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2008 MEMS Forecast
Bourne Research LLC, April 2008, Pages: 38
This past year (2007) has been an interesting mix of strong price reductions, end-use market stagnation, legal wrangling and rising pressure from competitive (non-MEMS) technologies. While sales of pressure sensors for industrial sensing surged, it simply wasn’t enough to make up for significant revenue shortfalls in other core segments.
Revenues for MEMS rose just 5.8% in 2007 to $8.6 billion, with numerous markets experiencing retrenchment. Declines in automotive production, saturation of the ink jet market, a change in direction for digital TVs, and even ongoing legal disputes are being compounded by record energy prices, low consumer confidence and recessionary conditions.
Strong price reductions for tri-axis accelerometers (and gyro sensors) over the past two years means that the onus for growth now lies in driving unit shipments…a tough prospect. Those in the know have already turned their attention to industrial automation, and the combined use of GPS, RFID and MEMS sensors are projected to have a profound impact on commercial applications.
Beyond automation, there are a number of areas to watch. The shift from televisions to 'pico-projectors' is rapidly evolving, and optical networking is making a comeback. RF MEMS may reach a turning point in 2009, but as with microphones, there are inherent business model problems. And MEMS suppliers must not dismiss the impact nanomaterials may eventually have on this industry.
Despite a few bright spots, overall near-term growth is projected to remain negligible. As a result, unit shipments of MEMS devices are forecast to increase at a CAGR of 6.4% through 2012, with revenues forecast to increase at a CAGR of 5.5% during the same period.
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