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2Q08 France Mobile Forecast, 2008 - 2010: France will see significant increase in mobile penetration rates over the next three years to reach 95.7% in 2010
IE Market Research Corp., April 2008
This Mobile Forecast on France provides over 65 operational and financial metrics for the France wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 4Q2003 and ending in 4Q2007. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for France include: Orange, SFR (Vodafone), and Bouygues. Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 France Mobile Forecast include:
- Although it is still relatively low compared to other European countries, the wireless penetration level in France is increasing. Our France model now shows that wireless penetration levels will reach 95.7% (significant increase from our previous forecast of 84.9%) in 2010. We are now predicting that total subscribers in France will increase from 57.1 million to 60.0 million between 2008 and 2010.
- Market shares (by subscribers) of major operators will remain roughly the same over the next several years in France. In 2010, the largest operator will continue to be Orange with a forecasted 43.2% of total subscribers, followed by SFR (Vodafone) with 32.8% and Bouygues with 16.7%.
- In 2010, SFR will be enjoying the largest EBITDA margin in France at 38.4%. On the other hand, Bouygues will have the lowest EBITDA margin at 28.1%.
- The operator with the highest ARPU in 2010 will be SFR at US$ 58.44 per month while Orange will receive the lowest ARPU of US$ 48.26 per month. The average ARPU in the country of US$ 50.08 per month in 2010 will be one of the highest in Europe.
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