VoIP in CEE Opportunities and Forecast, 2010 - 2015

Business Monitor International, April 2011, Pages: 60

Broadband Network Expansion Drives VoIP Growth in CEE

The telecoms infrastructure in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region has undergone massive transformation over the past decade. Service providers, keen on taking advantage of the region's growing wealth and openness to the outside world, have invested significant resources in the deployment of modern telecoms networks. The transformation, coupled with increasing levels of disposable income, is resulting in the growing demand for more advanced telecoms services, including broadband.

Indeed, CEE is one of the world's fastest growing regions in terms of new broadband subscriber uptake. BMI forecasts show that fixed broadband subscriptions in the region will exceed 115mn by 2015, almost double the estimated number of connections at the end the end of 2010.

BMI notes that the rapid uptake in broadband services has opened the door of opportunity for various IP-based services. Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) is one such opportunity. VoIP is particularly attracting a lot of attention from residential and business broadband users alike because of the significant cost savings it affords them, especially on international calls, compared to rates charged for such calls on traditional wireline and mobile networks. Indeed, the European Union's European Regulators Group (ERG) has welcomed the introduction of VoIP services in the region and is committed to adopting a regulatory approach that will enable the greatest possible level of innovation and competitiveness in the market.

Although most initial VoIP subscriptions were based on fixed broadband access provided by small low-cost operators as well as multi-play offerings from larger cable network and xDSL service providers, we expect wireless broadband access to play a leading role in future expansion of VoIP services in CEE. With limited expansion of fixed broadband infrastructure expected in the region due to expensive rollout costs, high population levels in rural areas and very difficult topography in some cases, BMI believes that mobile platforms now offer a genuine opportunity to service providers. This view is strongly supported by the rapid deployment of next generation wireless networks, such as WiMAX, in many countries in the region. At the same time, advanced smartphones and other mobile devices, capable of sending and receiving high-speed data communications, are beginning to offer a variety of options in the delivery of VoIP services

Introduction
VoIP in CEE
Broadband Network Expansion Drives VoIP Growth In CEE
The Technology
VoIP Access Technologies
How VoIP Works
Types of VoIP
Carrier VoIP
Consumer VoIP-Web-and Device-based Services
Table: Central and Eastern Europe VoIP Users by Platform (‘000), 2009-2015
Indicators: Fixed Consumer VoIP, Mobile VoIP, Total
Business VoIP
Mobile VoIP
VoIP Regulation in Europe
Only EU Member Countries Bound By Regulations
Trends and Opportunities
Positive Growth Outlook For VoIP In CEE
Wi-Fi Networks Create Opportunities
Case Study
Poland
Intense Competition between Providers
Chart: TPSA VoIP Subscribers
2008 - 2010
Chart: VoIP Service Providers by Subscribers By Numbers
Market Shares, 2009
Chart: VoIP Service Providers by Revenue
Market Shares, 2009
Chart: Market Share of Third Party VoIP Providers
2009
VoIP Subscriber Forecast - Key Markets
Central and Eastern Europe
Table: Central and Eastern Europe VoIP Users By Country (‘000), 2009-2015
Indicators: Belarus, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine, Total
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Fixed Consumer VoIP Users By Country (‘000), 2009-2015
Indicators: Belarus, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine, Total
Chart: Central and Eastern Europe Mobile VoIP Users By Country (‘000)
2009-2015
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Mobile VoIP Users By Country (‘000), 2009-2015
Indicators: Belarus, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania,
Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine, Total
Hungary
Chart: Carrier VoIP Subscribers By Technology (‘000)
2007-2010
Romania
Chart: Romania Hotspot Locations With WiFi Access
2006-2010
Russia
Chart: Russian Broadband Operators By Subscribers
September 2010
Turkey
Chart: Turkey Fixed Voice and Broadband Subscribers (mn)
2008-2010
Czech Republic
Chart: Telefónica O2 Fixed Voice and Data Subscribers (‘000)
2009-2010
Serbia
Slovenia
Broadband Market - CEE
Belarus
Wi-Fi
Bosnia
xDSL
Chart: Internet Subscribers By Type Of Access
2009e
Cable
Wireless Internet
Bulgaria
Chart: Broadband Access Technologies At January 2010
2009-2010 Market Share (%)
WiMAX
IPTV and FTTx
Mobile Broadband
Croatia
Chart: T-HT ADSL Mainlines
2004-2010
WiMAX
Fibre-Optic and Broadband Expansion
Czech Republic
WiMAX
GTS And Radiokomunikace
Chart: Telefónica O2 Wholesale Accesses
Q109-Q310
Estonia
Chart: Elion Broadband Subscribers
Q408-Q310
Hungary
Chart: Fixed Broadband Subscribers Market Shares
February 2011
Mobile Broadband
Next Generation Network
Wholesale Access
Latvia
Chart: Latvia Internet Market By Technology
December 2009 (%)
FTTH
WiMAX
Lithuania
Optical Fibre
Table: Lithuania Internet Subscriber Market
Indicators: Total Internet Subscribers, ow Mobile, Total Fixed Internet Subscribers, ow Dial-up,
Total Fixed Broadband, ow DS l, ow Wireless, ow Cable TV, ow Fibre, ow FTTB, ow FTTH,
ow Other fixed broadband, Total Broadband (Fi xed & Mobile)
Wireless Broadband
Table: Lithuanian Fixed Broadband Market, By Operator (Q210)
indicators: TEO (formerly Lietuvos Telekomas), Lithuanian Radio and Television Centre (LR TC),
Dokeda, Balticum TV, Penki Kontinentai, Viginta imonu grupe, Ot her*, Total
Moldova
Technologies
Chart: Broadband Connections By technology
2008-2010
Poland
WiMAX
Table: Polish Fixed Broadband Access Market, September 2010
Indicators: TPSA (fixed retail), UPC Holding, Netia, Multimedia Polska, Telefonia Dialog, Others, Total
Mobile Broadband
6 Business Monitor International Ltd
VoIP in CEE: Opportunities And Forecast, 2010 - 2015
Romania
Technologies
Cable
ADSL
VDSL
Table: Number of Active ISP s, 2008-2010
Indicators: Total number of active IS Ps*, Fixed broadband access services**, of which, UTP/FTP cable, Coaxial cable, xDSL , Satellite, Radio access, Fibre optic, Mobile access, Other***
Wireless Internet
WiMAX
Russia
WiMAX
Table: Total Residential Broadband Subscribers, Sept 2009 - sept 2010
Indicators: Russia, Moscow, St Petersburg
Serbia
Table: Serbia Internet Subscribers, 2006-2009 (‘000)
Indicators: Dial-up, ADSL , Cable, Wireless, Mobile Internet, UM TS, Other, Total, Total Fixed
Broadband, Total Broadband
Slovakia
WiMAX
Chart: Slovak Broadband Market By Technology
June 2010'
Slovenia
FTTH
WiMAX
Turkey
Ukraine
Table: TTNet Competitors–Alternativ e ISP
Indicators: Smile ADSL , Tellcom–Superonline, Kocnet–Biri, Turksat–Uydunet
Wireless Networks
Cable
Table: Ukrainian Fixed Broadband Operators By Subscribers (‘000), 2009–2010
Indicators: Ukrtelecom, Volia, Vimpelcom-Kyivstar (Beeline), Vega, TeNeT, Freenet, Airbites, IPNet, Frigate, Datagroup, Ot hers, Total.

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