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Energy Market Landscape: Bulgaria Product Image

Energy Market Landscape: Bulgaria

  • ID: 993301
  • June 2010
  • Region: Bulgaria
  • 40 pages
  • Datamonitor

Evolving competitive dynamics are rapidly and significantly changing the face of the gas and power markets in and around Europe. As such, a timely and broadly based understanding of the market landscape is vital for players throughout the energy value chain. Central to this is an understanding of the exact stage of competitive development reached in each market, and how it is likely to change.

Scope

- Up-to-date insight on market structures, regulatory developments, supply and demand balances, asset developments and player strategies.

- Insight into current levels of gas and power competitive intensity benchmarked against 33 relevant markets (EU 27 and 6 related countries).

- Forecasts of how the nine metrics making up the competitive intensity scores will change by 2012.

Highlights of this title

The MCI scores draw on nine underlying metrics grouped into three categories: Market Framework (Regulatory Effectiveness; Pricing Regime; Ease of Third Party Access), Supplier Push (Wholesale Fragmentation, Retail Fragmentation, Traded Market Maturity), and Customer Pull (Access to Market Information, Consumer Representation, Propensity to Switch)

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DATAMONITOR VIEW
CATALYST
SUMMARY
ANALYSIS
Gas Market Overview
Industry Landscape
Retail Market Players
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis
Gas Infrastructure
Pipelines
Storage
Electricity Market Overview
Industry Landscape
Retail Market Players
Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis
Electricity Infrastructure
Generation Capacity
Electricity Networks
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity
The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrant seeking to enter the market, and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to defined their market share from new entrants.
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2010 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2013, five years after full market opening
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details)
Gas Market Competitive Intensity
Bulgaria's weak gas metrics create an MCI score very much at the lower end of the European scale
All of Bulgaria's gas metrics score at the lower end of the scale
Despite a reasonable regulatory score, Bulgaria's Market Framework metrics are constrained by the TPA and balancing regimes
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 5/10 2013: 6.5/10]
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 6.5/10 2013: 8/10]
Pricing Regime [2010: 3/10 2013: 4/10]
All of the Market Framework factors remain firmly at the bottom end of the scoring scale during the forecast period
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 0.1/10 2013 1/10]
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 8/10 2013: 9/10]
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 1/10]
Customer Pull metrics remain modest both at the current time and at the end of the forecast period
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 2/10]
Consumer Representation [2010: 2/10 2013: 2.5/10]
Propensity to Switch [2010: 1/10 2013: 2.5/10]
Switching rates have so far been very limited with little to indicate a strong increase over the forecast period. Electricity Market Competitive Intensity
Electricity Market Competitive Intensity
Bulgaria's Customer Pull metrics show particular weakness both now and at the end of the forecast period
Most of Bulgaria's power metrics remain in the lower half of the scale
Aside from a relatively strong regulatory score, Bulgaria's Market Framework metrics remain modest at the end of the forecast period
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 5/10 2013: 7/10]
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 3/10 2013: 3.5/10]
Pricing Regime [2010: 3/10 2013: 4/10]
All of Bulgaria's Market Framework metrics show little improvement both at the current time and in the near term future
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 3/10 2013: 3.5/10]
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 4/10 2013: 4.5/10]
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 1.5/10 2013: 3/10]
The relatively undeveloped nature of the market serves to constrain the Customer Pull metrics
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 2/10 2013: 3.5/10]
Consumer Representation [2010: 1/10 2013: 2/10]
Propensity to Switch [2010: 1.5/10 2013: 3.5/10]
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX
MCI Scores Summary
MCI Scoring Scales
APPENDIX
List of power stations in Bulgaria
Definitions
Ask the analyst
Datamonitor consulting
Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Major gas market retail players, 2008
Table 2: Bulgaria gas supply and demand balance, 2008-09e
Table 3: Bulgaria cross-border gas transmission pipelines
Table 4: Bulgaria gas storage sites
Table 5: Bulgaria major power retail players, 2008
Table 6: Bulgaria power supply and demand balance, 2008-09e
Table 7: Bulgaria system capacity
Table 8: Market Competitive Intensity, Bulgaria 2010 and 2013
Table 9: MCI Additive, Europe 2010 and 2013
Table 10: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2010 and 2013
Table 11: Bulgaria power generation assets
List of Figures
Figure 1: Bulgaria indigenous gas production, 1995-2009e
Figure 2: Bulgaria gas import supply sources, 2009e
Figure 3: Bulgaria gas sectoral consumption, 2009e
Figure 4: Bulgaria gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990-2020f
Figure 5: Bulgaria power production by fuel type, 1990-2009e
Figure 6: Bulgaria power production by fuel type, 2009e
Figure 7: Bulgaria power sectoral consumption, 2009e
Figure 8: Bulgaria power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990-2020f
Figure 9: Bulgaria power generation capacity by fuel type, 2008
Figure 10: MCI Assessment Scale
Figure 11: MCI Assessment Framework
Figure 12: MCI Scales
Figure 13: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13
Figure 14: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Bulgaria
Figure 15: European Power Competitive Intensity, 2010-13
Figure 16: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Bulgaria
Figure 17: Market Competitive Intensity, Bulgaria
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity
Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information
Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation
Figure 26: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch

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