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China Base Metals Markets Research
Frost & Sullivan, December 2008, Pages: 114
The white paper provides a deep research on Chinese base metals markets including copper, aluminum, zinc and lead markets from 2007 to 2014. Market movements, supply-demand dynamics, price forecasts and competitive structure are covered in the white paper. Nonferrous metals are essential for the daily life of people and usually more resistant to corrosion than ferrous metals. As the biggest producer and consumer of nonferrous metals, China is expected to contribute to the market growth greatly.
This Frost & Sullivan research service titled China Base Metals Markets Research provides market mechanism analysis, supply and demand analysis, and price forecasts. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the Chinese copper, aluminum, zinc, and lead markets.
Market Overview
Economic Boom Spearheads Growth in the Base Metals Markets in China
For six consecutive years, China has retained the top position worldwide for the production and consumption of nonferrous metals. In 2007, nonferrous metal production in China was 23,500,000 tons. Owing to its rapid economic growth rate, China consumes nearly 20 percent of nonferrous metals on an annual basis, utilizing it as raw materials for industrial, military, and high technology products, including aerospace, missile, power grid, construction, and telecommunication. Aluminum, copper, zinc, and lead are the most commonly used, and are classified as base metals according to international definitions. “China’s downstream demand for metals is the key driver for the industry development in the future,” notes the analyst of this research service. “Booming transportation, construction, and power industries in China are expected to lift metals demand.” The Chinese economy recorded a high GDP growth of 9.0 percent in 2008.
In 2007, construction areas totaled 4,732.8 million square meters, registering a growth rate of 15.4 percent. Automobile sales volumes rose by 22.2 percent to 8.8 million units, while the power equipment unit shipment reached 131.8 million KW the same year, a 12.7 percent increase over figures recorded the previous year. NBS statistics reveal total fixed investments on nonferrous mining amounted to $3,606.0 million during the first half of 2008, an increase of 29.1 percent over the previous year. Smelting and processing figures touched 11,279.2 million, an increase of 42.8 percent over the previous year.
China’s Stringent Export Policies Inhibit Market Progression
With China facing its worst power shortage in four years, metal production has been adversely affected. The Government has been canceling the power preferential prices gradually since 2007. The national average sales prices of electricity were hiked by 2.5 cents/kwh (5 percent) in 2008. Figures indicate that about 14,500 kwh electricity is required for smelting one ton of primary aluminum, while lead and zinc require 350 and 3,200 kwh electricity, respectively. The rising price of raw materials such as coal has severely affected smelters who own power plants. Tight export regulations and weak overseas demand have contributed to diminishing profit margins of nonferrous metals exporters. The government has cut the export tax rebate on nonferrous metals and their downstream products and imposed export taxes on metals and semis products, thus curbing the export of high energy-consuming products.
“The Chinese nonferrous metals market is highly fragmented and competition is fierce due to unavailability of raw materials,” says the analyst. “Major metals smelters owning the upstream sectors alone have the resources and wherewithal to survive in this competitive marketplace.” Metal manufacturers must own the mines for captive use or penetrate the downstream value chain by mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Trends indicate that the whole industry will be centralized gradually. Of late, the Chinese Government has been encouraging M&A among domestic nonferrous metals manufacturers, both in the domestic and overseas markets, scouting for possible additional resources and forging powerful non-ferrous groups. China is heavily dependent on the import of high-end copper and aluminum semis to meet the demand from the high technology sectors in China. To survive in this competitive landscape, manufacturers must implement innovative strategies to broaden and strengthen the value chain.
Market Sectors
Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following market sectors in this research:
- Copper
- Aluminum
- Zinc
- Lead
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction
1. Market Overview
2. Notes on This Report
3. Market Segmentation and Definition
Major Findings
1. Total Market Overview
2. Analysis on Market Segments
3. Market Drivers and Restraints
4. Conclusions
2 TOTAL NONFERROUS METALS MARKET ANALYSIS
Macro Economy
1. Macro Economy Overview of China
Market Overview
1. Introduction
2. Industry Characteristics
Measurements
1. Research Measurement System
2. Market Size
3. Market Age
Market Drivers and Restraints
1. Market Drivers
2. Market Restraints
Market Trends Analysis
1. Market Trends by Product Type
2. Market Forecasts
Competitive Structure
1. Market Structure
2. Key Producers profile
3 COPPER MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Overview
1. Introduction
2. Definitions
Measurements
1. Research Measurement System
2. Market Size
3. Market Age
Market Drivers and Restains
1. Market Drivers
2. Market Restraints
Supply and Demand Analysis
1. Supply Side
2. Import and Export Side
3. Demand Side
Market Trends Analysis
1. Maket Forecasts
2. Price Trend Analysis
Competitive Structure
1. Market Structure
2. Key Producers Profile
4 ALUMINUM MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Overview
1. Introduction
2. Definitions
Measurements
1. Research Measurement System
2. Market Size
3. Market Age
Market Drivers and Restains
1. Market Drivers
2. Market Restraints
Supply and Demand Analysis
1. Supply Side
2. Import and Export Side
3. Demand Side
Market Trends Analysis
1. Market Forecasts
2. Price Trend Analysis
Competitive Structure
1. Market Structure
2. Key Producers Profile
5 ZINC MARKET ANALYSIS
Market overview
1. Introduction
2. Definitions
Measurements
1. Research Measurement System
2. Market Size
3. Market Age
Market Drivers and Restains
1. Market Drivers
2. Market Restraints
Supply and Demand Analysis
1. Supply Side
2. Import and Export Side
3. Demand Side
Market Trends Analysis
1. Market Forecasts
2. Price Trend Analysis
Competitive Structure
1. Market Structure
2. Key Producers Profile
6 LEAD MARKET ANALYSIS
Market overview
1. Introduction
2. Definitions
Measurements
1. Research Measurement System
2. Market Size
3. Market Age
Market Drivers and Restains
1. Market Drivers
2. Market Restraints
Supply and Demand Analysis
1. Supply Side
2. Import and Export Side
3. Demand Side
Market Trends Analysis
1. Maket Forecasts
2. Price Trend Analysis
Competitive Structure
1. Market Structure
2. Key Producers Profile
List of Figures
Chapter 2
Total Nonferrous Metals Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Total Nonferrous Metals Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Total Nonferrous Metals Market: Revenue by Products (China), 2004-2014
Total Nonferrous Metals Market: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (China), 2004-2014
Total Nonferrous Metals Market: Major Nonferrous Metal Producers by Revenue (China), 2007
Chapter 3
Copper Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Copper Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Copper Semis Market: Percent of Unit Shipment by Type (China), 2004-2014
Copper Downstream Market: Percent of Copper Consumption by Sector (China), 2004-2014
Copper Market: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (China), 2004-2014
Copper Market: Refined Copper Producers' Share by Unit Shipment (China), 2007
Chapter 4
Aluminum Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Aluminum Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Aluminum Semis Market: Percent of Unit Shipment by Type (China), 2004-2014
Aluminum Downstream Market: Percent of Aluminum Consumption by Sector (China), 2004-2014
Aluminum Market: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (China), 2004-2014
Aluminum Market: Primary Aluminum Producers' Share by Unit Shipment (China), 2007
Chapter 5
Zinc Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Zinc Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Refined Zinc Applications Market: Percent of Zinc Consumption by Sector (China), 2004-2014
Zinc Market: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (China), 2004-2014
Zinc Market: Refined Zinc Producers' Share by Unit Shipment (China), 2007
Chapter 6
Lead Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Lead Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (China), 2008-2014
Lead Market: Percent of Lead Consumption by Sector (China), 2004-2014
Lead Market: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (China), 2004-2014
Lead Market: Refined Lead Producers' Share by Unit Shipment (China), 2007
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