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Market Dynamics 2001: Diabetes


Description: Few non-infectious diseases are growing as rapidly as type II diabetes. More than 37 million people in seven major pharmaceutical markets now have type II diabetes, and recent data reveal that the disease is on the rise in other markets as well. Daily news accounts about the rise in diabetes and the disease''s insidious, yet severe, complications will lead to higher diagnosis rates and demand for more effective treatments. The diabetes market is undergoing a major upheaval. Bristol-Myers Squibb''s Glucophage (metformin), the most widely prescribed therapy for type II diabetes, lost patent protection in the U.S. market in 2001. Further, novel formulations of insulin (e.g. Lantus from Aventis), advances in insulin delivery, and new insulin sensitizing drugs will all dramatically impact the market. This analysis provides essential insight into the diabetes market. Market Dynamics 2001: Diabetes - Face of the Diabetes Market analyzes the driving forces behind the current diabetes market, examining the factors that will sustain and impede growth in coming years. Specific issues discussed in the report include: • Current unmet clinical needs in the treatment of diabetes as viewed by physicians in the seven major pharmaceutical markets • Treatment trends in the major markets, including increased use of insulin to treat type II diabetes • Cost containment and price control measures affecting diabetes prescribing in the major markets • The success behind the current market leaders in each drug class across the seven major markets, including marketing strength and strategies, drug characteristics and geographical location


Contents:
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


Scope


Datamonitor insight into the diabetes market


Key metrics





DIABETES MARKET DEFINITION


Market definition


Therapy classes covered


Disease indications


Epidemiology overview


Methodology for determining 2001 prevalence of diabetes


Forecast prevalence of diabetes to 2025


Diabetes drug class definitions


Insulin


Sulphonylureas


Biguanides


Glitazones


Alpha glucosidase inhibitors


Prandial glucose regulators


Definition of gold standards


Class comparisons





GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS


Overview of global diabetes market


Key trends in the global diabetes market


Insulins


Overview of the global insulin market


Key trends in the global insulin market


Comparison of key brands in the insulin class


Novolin


Humulin


Humalog


Insuman


Lantus


NovoLog


Sulphonylureas


Overview of the global sulphonylurea market


Key trends in the global sulphonylurea market


Comparison of key brands in the sulphonylurea class


Amaryl


Glucotrol and Glucotrol XL


Biguanides


Overview of the global biguanide market


Key trends in the global biguanide market


Comparison of key brands in biguanide class


Glucophage, Glucophage XR and Glucovance


Glitazones


Overview of the global glitazone market


Comparison of key brands in the glitazone class


Avandia


Actos


Alpha glucosidase inhibitors


Overview of the global AGI market


Key trends in the global AGI market


Comparison of key brands in the AGI class


Basen


Precose


Prandial glucose regulators


Overview of the global PGR market


Comparison of key brands in the PGR class


Prandin


Starlix





COUNTRY ANALYSIS


Significance of major countries in the global diabetes market


Overview of the global diabetes market


Breakdown of the country markets by class


Summary of global market factors


The US


Japan


Europe


The US diabetes market


Environmental drivers in the US



Positive impacts:


The Japanese diabetes market


Environmental drivers in Japan


The French diabetes market


Environmental drivers in France


The German diabetes market


Environmental drivers in Germany


The Italian diabetes market





Environmental drivers in Italy


The Spanish diabetes market


Environmental drivers in Spain


The UK diabetes market


Environmental drivers in the UK


LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT


Global drug class lifecycle in the diabetes market


Reformulations in the diabetes market


Lifecycle management case studies


Novo Nordisk—additional formulation aid battle against Lilly


Inhalation insulins—are they really the answer to the formulation problem?


BMS—protecting its Glucophage franchise


Pfizer and Warner-Lambert—the good, the bad, and Rezulin


Supergenerics—waiting to take over the market when patents expire





THE FUTURE DECODED


Market forecasting methodology


Diabetes market growth


Diabetes drug class growth


Individual drug growth


Trends in the diabetes market to 2008


Diabetes market forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the diabetes market, 2001–2008





Diabetes market forecast by drug class


Insulin class forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the insulin class, 2001–2008


Insulin sales forecast to 2008


Sulphonylurea class forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the sulphonylurea class


Sulphonylurea sales forecasts to 2008


Biguanide class market forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the biguanide class market, 2001–2008


Biguanide sales forecasts to 2008


Glitazone class forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the glitazone class


Glitazone sales forecast to 2008


AGI class forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the AGI class


AGI product sales forecast to 2008


PGR class forecast


Positive and negative drivers in the PGR class, 2001–2008


PGR product sales forecast to 2008


Product forecast summary


Alternative forecast scenario


APPENDIX


Datamonitor’s Immune Disorders and Inflammation (IDI) Business Unit


Contributing experts


Table of tables


Table of figures


Bibliography


Epidemiology sources for prevalence data


Sales data research methodology


Introduction


Hypothesis formulation


Hypothesis testing


Data verification with key contacts


Quality control


Quantification of data reliability


Confidence ratings


Exchange rates





Patent data







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