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NGN Drivers and Inhibitors in the Global Market
In-Stat/MDR, March 2008, Pages: 41


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A few years ago, IMS was all the rage. Today, the term is hardly ever mentioned. Has the migration to NGNs ceased, or has it simply changed form? This research report examines the current state of NGN development and explores the reasons why operators are making relatively risk-free investment decisions. A detailed look at why selected operators have chosen to build an NGN is presented, along with changing attitudes regarding network architecture and configurations. The report also reviews how the prevailing carrier market conditions are impacting the global equipment suppliers.
Finally, there is a discussion of some interesting, and possibly disruptive, trends that could have a profound impact on service provider markets. A worldwide capital expenditure (CAPEX) forecast covering 2008-2012 is presented, segmented by product category, network layer, and geographic region. Unlike other reports that hype a specific technology, or product segment, this report provides a real-world understanding of the market forces driving, and often delaying NGN migrations. It is a must-read for both equipment suppliers and service providers.

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

Executive Summary

Introduction

2007 NGN Migration Activities

2007 IMS-Based NGN Contract Announcements

Competition

Operator Performance

Summary

Service Provider Strategies

IMS/NGN Full PSTN Replacement?KPN

IMS/NGN Network Overlay?Magyar Telekom (MT)

IMS-NGN With Media Content?Telecom Italia (TI)

Pre-NGN With Media Content?PCCW

Cable Operators

The Impact on Global Equipment Suppliers

Alcatel-Lucent

Ericsson

Nokia-Siemens Networks

Huawei

ZTE

NEC

Nortel

Summary

NGN Trends and CAPEX Forecast

MMTel

Market Trends

Potential Market Disruptors

CAPEX Forecast

Conclusion

Methodology

Acronyms
List of Tables

Table 1. 2007 Announced IMS Equipment Supply Contracts

Table 2. 2007 Major Mobile NGN Contract Announcements by Region

Table 3. 2007 Major Fixed-Network Contract Announcements by Region

Table 4. Operator Consolidation

Table 5. 2007 Worldwide CAPEX Investment (in US$ Billions)

Table 6. MMTel Supplementary Services

Table 7. Worldwide CAPEX Forecast 2008?2012 (in US$ Billions)

Table 8. 2007?2012 Worldwide CAPEX Forecast by Geographic Region (in US$ Billions)

Table 9. 2007?2012 Worldwide CAPEX Forecast by Network Layer (in US$ Billions)

List of Figures

Figure 1. Worldwide CAPEX Forecast 2008?2012 (in US$ Billions)

Figure 2. Market Pressure Drives NGN Migration

Figure 3. KPN NGN Transport and Access Layers

Figure 4. KPN Toll Center/Backbone Nodes

Figure 5. KPN Dual-Plane Network Architecture

Figure 6. Magyar Telekom NGN Architecture

Figure 7. Telecom Italia NGN2 Architecture

Figure 8. PCCW Next-Generation Metro IP Network

Figure 9. DOCSIS 30 Network Configuration





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