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Africa & Middle East Market Perspective - Vol. 7, Issue 9, September Edition
Pyramid Research, Inc., Sep 2007
On Jan. 8, 2007, the Moroccan national regulatory agency, Agence Nationale de Réglementation des Télécoms (ANRT), launched the process for local loop unbundling. Alternative operators now can sign up for shared access while full access to the local loop will be available at the beginning of 2008. With the implementation of local loop unbundling, Morocco is at the forefront of fixed market liberalization for the region. However, despite this bright picture, many obstacles still stand in the way of a more competitive DSL environment.
In our view, access and entry costs remain the major barriers to further competition and could jeopardize DSL’s penetration rate over the next five years. Investments in fixed infrastructure also will play a crucial role in meeting growth expectations. Finally, the introduction of bundled offers is a sine qua non for higher adoption.
ANALYSIS SUMMARY
-Local loop unbundling (LLU) in Morocco has been cautiously welcomed by alternative operators. However, the market appears to offer some significant room for growth in the DSL segment. Entry costs remain high, but the long-term benefits will overcome initial investments.
-Monthly rental of shared access is still relatively high and significantly higher than Western European averages. The monthly rental will need to be lowered. The introduction of bundled offers also is recommended, as it will enable alternative operators to recover the initial cost of access.
-Fixed wireless is not a substitute for DSL. DSL technology offers the possibility to carry numerous types of services (e.g., VoD, IPTV, and VoIP). It also has the capacity to grow in speed while fixed wireless access will have limited capability.
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