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The 2009 World Forecasts of Roller Chain Export Supplies

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for roller chain. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for roller chain for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for roller chain exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in roller chain (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Roller Chain" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "roller chain" is 74831 .
1 METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7 1.1 Our Approach 7 1.2 The World Market: Roller Chain Export Supplies in 2009 13 1.3 The World Market: Roller Chain by Destination in 2009 16 2 AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 18 2.1 Executive Summary 18 2.2 Mauritius 19 2.3 South Africa 19 3 ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 20 3.1 Executive Summary 20 3.2 China 23 3.3 Hong Kong 24 3.4 India 25 3.5 Indonesia 26 3.6 Japan 27 3.7 Malaysia 28 3.8 North Korea 28 3.9 Singapore 29 3.10 South Korea 30 3.11 Taiwan 31 3.12 Thailand 32 3.13 Vietnam 33 4 EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 34 4.1 Executive Summary 34 4.2 Austria 36 4.3 Belgium 37 4.4 Bulgaria 37 4.5 Czech Republic 38 4.6 Denmark 39 4.7 Finland 39 4.8 France 40 4.9 Germany 41 4.10 Greece 42 4.11 Hungary 42 4.12 Ireland 42 4.13 Italy 43 4.14 Latvia 44 4.15 Luxembourg 44 4.16 Norway 45 4.17 Poland 45 4.18 Portugal 46 4.19 Russia 46 4.20 Serbia and Montenegro 47 4.21 Slovakia 47 4.22 Slovenia 47 4.23 Spain 48 4.24 Sweden 49 4.25 Switzerland 50 4.26 the Netherlands 51 4.27 the United Kingdom 52 4.28 Ukraine 53 5 LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 54 5.1 Executive Summary 54 5.2 Argentina 56 5.3 Brazil 56 5.4 Colombia 56 5.5 Mexico 57 5.6 Panama 57 5.7 Paraguay 57 6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 58 6.1 Executive Summary 58 6.2 Canada 60 6.3 the United States 61 7 OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 62 7.1 Executive Summary 62 7.2 Australia 63 8 THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF ROLLER CHAIN 64 8.1 Executive Summary 64 8.2 Kyrgyzstan 65 8.3 the United Arab Emirates 66 8.4 Turkey 66 9 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 67 9.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 67 9.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 68
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