5.11 Venezuela 86 6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 87 6.1 Executive Summary 87 6.2 Canada 90 6.3 Cuba 91 6.4 Dominican Republic 91 6.5 the Bahamas 91 6.6 the United States 92 6.7 Trinidad and Tobago 93 7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 94 7.1 Executive Summary 94 7.2 Australia 97 7.3 Nauru 97 7.4 New Zealand 98 8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ALUMINUM AND ALUMINUM ALLOY PLATES, SHEETS, AND STRIP OVER 0.2 MM THICK 99 8.1 Executive Summary 99 8.2 Armenia 102 8.3 Azerbaijan 102 8.4 Bahrain 103 8.5 Iran 104 8.6 Israel 105 8.7 Jordan 106 8.8 Kyrgyzstan 106 8.9 Lebanon 106 8.10 Oman 107 8.11 Qatar 107 8.12 Saudi Arabia 108 8.13 Syrian Arab Republic 108 8.14 Tajikistan 109 8.15 the United Arab Emirates 110 8.16 Turkey 111 8.17 Uzbekistan 112 9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 113 9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 113 9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 114

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