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1Q08 Mobile Forecast: Indonesia, 2007 - 2010
IE Market Research Corp., Jan 2008


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IEMR’s Mobile Forecast on Indonesia provides over 65 operational and financial metrics for the Indonesia wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 3Q2003 and ending in 3Q2007. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Indonesia include: Telkomsel, Satelindo + IM3, Excelcomindo, Telkom Flexi, StarOne, and Other new entrants. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Notable highlights of the 1Q08 Indonesia Mobile Forecast include:

- Indonesia continues to be the most profitable market in East Asia. We are continuing to forecast average EBITDA margins in Indonesia at 64% in 2010. Telkomsel, in particular, will continue to be one of the most profitable wireless operators in the world with an EBITDA margin of 68%.

- The wireless penetration level in Indonesia is steadily increasing. It will increase from 41.3% in 2007 to 62.7% in 2010. The number of total subscribers will increase from 92.8 million to 146.5 million from 2007 - 2010.

- Although the total subscriber base will continue to grow, Telkomsel, the largest operator in the country, will be losing its market share to competitors. We are forecasting that the market share (by subscribers) of Telkomsel will decrease from our projected 52.4% in 2007 to 47.5% in 2010.





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